Nifty's Next Move? 24,000 on the Cards!The hourly candle formed on Friday, 7th Feb looks promising! A bullish engulfing pattern, confirming RD while taking support at AVWAP, sets up an interesting long opportunity. With the low of this candle on a closing basis as SL, going long makes sense.
📈 Upside Target? 24,000 in the coming weeks!
📉 What about ATH? A new all-time high (ATH) looks unlikely unless we see a clear breakout above the heavy supply zone of 24,200 - 24,300.
🔍 Trading Idea
For now, shorting PUTs seems like a good play, aiming for 23,800 - 24,000 levels with a clear SL of closing below 23,400.
👀 What's your view? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📊
⚠ Disclaimer: This is my personal view and not a recommendation or tip. Please do your own due diligence and study before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
NIFTY trade ideas
Nifty's Battle Between Bears and Bulls & S&P 500 resistance test#Nifty50 wrapped up the week at 23,560, marking a 80-point increase from the previous week's close. It reached a high of 23,807 and a low of 23,222. As predicted last week, Nifty traded within the range of 24,000-22,950, and looking ahead, I anticipate the index will continue moving within the range of 24,000-23,050 next week.
Currently, the monthly and weekly timeframes are both bearish, while the daily timeframe shows a slight bullish bias. This indicates that the bears remain in control, and they will likely seize every bounce as an opportunity to initiate short positions. I still believe that the 22,400/22,500 level is critical, as it presents an opportunity for the bulls to establish a base and potentially push Nifty higher.
The BJP's victory in the Delhi assembly elections could have a positive impact on the market come Monday, offering a window to offload positions and create fresh shorts. My focus will remain on stocks that are either building a strong base or demonstrating resilience in this otherwise negative market environment. These hidden gems, or 'dark horses,' could emerge as the true winners in the near future.
On the global front, the S&P 500 closed at 6,025, a mere 14 points down from the previous week's close, with a high of 6,101 and a low of 5,923. Over the past three weeks, the S&P 500 bulls have repeatedly attempted to break the strong resistance level at 6,100, but they’ve failed to maintain momentum above it. A decisive close above 6,100 is now critical for the rally to gain steam and target levels at 6,142, 6,225, and 6,376. If this resistance holds, the bears are ready to pounce, and we could see a test of support levels around 5,850—about 3% lower than the current level.
It’s a crucial battle ahead, and while I’m rooting for the bulls, my focus is on the bears. Let’s see who comes out on top!
Can Nifty overcome Mother, Father and the Trendline resistances?With the results in Delhi elections that will suit the market fervor can Nifty break the triple whammy of Mother, Father and Trendline resistances which are not allowing it to fly? The answer to the question can be yes. But what is important is if Nifty can sustain the opening that it might get and hold on to the levels? This will depend again on FII activity. FII as we know are on the selling side continuously. Also there is an upcoming New Income Tax bill to be tabled. Investors will wait and see the action taken on the LTCG and STCG taxes on the income. No bad news can be a good news with respect to this aspect. After the income tax relief received and RBI rate cut.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23435, 23177 and 22967. If the major support at 22967 is broken there can be a free fall in the market till the levels of 22758, 22159 or even lower as depicted in the chart.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 22619 (Father Line, 200 days EMA), 22658 (Mother line, 50 days EMA), 22838 (Major trend line resistance). If 22838 is crossed and we get a closing above it we can see the levels of 24084, 24223 and 24482. For levels above 24482 we will have to get a weekly closing above the same first.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY S/R for 10/2/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
$NIFTY50 .25% nifty50 cut so a rate cut of .25% has dropped the nifty by .25% for now ;)
expect this to hold otherwise we go visit 23347 or dotted line below then run it back up again
for now waiting for a recovery and reclaim of yellow line
Break out of the pennant was not gonna be easy but once it does it should be worth it ..
Nifty50- More pain ahead. After Rate cut heading to 22KNifty50: More pain ahead. After the rate cut, the index is heading towards 22K level.
22K acts as an important level which coincides with a multi-year trendline and a 0.38 fibo retracement. In order to reverse sustainably, the weekly RSI must go below 30 and reverse itself.
NIFTY - Pre - Budgetary AnalysisHello Traders,
I hope this message finds you well. I am pleased to share an insightful analysis with you, which illuminates the continuation of the market shift in accordance with the budget.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, comprises three phases and bottomed out at 22,786 on January 27, 2025 (~120D) . Given the recent decline, it is considered a correction within a correction, and we anticipate a retracement to higher levels before resuming the trend in a more significant manner.
The analysis is supported by the fact that a crucial time resistance for the down trend lies at 17 February 2025, where the market is anticipated to conclude the ongoing correction phase and initiate a new trend.
Phase I:
Following a brief rally in the pre-open and open periods, the market is expected to decline towards lower levels between 9.15 - 11 AM to the following levels.
SI: 23,300
SII: 23,140 (Stronger)
SIII: 23,041 (Potentially for extension to 23,000)
*Please note that these values are indicative and not actual.
Phase II:
Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current interim upward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R 24,120 levels) + static support.
R I – 23,950
RII – 24,120 ~ 24,225
*These values are not actual but merely levels.
**Budget commentary that I expect: **
1. There will not be any change in corporate tax rate.
2. Personal IT may see a small slab change, accompanied by an increase in standard deduction.
3. No changes to STT, LTCG / STCG (revision(s) will undermine the integrity of the decisions from FM).
4. Reduced borrowing costs accommodating leveraged capex.
5. Incentivization (PLI, infra, agricultural & make in india).
6. Semi conductor push.
Overall, I am expecting a neutral budget – Neither hawkish nor dovish.
The markets will do what they have to….!!!
**Important Note:**
This entire analysis holds true only until the market breaks 22,786.90, although I believe not today.
** Final Verdict: **
The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% support level coinciding with the 22,146 ~ 21,245 -support level.
**Strategy:**
Given the implied volatility increase, it is prudent to adapt to changes as they appear to transpire.
1. Sell until phase I.
2. Buy for phase II (Conservatives may await some confirmation with strict SL @ 22,786).
3. Exit any open position after phase II completion and await cues.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has necessitated countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by promoting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative that you conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/02/2025Gap up opening expected in nifty near the 23700 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 23750 level then expected upside movement in index. This upside rally can goes upto 23950+ level. Below 23700 downside possible upto the 23550 support level in today's session.
Any major downside only expected below this support level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 07.02.2025Thursday’s session saw Nifty opening with a gap-up, touching a high of 23,773.55 in the opening minutes, but failing to sustain. It dropped to a low of 23,556.25 before closing at 23,603.35, losing 93 points over the previous close. The Weekly & Daily Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23,327 - 23,381.60
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 23,686.70 - 23,701.90
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty broke above a key Daily Supply Zone but couldn't sustain, falling from 23,800 to 23,500. The next crucial resistance lies at 24,000 - 24,250. Only a breakout and sustained move above this zone could shift the trend from sideways to bullish.
NIFTY taking a breather !As we can see NIFTY had been sideways to negative throughout the day as analysed in our previous post. We can consider this as a breather or retracement after a rally which is a good sign, for confirmation, break of 23800 will lead to 25000++ in coming sessions else it can remain sideways to negative so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
NIFTY : TRADING LEVELS AND PLAN – 07-Feb-2025📌
🔹 Previous Close: 23,628.05
🔹 Important Zones to Watch:
🟥 Profit Booking Zone: 24,024 - 24,155
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,900
🟧 Opening Resistance: 23,747
🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,566 - 23,656
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 23,442
🟢 Support for Sideways Market: 23,346
📈 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (Above 23,750)
If NIFTY opens with a gap-up of 100+ points above 23,750, it will enter the Opening Resistance Zone (23,747 - 23,900).
🔹 Bullish Strategy:
If NIFTY sustains above 23,900, expect a strong move toward the Profit Booking Zone (24,024 - 24,155).
Ideal entry will be on retracement near 23,900 with SL below 23,850.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If rejection is seen from 23,900 - 24,024, a short trade can be initiated targeting 23,750 - 23,650.
Stop loss for short trade above 24,100.
📝 Pro Tip: A direct gap-up into a resistance zone often leads to profit booking. Avoid aggressive longs unless a breakout is confirmed.
📊 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 23,566 - 23,656)
A flat opening within the No Trade Zone (23,566 - 23,656) suggests uncertainty. Traders should wait for a clear breakout or breakdown.
🔹 Bullish Plan:
A breakout above 23,656 can trigger a long trade targeting 23,747 - 23,900.
SL for longs should be below 23,600.
🔻 Bearish Plan:
If NIFTY breaks below 23,566, expect a drop toward 23,442.
Short trade can be taken with SL above 23,600.
📝 Pro Tip: A flat opening often leads to range-bound price action initially. Avoid taking trades in the first 15-20 minutes unless a clear trend emerges.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (Below 23,450)
If NIFTY opens below 23,450, it enters the Last Intraday Support Zone. Watch for a reversal or further breakdown.
🔹 Buying Opportunity:
A bullish reversal from 23,346 - 23,442 can give a long trade opportunity targeting 23,566 - 23,656.
Stop loss for longs should be below 23,300.
🔻 Breakdown Plan:
If 23,346 breaks, expect further downside toward 23,200-23,150.
Short trade can be taken with SL above 23,400.
📝 Pro Tip: A gap-down below key supports often triggers panic selling. But if a quick pullback is seen, it might be a bear trap—wait for confirmation before shorting.
⚠️ Risk Management & Options Trading Tips
✔ Option Buyers: Trade ATM (At-the-Money) options and avoid OTM options when volatility is low.
✔ Option Sellers: If IV (Implied Volatility) is high, selling OTM strikes can be a good strategy.
✔ Always Use Stop Loss: Risk management is key to capital preservation.
✔ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to planned trades and don’t force setups.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🚀 Bullish above: 23,656 (Target 23,900 - 24,024)
📉 Bearish below: 23,566 (Target 23,442 - 23,346)
⚠️ Key Zones to Watch: No Trade Zone & Profit Booking Area
📊 Expect Volatility: Let the market establish a clear direction before taking trades.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before taking any trades. 📢📊
#NIFTY #TradingPlan #StockMarket #OptionsTrading 🚀
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVEL FOR 07/02/2025//@description
// All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: www.tradingview.com
// Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work.
I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue:
👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
Everything else—the way I nail the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent.
Explanation:
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
Entry/Exit Points:
- Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
Timeframe:
Use a 5 mins timeframe for trading.
Risk Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily
Price Action :
Nifty saw selling from the opening to close just above 23600
Technicals:
Nifty opened flat and saw selling from opening and found support around 23550 levels and managed to close above 23600 levels forming a Bearish Candle . A small profit booking was seen above 23700 levels but over all looked strong and stable Nifty closed below 50 and 200 DEMA but above 10&20 DEMA
The momentum indicators, RSI - Relative Strength Index was down to 53
FII Sold Rs. 3550 Cr in cash market
Support/Resistance
Major Support 23400
Immediate Support 23500
Immediate Resistance 23650
Major Resistance 24000
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish but short term Nifty is bit positive till it trades above 22300
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 24000 followed by 23600 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 23600 followed by 23500 and 23000 - Support
23700CE 23600CE saw major addition signaling Shorts added & 23700 is Resistance
PCR is 0.82 which indicates neutral
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio improved to 16.5%/83.5%
FII exited 4K Longs in Future at 38K and Shorts intact at 1.9L contracts
Nifty Futures price was in negative, a slight decrease in price alongside slight increase in Open Interest (OI) typically indicates slight Bearishness
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty in Strong above 23500
Approch:
Maintain Long positions with 23500 SL
avoid shorts
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
still holding Long in Feb Series CE waiting for a big Short covering above 24100
Two important Resistances to conquer for Nifty ahead. There are 2 important resistances for Nifty ahead which need to be conquered for the Bull run that started post budget to sustain. These 2 resistances are at 23630 and 23809. Today Nifty made a good comeback from lows of the day which was near 23556 to close at 23603. The resistnace near 23809 acted again as Nifty plummeted from the level of 23773 to fall to 23556. The trend line shown in the chart acted as support for Nifty to come back into the game. There are 3 important events coming up later. RBI Policy where market is expecting a rate cur. Delhi election results and finally Income tax bill to be tabled in the parliament. Market is fearing a little bit and hoping that there is no bad news related to LTCG or STCG etc. in the bill.
Nifty supports remain at: 23556, 23498 and 23484 (Mother and Father line of the daily chart). If this line is broken we can see Nifty falling to old support system of 23376 and 23222. Closing below 23222 can bring the Bears back into the game and calling the shots again.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 23630 and 23809. If these to resistances are conquered we can a strong up move towards 24K level with resistances at 23991, 24197 and 24344 level. Above 24344 level Bulls will come out of ICU and start taking control of the system.
Shadow of the candle right now is absolutely neutral. Tomorrows closing will be very important a closing above 23630 will be good but closing above 23809 will be great. Similarly a closing below 23556 will make the market weak. Nicely balanced right now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.