5 waves down in NIFTY ...5 waves down in NSE:NIFTY so trend remains downward, though it seem to have started pullback of the down move. Unless we break today's low in morning tomorrow, chances are tomorrow we would see pullback on the upside.
NIFTY trade ideas
Nifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 7th JanuaryNifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 7th January
NIFTY TREND FOR 07 01 25NIFTY follows a head and shoulder pattern and the confirmation is on cards on second week of Jan 25.
THE GREAT CORRECTION PERIOD IN NIFTYI have been waiting for this setup for a long time. As many analysts say, Indian share prices are very high and valuations are astronomical. Now the brief period between a major market crash and market pullback is over, market will look for comfortable valuation. Market knows its overvalued and we are seeing the results in the last few sessions. After market manipulators pushed the market to 24000, its now time to sell off. Global markets will also be selling because of the new HMPV virus fears. I am looking for targets of 22800 or more with this trade. If we close below the tend-line, put buyers will make a lot of money. Thanks
Market returning to the previous support lineNifty 50 returning to the previous support line, It will probably take a support In one month and return to the bullish moment soon
A bearish head and shoulder potential for Nifty 50The drawing is self-explanatory. A potential break of the neckline to the downside may bring Nifty towards 21500
NIFTYFundamental Analysis: Evaluate a company's financial health, including revenue, earnings, future growth, return on equity, profit margins, and other key financial indicators.
Technical Analysis: Study historical price and volume data to identify patterns and trends. This includes using tools like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands.
Sentiment Analysis: Gauge market sentiment by looking at news, social media, and other sources to understand how other investors feel about a particular stock.
Nifty landed at 61.8% in intraday can expect a small up move Entry - 23752
SL - 23705
TGT- 23843
opportunity in nifty at 61.8%
nifty trade setup 6 jan 24nifty trading in chanel so i will take entry at the top of chanel hoping it ill give rejection and will give my target lets see what happens
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/01/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening nifty will trade in between the zone of 24000-24200 level. If nifty gives breakout of 24200 level and starts trading above 24250 then expected strong bullish rally in today's session. Similarly, In case nifty starts trading below 23950 level then bearish rally expected in nifty. This downside movement can goes upto 23750 level.
$Nifty50expecting a dip then back up again to flip 24180
yellow line is the previous range low and was reclaimed with that engulfing candle on thursday
Dollar index chilling at HTf supply zone so lets see what we get
below 23632 no bueno
Nifty short term jump to resistance levels this is very short term analysis for jump towards 24400 entry zones 23850+ or minus 25
sl at 23750 , positional or march end tgt is 22000 still open the idea.
am seeing entire world market correction with speed till march. mean while bounces will come.
trading ranges can be smartly played if you know how to do it.
Nifty Intraday and Swing Trade Analysis For 06/01/25 And weekly
In this post, I’m sharing my detailed analysis of Nifty 50’s recent price action, focusing on intraday and swing trades. This setup incorporates technical patterns, volume confirmation, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to identify high-probability trade opportunities.
Key Observations
Bearish Momentum Across Timeframes: Both daily and intraday charts show strong bearish trends validated by supply zones and volume spikes.
Critical Levels Identified:
Resistance: 24,200 - 24,400 (Supply Zone).
Support: 23,950 (Intraday) and 23,700 - 23,500 (Swing Levels).
Volume Profile: Volume spikes on breakdowns confirm institutional involvement.
Trade Plan: Intraday
Scenario 1: Sell Below 23,950
Entry: Below 23,950 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop Loss: Above 24,050.
Target 1: 23,900.
Target 2: 23,850.
Rationale: Break below 23,950 signals bearish continuation with strong seller dominance.
Scenario 2: Buy Above 24,050
Entry: Above 24,050.
Stop Loss: Below 23,950.
Target 1: 24,100.
Target 2: 24,150.
Rationale: Reclaiming 24,050 indicates a potential bullish reversal.
Confidence Level: Moderate (requires strong buying volume).
SWING TRADING
Scenario 1: Swing Sell Below 23,900
Entry: Below 23,900.
Stop Loss: Above 24,150.
Target 1: 23,700.
Target 2: 23,500.
Rationale: A breakdown below 23,900 aligns with the long-term bearish structure and supply rejection.
Scenario 2: Swing Buy Above 24,200
Entry: Above 24,200.
Stop Loss: Below 24,000.
Target 1: 24,400.
Target 2: 24,600.
Rationale: Clearing the supply zone at 24,200 would confirm a trend reversal.
Confidence Level: Moderate.
Advanced Concepts Used
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Supply Zone: 24,200 - 24,400.
Demand Zone: 23,700 - 23,500.
Liquidity Trap: Below 23,950.
Volume Confirmation:
Selling volume spikes during breakdowns confirm bearish moves.
Low-volume retracements suggest weak buying interest.
Indicators:
RSI: Below 50 on daily charts, supporting bearish momentum.
MACD: Bearish crossover on daily charts aligns with the trend.
Moving Averages: Price below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA reinforces bearish bias.
Why This Trade Setup Stands Out
This analysis combines the best of price action, volume confirmation, and advanced SMC tools. Each level and decision is backed by data and market behavior, ensuring a methodical approach to trading.
Disclaimer
The views and trade ideas shared in this post are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not financial advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial instruments. Trading involves significant risk, and you should carefully consider your financial situation, objectives, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Nifty50 Trendline Retest – What’s Next for Traders?The Nifty50 is at a decisive point, retesting a key breakout level. Here's my take on the key levels to watch and how traders can approach the market
Nifty50 Analysis - 5th January
What's Happening?
Nifty 50 is at a make-or-break point. It recently broke out of a downward trendline, which is usually a good sign for bulls, but now the index is retesting that breakout. How it reacts at these levels will set the tone for the next move.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance Zones:
- 24,222
- 24,347
- 24,528
- Support Zones:
- 23,990
- 23,897
- 23,790
- 23,592
Possible Scenarios:
1. The Bullish Path:
If Nifty holds above 24,057 and shows strength, we could see a move to 24,222, and if the momentum is strong enough, it might even test 24,347 or 24,528.
2. The Bearish Path:
If the price drops below 23,897, things could get dicey, with the index likely heading toward 23,790 and 23,592.
How to Trade This?
- For the Bulls:
Look for sustained buying above 24,057 to go long. Targets: 24,222, 24,347. Stop loss: Below 23,897.
- For the Bears:
If the price slips below 23,897, you might want to short. Targets: 23,790, 23,592. Stop loss: Above 24,057.
Final Thoughts:
This is one of those moments where patience pays off. Let Nifty show its hand before jumping in. Watch those key levels closely, and always trade with a plan (and a stop loss!).
NSE:NIFTY
Let me know your thoughts on this setup! Do you think bulls will hold, or will bears take over?
NIFTY : Trading Levels and plan for 06-Jan-2025 Nifty Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2025
Introduction
The chart shared yesterday highlighted key zones and potential movements. The Opening Resistance Zone of 24,312 acted as a strong supply area, while the Support Zone between 23,970-24,016 was well respected. Actual price movement closely aligned with the predicted Yellow (Sideways) and Green (Bullish) trends, allowing traders to capitalize on the directional moves.
Today’s chart brings us new levels and strategies for varying opening scenarios. Let's dive into the details for 6-Jan-2025!
Trading Plan for 6-Jan-2025
Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,016):
If Nifty opens with a significant gap-up:
Immediate resistance lies at 24,170-24,196. Wait for price action near this level.
Bullish Scenario: If prices sustain above 24,196 for 15 minutes, enter a long position with targets at 24,312 and 24,550. Use a stop-loss below 24,170.
Sideways Possibility: If price struggles near 24,170, expect a sideways trend, as shown in Yellow. Avoid overtrading here.
Flat Opening (Near 23,990):
If Nifty opens flat:
The key Opening Support Zone is at 23,973-23,902. This area serves as a no-trade zone unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
Bullish Scenario: Look for sustained buying above 24,016, targeting 24,170 initially and then 24,312.
Bearish Scenario: If prices fall below 23,902, expect a move toward the next support zone at 23,814. Use a tight stop-loss above 23,902.
Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 23,970):
If Nifty opens with a gap-down:
Immediate focus should be on the First Support Zone at 23,814.
Bearish Scenario: If prices fail to hold 23,814, expect a sharp move toward 23,623 (Last Intraday Support).
Bullish Reversal Opportunity: If prices recover quickly and reclaim 23,970, consider going long for a target of 24,016. Stop-loss below 23,814.
Avoid aggressive shorting unless price action confirms weakness below 23,814.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Use smaller lot sizes to manage risk during volatile openings.
Focus on ATM (At the Money) options to reduce premium decay in uncertain conditions.
Avoid trading during the first 15 minutes unless clear trend confirmation is seen.
Always maintain a stop-loss and adhere to it.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today’s plan focuses on the key zones of resistance and support. The Opening Resistance Zone at 24,170-24,196 will be crucial for bullish continuation, while the Support Zones at 23,814 and 23,623 must be monitored for bearish breakdowns. Follow the Yellow, Green, and Red trends for guidance, and remember to prioritize risk management over aggressive trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before executing any trades.
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 06-Dec-2025Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 06-Dec-2025
Nifty closed at 24004 (2 weeks before 23587), for last 50 days nifty was in rangebound movement from 23200 to 25000.
RSI at 48 ,Macd signal is negative 115 and stochastics levels is 41%, Still RSI should cross its MA, MACD to reach positive and Stochastics should cross its signal decisively.
Buy call on dips was given month before. Market yet to cross crucial 24800-25000resistance decisively. Hence please filter the stock, diversify investment in equities with lesser risk stocks. However, SIP on stocks/ MFs always better at this critical time instead of bulk investment.
Hence, Q3 results, Interest Rate reduction and Feb Budget is the key for the market to sustain above 25000, move above 26000 to next targets of 27000.
I started adding the stocks and Mutual Funds during this downfall for the last two weeks and continue to buy if there is further fall. Use the opportunity and grab the good value stocks or invest in Mutual funds. Assume each parcel can be 5-7 % parcel of your total investment planned in the near term.
Kindly read the Bitcoin Blog which i have written in Sep & Oct 24 with clear Indications to Buy with target of atleast 77000 and it touched 100,000 as Trump won the US Presidential election .
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 5 months as nifty PE (Currently in 22.1) is still in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap index with PE ratio >40 and >35 respectively. Hence more in large cap MF in allocation over Mid & Small Cap.
Invest in MF as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period, further market correction can happen upto nifty index to 22800 from current level, Individual value stock picking is a key at this critical time.
Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these times. My Stock analysis of diwali recommendation from major financial agencies/ analyst and also some of the stock which is good as per my analysis will be provided upon request in comment section . Individual need to analyse on their own. Further additional fundamental good value stocks ( which i have analysed ) . Please note these are all not stock recommendation, rather an analysis. Individual Can analyze and add to your portfolio based on your risk profile.
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Nifty 24004 short term
Nifty short term resistance at 24800 to 25000 level (0.5 Fib Resistance), once crossed 25122 (0.618 Fib Resistance) and 25350( Shoulder Pattern) is the next target.
Support at 24329, and 24199( Last week Low) and 24000
Medium Term next target if move up decisively above 25350, next target is 26268 ( all time high)and 26968 (1.618 Fib Resistance)
Medium term Support 23265 ( Nov low),23000 and 22800
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance).
Support at 21240
Nifty Interesting Observations.Nifty - There has been an interesting symmetry observed in the #nifty from the Covid Lows.
1) Rally (1) started on 23 March 2020 (7511) and continued till 18 Oct 2021 (18604) rallying almost 11903 Points with minor corrections in between. After a strong rally index corrected entered in a correction Phase.
2) The correction started after hitting the highs at 18604 and last for over a month declining by about 3420 points from the highs. The correction ended on 13 Jun 2022 forming bottom at 15183 levels.
The correction ended around 100 Weekly EMA and then it started next leg of upmove.
3) Here's an interesting point.
The Rally (2) started on 13 Jun at 15183 and continued for nearly 2 years and topped at 26277 on 23 Sept 2024.
Here if we calculate at distance , The rally 2 also rallied almost 11903 points (which was the same points in Rally 1 as discussed above)
4) The index is in the corrective Phase and has nearly dropped over 10 percent from the Peak so far.
Following the Price symmetry and the price action the correction phase is likely to expand and shall decline 3420 points (which was the case in earlier correction phase) OR
Correction likely to extend further to test the 100 Weekly EMA which was observed in the earlier Corrective Phase (1) which ended near the 100 Weekly EMA.
Do you AGREE !! What's you view ?? Will appreciate if you to share you analysis ....? :)
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty saw huge selling at the opening with huge Resistance at 24200 levels, to find some support around 24000 closing at almost lowest point of the day to close at -0.7% for the day and slightly in positive for the week. Nifty closed above 20daily EMA but below 20 wkly EMA. Price action looks neutral until takes out 24200 decisively or closes below 23600.
Trend:
Nifty was in down trend from the opening.
Options Data:
24200-24100-24000 Calls saw addition of Open Interest showing immediate Resistance. Options data suggests Support around 23700 levels. Need a closing above 24200 for further upmove to continue
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio was at 17.5% last trading session.
Nifty Futures closed negatively with addition in Open Interest suggesting bearishness to continue in immediate short term.
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty is slight Bearish.Need to see if buying emerges around dips of 23800 levels for further direction.
Positons:
Wait for a pullback above 24200 or bounce from 23800 or breakdown below 23700 to take any further positions.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty saw huge selling at the opening with huge Resistance at 24200 levels, to find some support around 24000 closing at almost lowest point of the day to close at -0.7% for the day and slightly in positive for the week. Nifty closed above 20daily EMA but below 20 wkly EMA. Price action looks neutral until takes out 24200 decisively or closes below 23600.
Trend:
Nifty was in down trend from the opening.
Options Data:
24200-24100-24000 Calls saw addition of Open Interest showing immediate Resistance. Options data suggests Support around 23700 levels. Need a closing above 24200 for further upmove to continue
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio was at 17.5% last trading session.
Nifty Futures closed negatively with addition in Open Interest suggesting bearishness to continue in immediate short term.
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty is slight Bearish.Need to see if buying emerges around dips of 23800 levels for further direction.
Positons:
Wait for a pullback above 24200 or bounce from 23800 or breakdown below 23700 to take any further positions.
#nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500, 6-10th Jan 2025The Nifty Index this week staged a rally, closing at 24,004, a 200-point surge from the previous week. This bullish move, driven by a classic "W" pattern as predicted, saw highs of 24,226 and lows of 23,460. However, profit-taking by large players triggered a decline, confining the index within my anticipated range of 24,300-23,400.
For the upcoming week, I expect a trading range of 24,500-23,400 . A breach below 23,400 could find support at the 23,200-23,300 zone. A weekly close below this level would be a significant bearish signal, potentially triggering further selling pressure towards the 22,250 level. Conversely, a sustained move above 24,770 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, though this scenario currently appears challenging.
The S&P 500 also exhibited resilience this week, closing at 5,942 despite breaching the crucial support of 5,850. This formed a long-legged candle, indicating strong demand at lower levels. To reignite its upward momentum, the S&P 500 needs to close consecutively above 6,093. This bullish confirmation could propel it towards 6,142, 6,225, and even 6,376, providing a much-needed boost to global markets
Nifty for coming days Bullish Trend as seenWhat is going to kick Nifty for the BUllish trend
Pros
1) very good quarterly results from all the IT, consumer & other rest of the companies
2) heading towards Budget by Feb 1 2025 , may be Govt allocation for the infra, green energy space ,transport would be good which markets would like , as Govt spedning Increased by 5 X in 4 years.
3) Automobile sector had come up with very positive sales figure for Dec -24
Cons
20th Jan is the day which would exactly give a better direction for the US markets & Indian markets , once the Donald trump assumes the office , may be some policies will be favoring & some negate for the outsource work ( IT & services) watch it out !! 20th Jan
Nifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 6th JanuaryNifty & Sensex Analysis & Trade Plan for 6th January
NIFTY S/R for 6/1/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
