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NIFTY trade ideas

Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty saw selloff from the opening and saw buying at 23500 levels to bounce back and close flat at previous day’s close. As discussed last session Nifty saw some buying around 23500 levels where there were Put writers. Technicals: Nifty 50 has formed a Hammer sort of candlestick pattern on the daily charts with above-average volumes, while defending the previous low of 23460. The index closed near the previous day’s close, trading below the 10, 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The momentum indicators, RSI (Relative Strength Index at 43), remain in the lower band, and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains below the zero line, indicating weakness. Support/Resistance Major Support 23450-500 Immediate Support 23600 Immediate Resistance 23750 Major Resistance 23850-23900 Trend: Nifty was Negative to sideways Options Data: 23500-600 saw Put writing and 23700 saw Call addition suggesting Nifty in a 100-150 point range. PCR improved to 0.7 Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio was at 19%/81% Nifty Futures closed flat with addition in Open Interest suggesting slight Long addition bullish bias in immediate short term. Outlook for Next Session: overall Nifty is Bearish. If buying has emerged at 23500 levels and sustained above 23720 might atempt to test 23850 levels Approch: Wait and watch with no positions. Wait for today’s High to be taken out and trade above that for 3omins to go long for tgt 23850+ If opened Flat wait for a test of 23650 to see buying and go long above 23720 If opened gap-up, which is very unlikely wait for pull back to go long for small profits if opened gau-down, wait for break below 23500 clearly to go short. My Trades & Positions: holding long positions in 23500CE Jan monthly expiry around 23540 levels
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY S/R for 9/1/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Parallel Channel hourly candles suggests Nifty is delicate zone.Parallel Channel of Nifty suggest that we are in delicate zone with shadow of the candle being positive. Nifty has thrice taken support on the channel bottom as you can see in the chart. A strong support zone for Nifty is seeing strong buying emerging near the channel bottom. This strong support zone is between 23509 and 23263. The Three important resistances however are not allowing Nifty to grow further. These 3 resistance are: 1) Mother line resistance near 23775. 2) Father and trend line combine resistance near 24010. 3) Third important resistance for Nifty to conquer will be near 24288 which is the mid channel resistance. When we will get a closing above 24288 the Bull can breath a little easy and try and push Nifty upwards towards 24510, 24779 or even above 25K. The zone between 25033 and 25200 will again be a tough zone to conquer as the Nifty will again hit the top of the parallel channel. Conclusion: All is good till we do not get a closing below 23K levels. Below 23K levels weekly closing Bears will have position to overpower the market and drag Nifty further down. For long term investors this is good opportunity to invest big go long and hold on. Today ONGC, Reliance, ITC, Asian Paints, Dr Reddy, Wipro and TCS are the few large cap stocks which saw buying. The laggards for Nifty today were Apollo Hospitals, Trent, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Auto, ultratech and few other Large cap stocks. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty’s Unsustainable Recovery ?Hello ! The Nifty 50 attempted a recovery today, bouncing from a crucial support zone defined by the Fibonacci channel. Nifty continues to trade below its 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the broader bearish trend. Key Support Level: A decisive break below 23,500 (today’s low) could trigger a deeper correction toward 23,269, the next Fibonacci channel support. Immediate Resistance: On the upside, 24,000–24,200 remains a formidable hurdle, marked by both moving averages and Fibonacci retracement levels. Takeaway for Traders Today’s bounce, while technical, appears fragile and lacks conviction. Unless the index quickly reclaims key resistance levels, the path of least resistance remains downward. Traders should approach this recovery with caution and use rallies to reduce risk or consider fresh shorts near resistance zones. Conclusion: While it’s tempting to see today’s hammer as a bullish signal, the broader technical setup suggests otherwise. Until Nifty breaks above 24,000 with conviction, the bearish undertone remains intact. Volatility is likely to persist—trade carefully! Thanks
NSE:NIFTYShort
by shekharvsingh1
Is it time for a correction?It’s difficult to draw clear conclusions when examining the Indian economy, as the reality often diverges significantly from the portrayal in the news. Let’s focus on some of the key challenges, or rather, the current situation—and I’ll provide a brief overview without delving into detailed explanations. 1. Income Inequality - India has a large gap between its rich and poor, and inequality is growing. While the country has a burgeoning middle class, a significant proportion of the population still lives in poverty, particularly in rural areas. 2. Unemployment - While India has a young labor force, unemployment remains a challenge. The youth unemployment rate is notably high, especially among graduates. The lack of sufficient formal sector jobs to absorb the growing workforce is a major concern. The pandemic exacerbated this issue. 3. Infrastructure Bottlenecks -India's infrastructure still lags behind other emerging economies, and there are significant gaps in transportation, energy supply, urban infrastructure, and digital connectivity. This hampers productivity and increases business costs. 4. Agricultural Distress - Despite efforts to modernize agriculture, farmer distress continues to be an issue. Many farmers are still dependent on monsoons and suffer from low productivity, poor access to markets, and inadequate financial support. 5. Environmental Sustainability - Environmental degradation, including air pollution, water scarcity, and deforestation, is an increasing concern. India is heavily dependent on coal for energy, which poses challenges for meeting global climate commitments. Sustainable development will be key to India’s long-term economic health. 6. Inflation and Fiscal Deficits - Inflation and the country’s fiscal deficit continue to be challenges. In recent years, inflation has been driven by food prices and global energy costs. These are significant issues that often go undiscussed, and unless they are addressed, the long-term outlook could indeed appear concerning. Whether we are witnessing a bubble or simply a bubble in the making remains to be seen, and only time will tell. The markets have surged and become increasingly stretched, so a substantial correction seems almost inevitable.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TheTradeZen
Fibonacci Support & Resistances for Nifty (Medium term outlook).Important Fibonacci support for Nifty drawn on daily line chart of Nifty is at 23349. Below 23349 closing bears can have a field day and can create havoc but that looks less likely as of now. The closing today is 23207 which is just above 200 days EMA or the father line which is a good sign. Father line was at 23700. On the upside the Fibonacci resistance for Nifty seem to be at 23902, 24170 (Important Mother line Resistance) 24236, 24467, 24780 and finally Fibonacci Golden ratio from the current levels is at 25185. It will take some doing from the Bulls to close above this level. This presents the medium time frame outlook for the Nifty. RSI indicator also seems to have taken an upward swing but mid level is yet to be crossed for that indicator. MACD indicator suggests that Moving averages are fighting hard to converge and bring back some bullish momentum into the market to infuse some life into the Bull who are trying to come out of comma. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action : Nifty selling continued from last Friday and saw sharp cut 0f -1.5%. Price action was weak and no much support in terms of buying around 23700 as expected closing at almost lows of day around 23600. Trend: Nifty was in down trend from the opening. Options Data: 23700 and 24000 Puts saw huge unwinding and aCall addition suggesting huge Resistance at 23700 levels. Small Put builup see at 23300 suggesting a small support. PCR is at 0.68 which is very bearish. Futures Data: FII Long/Short ratio was at 18% last trading session. Nifty Futures closed negatively with slight decrease in Open Interest suggesting bearishness with sideways bias to continue in immediate short term. Outlook for Next Session: Nifty is very Bearish. Might consolidate around 23500-600 before any movement up or down. Need to see if buying emerges around dips of 23300 or above 23800 levels for further direction. Positons: Wait for a pullback to go short around 23700-50 for tgt 23300.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sandeep_CA
Support, Resistance and Bollinger Band suggest limited downside.I have just drawn Supports, Resistance, Mother, Father lines and added Bollinger band to Nifty chart. The indication is limited downside for now in Nifty unless the Chinese Virus is overplayed in the market by the bears and other forces. My discussion with medical fraternity and other knowledgeable people suggest that the threat of HPMV is overplayed and mortality rates might not be as high as COVID in the recent virus outbreak. This is the information I have however I advise utmost caution would wish you to verify the information with friends in the medical field in your knowhow. Currently Bollinger band is not suggesting a heavy downside. However things will be more clear by end of this week as the market plays out. Not more than 2 to 5% (max) down side is visible to me in the short term unless there is a global catastrophe of massive order. RSI has taken a turn hopefully soon it will embark towards bullishness. Supports for Nifty Remains at: 23249, 23466, 23555. Below 23249 flood gates for further downside can open. Resistances for Nifty: 23720, 23795, 23855 (Mother line or 50 Hours EMA), 23942 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 24061 (Father line or 200 Hours EMA), 24146, 24231 and finally 24326 (Bollinger band top). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
NIFTY S/R for 7/1/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. Preliminary Analysis Overview: The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines: The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction. There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend: Phase I: The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below): Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact). This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances). RI – 24,254.10 RII – 24,600 ~24,657 RIII – 25,100 ~25,120 *These values are not actual but merely levels. Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength). Reference: Phase II: Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves. --- **Important Dates to Remember: ** Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates: **January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP). **January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release. **January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release. --- **Final Verdict: ** The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level. --- **Strategy: ** Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise. ------ Fellow Traders, The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article. Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors! Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
Nifty Intraday and Swing Trade Analysis For 06/01/25 And weekly In this post, I’m sharing my detailed analysis of Nifty 50’s recent price action, focusing on intraday and swing trades. This setup incorporates technical patterns, volume confirmation, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to identify high-probability trade opportunities. Key Observations Bearish Momentum Across Timeframes: Both daily and intraday charts show strong bearish trends validated by supply zones and volume spikes. Critical Levels Identified: Resistance: 24,200 - 24,400 (Supply Zone). Support: 23,950 (Intraday) and 23,700 - 23,500 (Swing Levels). Volume Profile: Volume spikes on breakdowns confirm institutional involvement. Trade Plan: Intraday Scenario 1: Sell Below 23,950 Entry: Below 23,950 (confirmed breakdown). Stop Loss: Above 24,050. Target 1: 23,900. Target 2: 23,850. Rationale: Break below 23,950 signals bearish continuation with strong seller dominance. Scenario 2: Buy Above 24,050 Entry: Above 24,050. Stop Loss: Below 23,950. Target 1: 24,100. Target 2: 24,150. Rationale: Reclaiming 24,050 indicates a potential bullish reversal. Confidence Level: Moderate (requires strong buying volume). SWING TRADING Scenario 1: Swing Sell Below 23,900 Entry: Below 23,900. Stop Loss: Above 24,150. Target 1: 23,700. Target 2: 23,500. Rationale: A breakdown below 23,900 aligns with the long-term bearish structure and supply rejection. Scenario 2: Swing Buy Above 24,200 Entry: Above 24,200. Stop Loss: Below 24,000. Target 1: 24,400. Target 2: 24,600. Rationale: Clearing the supply zone at 24,200 would confirm a trend reversal. Confidence Level: Moderate. Advanced Concepts Used Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Supply Zone: 24,200 - 24,400. Demand Zone: 23,700 - 23,500. Liquidity Trap: Below 23,950. Volume Confirmation: Selling volume spikes during breakdowns confirm bearish moves. Low-volume retracements suggest weak buying interest. Indicators: RSI: Below 50 on daily charts, supporting bearish momentum. MACD: Bearish crossover on daily charts aligns with the trend. Moving Averages: Price below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA reinforces bearish bias. Why This Trade Setup Stands Out This analysis combines the best of price action, volume confirmation, and advanced SMC tools. Each level and decision is backed by data and market behavior, ensuring a methodical approach to trading. Disclaimer The views and trade ideas shared in this post are for informational and educational purposes only. They are not financial advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial instruments. Trading involves significant risk, and you should carefully consider your financial situation, objectives, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by thirdeyecs
2