NIFTY trade ideas
Recovery by Nifty, Resistance zone ahead. (Economic commentary)Nifty has given a strong closing amidst global uncertainty. The uncertainty and heavy volatility will remain in the market so traders are requested to be very cautious especially with regards to Futures and Options. Any positive news can trigger a huge upside at the same time any negative news can trigger a huge downside as well.
India is silently staying neutral and trying to chart it's own deal should be seen as a positive view for long term investors. The focus of Indian investors should remain on companies which procure local raw material and supply it locally these will be the safest bets. MET has predicted a normal Monsoon for India with 103% rainfall which can another shot in the arm for Local markets. FMCG, Specialty Chemicals and Fertilizers, Banks and Financial services should be the sectors to focus.
Along with these sectors commodities and Consumption and can also be the theme as these are dark horses which can benefit from volatility. As Crude is sliding down the companies related to energy and those which are dependent on Oil & Gas, Energy for power and raw material can also benefit. The choice of the stocks should be smart at this juncture to reap rewards.
Long term investors should use this opportunity to invest in Blue chips and High Dividend Yield PSUs and other companies if they are sitting on cash. If not you can use these times to reshuffle your portfolios and align them as per the changing needs of the time. Neutral stance from India can even benefit it by getting FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) if Indian Governments plays it's cards smartly. Too much fog, mist and clouds around on global economy currently for investors to get a clear vision of sunrise sectors. Geo-political uncertainties are also blinding and making the objects in front of us look fuzzy. Investors need to keep patience, avoid speculation and let the dust settle. Even after reconsideration of changing global scenarios Indian GDP will still clock 6%+ so do not have much to worry in the long term. This volatility too shall pass and horizon will definitely be visible in the near future.
To know about how to select good companies to invest in read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. It will help you in making solid triumphant decisions during these uncertain times. It teaches you Behavioural Finance, Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis, Profit Booking and many such important topics. The book is one of the highest rated in it's category. The book is available in Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. You can also contact me directly for getting the same.
Nifty supports remain at: 22270, 21743 (Channel Bottom Support), 21281 (52 week Low support), 20745 and 20236. Below 20236 weekly closing the bears can try to Bring Nifty down to 200 Weeks EMA or the FATHER LINE which is at 19893.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 22913, 23249 MOTHER LINE which will be a (Major resistance), 23499 (Strong Trend line resistance), Above 23499 Bulls can become more active and try to Pull Nifty upwards towards 23894, 24334, 24831 and 25419. After we get a monthly closing above 25419 we can think of regaining 26K levels.
Short Term Outlook : Brace for massive volatility.
Medium Term Outlook: Range Bound Nifty.
Long Term Outlook: Still Very Strong.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD - 11th April 2025📌 Background
After yesterday’s holiday, global cues were positive—especially from the US markets. SGX Nifty indicated a strong gap-up. As expected, Nifty opened at 22,695, right around the previous session’s high and within our marked Resistance Zone.
📌 Today’s Price ActionNifty opened with a sharp gap-up, and the Initial Balance (IB) high was formed at 22,875. The price managed to breach the IB high briefly, triggering a trade signal and filling the gap between 4th and 7th April sessions.However, the index failed to sustain above 22,875–22,900. Momentum fizzled out post-breakout, and Nifty retraced toward the opening zone.
🧊 Intraday range was 228 points, out of which 165 points occurred during the IB phase. Most of the move was already baked in early on.
📉 Despite gaining +429 points intraday, Nifty closed at 22,828, slightly below the previous week’s high of 22,857—which hints at a pause or temporary exhaustion.
📌 Technical OutlookNifty is still playing between supply and demand zones. Today’s rejection from above 22,900 and close below the weekly high indicates a need for further strength or a catalyst to push beyond 23,000 convincingly. A clean break above 22,900–23,000 remains key.
📌 Important Levels
🔼 Resistance Zones
22,857 (Weekly High)
22,900–23,040
23,182
23,340
🔽 Support Zones
22,668 (Breakout Zone)
22,337
22,082 (Previous Lowest Swing Close)
🧠 Strategy Going ForwardIf no negative news flow arises, a retest of 23,000–23,040 is likely. Traders should wait for sustained price action above 22,900 for fresh longs.Avoid aggressive shorts unless the price breaks down below 22,668 with momentum.
📋 Quick Recap✅ Gap-up opening on global cues✅ IB High breached and gap filled✅ 228-point range; majority in IB✅ Resistance at 22,900 held firm✅ Closed below weekly high
🧘 Patience is power. Wait for confirmation beyond resistance.
Nifty levels - Apr 15, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/04/2025Gap up opening near 23000 level expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading above 23050 level then expected further upside rally upto 23250+ level in opening session. Downside 22800 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside rally only expected if nifty not sustain above level and starts trading below 22750 level.
NIFTY taking support ! Signs of REVERSAL!!?Following the global cues, the gains has been nullified by today’s fall in global market which can lead to not so strong of a opening but in a broader view NIFTY seems to be taking support at the falling wedge structure which is a potential signs of REVERSAL and strength hence as long as NIFTY maintains itself above the structure, every dip can be bought despite of global volatility so keep watching everyone and plan your trades accordingly.
11 April Nifty50 trading zone #Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👉Gap up open 22660 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 22818, 23118
👉Gap up open 22660 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22492
👉Gap down open 22492 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22658, 22810 , 23118
👉Gap down open 22492 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22372
💫big gapdown open 22372 above hold 1st positive trade view
💫big Gapup opening 22818 below nigetive trade view
📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
Nifty Trend direction Nifty 22399 - A VTOP pattern could be seen in daily chart which is a pull back test of 22671 Support.
As per Bulkowski chart pattern "You can calculate a 38.2% retrace of the move up on the left side of the pattern. If price closes below the computed value, then consider selling" which is at 22870.
Last session Call writers very aggressive and didn't allow to raise Nifty above 22448 Though PUT writers try hard to push up the Nifty. In Fact Call writers were successful pushing down to a low 22340.
As long as Nifty trade below 22528 we shall expect Nifty to go down further to 209395 !!!
"Is Nifty Gearing Up for a Bullish Move?"Nifty 50 Daily Chart Analysis – 10th April 2025
1. Price Trend and Structure:
Nifty recently faced strong resistance near the 24,000–24,200 zone and has since reversed.
The index is moving within a downward sloping channel, confirming a short-term bearish structure.
The pattern shows lower highs and lower lows, signaling continued bearish pressure.
2. Fibonacci Levels:
A key support zone was tested around 21,964, corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
If this level fails to hold, the next downside targets could be near 21,500 and then 20,800 (based on Fibonacci extensions).
3. Support and Resistance:
Immediate support: 21,964
Immediate resistance: 22,918 to 22,953 (horizontal level and EMA confluence)
A breakout above 23,000 would be a signal for potential trend reversal or bullish momentum.
4. EMA Stack Strength Meter:
The EMA histogram is turning deep red, indicating bearish alignment of exponential moving averages.
Momentum is clearly negative, with no strong bullish signs yet.
5. ADX Meter Line:
The ADX-based meter shows predominantly red bars.
This indicates rising trend strength, but with the -DI being stronger than +DI, confirming bearish dominance.
Very few green bars suggest limited bullish activity.
Expectations:
As long as Nifty stays below the 22,950–23,000 zone, the bias remains bearish to sideways.
A break below 21,964 could open further downside toward 21,500 or even 20,800.
Sustained recovery and a close above 23,000, along with rising ADX and +DI dominance, would be needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Price action at the channel support.
Direction of ADX and DI lines.
Volume activity on any potential bounce.
US-China Rift: India's Golden Hour?Heightened trade tensions between the United States and China, characterized by substantial US tariffs on Chinese goods, inadvertently create a favorable environment for India. The significant difference in tariff rates—considerably lower for Indian imports than Chinese ones—positions India as an attractive alternative manufacturing base for corporations seeking to mitigate costs and geopolitical risks when supplying the US market. This tariff advantage presents a unique strategic opening for the Indian economy.
Evidence of this shift is already apparent, with major players like Apple reportedly exploring increased iPhone imports from India and even accelerating shipments ahead of tariff deadlines. This trend extends beyond Apple, as other global electronics manufacturers, including Samsung and potentially even some Chinese firms, evaluate shifting production or export routes through India. Such moves stand to significantly bolster India's "Make in India" initiative and enhance its role within global electronics value chains.
The potential influx of manufacturing activity, investment, and exports translates into substantial tailwinds for India's benchmark Nifty 50 index. Increased economic growth, higher corporate earnings for constituent companies (especially in manufacturing and logistics), greater foreign investment, and positive market sentiment are all likely outcomes. However, realizing this potential requires India to address persistent challenges related to infrastructure, policy stability, and ease of doing business, while also navigating competition from other low-tariff nations and seeking favorable terms in ongoing trade negotiations with the US.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 11.04.2025🔄 Recap since last update (21.03.2025):
Nifty rallied to a high of 23,869.60 on 25th March, right into the Weekly Supply Zone highlighted earlier — and then the storm hit. Triggered by Trump’s tariff announcements, Nifty crashed over 2,000 points in just 8 sessions, bottoming out at 21,743.65 on 7th April.
🌍 Global markets have since remained highly volatile. Interestingly, Dow Futures have bounced back 4,000 points (10%) from their lows and are now hovering around 40,700 (while writing this).
⚠️ With the looming Trade War, expect continued volatility across global and Indian markets. Be nimble and cautious.
📅 On Wednesday (Weekly Expiry):
Nifty opened gap-down, moved in a tight range between 22,468.70 and 22,353.25, and closed at 22,399.15, down 137 points from the previous session.
🔹 Trend Analysis:
Weekly Trend (50 SMA): Sideways
Daily Trend (50 SMA): Sideways
📉 Demand/Support Zones
Near Support (30m): 21,964.85 – 22,080.85
Near Demand/Support (75m): 21,814.35 – 22,037.80
Far Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support (Daily): 20,769.50 – 20,950
📈 Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply (Gap Zone - Daily): 22,697.20 – 22,904.45
Far Supply (Daily): 23,145.80 – 23,350
Far Supply (Daily): 23,412.20 – 23,649.20 (Inside Weekly Supply)
Far Supply (Weekly): 23,412.20 – 23,869.60
Far Supply (Weekly): 24,180.80 – 24,792.30
🔍 Outlook:
Nifty has shown signs of stabilization post the sharp fall, but the presence of a Daily Gap Zone at 22,697 – 22,904 will be the first hurdle for bulls. If this gets cleared with volume, we could see a climb toward 23,145–23,350.
However, global uncertainties and overhead supply zones suggest a sell-on-rise approach may be more appropriate in the short term. Stay agile and manage risk diligently.
📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Nifty 50 – End of Day Analysis (9th April 2025)🟠 Nifty 50 – End of Day Analysis (9th April 2025)
📌 Background
After the wide-range spinning top on April 8, all eyes were on the RBI MPC event today. While markets typically react to such key announcements, Nifty surprised everyone with its muted response and a rangebound session.
📌 Today’s Price Action
🔹 Nifty opened slightly negative and formed its Initial Balance (IB) early on.
🔹 After the IB, the index remained stuck in a very tight range – a structure we’ve seen repeating over the last few weekly expiries.
🔹 Today’s total range was just 115 points (high to low) – the lowest in the past 14 sessions!
📉 On an MPC event day, such low volatility was quite unexpected.
🔹 With no momentum and no breakout from IB, our system didn’t trigger any trade signal, and we stayed on the sidelines.
📌 Technical Outlook
Today’s candle lacks momentum and conviction.
Key resistance still holds at 22,668–22,720, and support rests near 22,337.
A breakout from this compression zone could decide the next trending leg.
📌 Important Levels to Watch
🔼 Resistance Zones
22,590
22,668 – 22,720
22,805
🔽 Support Zones
22,337
22,270
22,082 (Previous Swing Close)
🧠 Strategy Ahead
As of now, no directional bias without a confirmed breakout.
✅ Wait-and-watch until the IB range breaks
✅ Avoid forced entries in low volatility setups
✅ Let price lead—don’t anticipate
📋 Quick Recap
✔️ IB formed, post-IB rangebound
✔️ 115 pt range – lowest in 14 sessions
✔️ MPC event day, but no buzz
✔️ System = silent = No trade
✔️ Sitting tight is also a position
🧘 Final Thought
"Markets often give profits to those who master patience."
Let the levels guide you — trade with calm and clarity.
India along with the globe stages a recovery. Indian markets staged a recovery along with it's global peers. Although the market moved 374 points upwards. After making a high of 22697 the market closed at 22535 which is 162 points down. Which means it has formed a Bullish Doji. Now Doji candle irrespective of the colour means uncertainty, until we clear the Doji top further upside will not be possible. The doji top resistance is at 22697 and Doji bottom support is at 22270.
Doji works like a cage. The bird will fly either side once the cage is broken.
To know more about the kind of candles, Mother, Father lines, behavioural finance, Technical analysis, fundamental analysis read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation.
Nifty Supports remain at: 22270 (Doji cage support), 21743 current low of Trump Tantrum, 21289, 20790 (Channel Bottom support) and 20320.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 22697 (Doji cage resistance), 23061 Mother line resistance, 23376 Father line resistance and 23894 recent market high.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty levels - Apr 11, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
A Trend break trap in Nifty 50 that can trap retailersDisclaimer- Please take this as an educational content, trade with professional financial advice and discretion
The US Federal Reserve’s latest policy stance has sent waves of optimism across global stock markets, including India, as it signaled two interest rate cuts in 2025 while slowing its balance sheet reduction. As of today we can observe a strong break out in Nifty 50 index due to positive global cues and this indicates a long trade on the index future. But this may a trap due to lot of reasons.
GDP growth has been cut from 2.1 per cent to 1.7 per cent, core inflation is set to rise from 2.5 per cent to 2.8 per cent, and unemployment is projected to inch up.
Inflation concerns rise in with tariff wars and a similar situation can be experienced as the hyperbolic rise in inflation of 2021 as current inflation is above fed targets and could go out of bounds due to faster rate cuts.
I believe the US government(Donald Trump) doesn't wants high tariffs but is prone to act out harshly to protect his image and thus ended up starting a global trade war.
On warfront there is no actual progress towards a ceasefire and more talks on the diplomatic end, which may not give the fuel to markets for a rally.
Technically there is heavy resistance built by option writing and shorts at 23500 level which may be harder for the market to break in the short term.
I would be adding shorts on price action at resistance and won't be carrying any overnight positions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/04/2025Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 22450 level then possible sharp downside rally in index upto 22250 level. 22250 will act as a strong support for today's session. Any major downside in index expected below this support level. Upside rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above the 22550 level in today's session
Back in STRUCTURE! But INDIA will recover the STRONGEST!! As we can NIFTY got itself in the structure again and is likely to remain in that structure if not influenced by global cues but looking at a whole INDIAN market looks strongest and less affected as compared to the global market which makes us stay by our analysis of buying the dip till the mother candle is not broken below to plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.