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NIFTY trade ideas

NIFTY Daily Timeframe Analysis & Weekly OutlookTechnical Analysis: Current Trend: NIFTY is experiencing a sharp pullback after a breakdown from its recent falling wedge pattern. Support Levels: The index is approaching 22,500-22,400, a crucial demand zone where it may attempt a bounce. Resistance Levels: Any recovery will face resistance around 23,000-23,200, followed by a major resistance at 23,500. Pattern Analysis: A double-bottom formation is visible around the recent lows, which could indicate potential recovery in the coming sessions. Volume Analysis: Selling pressure is moderate, suggesting market participants are cautious rather than panic selling. Fundamental Analysis: Macroeconomic Outlook: Global uncertainties and inflation concerns continue to impact sentiment. FII & DII Activity: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) are accumulating selectively. Sector Strength: Defensive sectors like FMCG & IT are showing resilience, while banking & auto stocks face some pressure. Earnings Season Impact: Many large-cap companies are still to report results, which may trigger short-term volatility.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TheWealthyInvestorbyDSAB
Accumulation Zone Activated in Nifty 50As we discussed before 1 month Nifty react as well as my Analysis 🔍 Nifty 50 Analysis – Here’s a detailed breakdown of the chart and its implications: ⚔️Key Observations 📌 1. Accumulation Zone (22,625 - 22,821) ✅ 🔹 This zone is a "best price range for long-term investment." 🔹 Historically, accumulation zones indicate a potential demand area where institutional buyers may step in. 🔹 If the index holds this level, we could see an upward movement 📈. 📌 2. Strong Resistance Zone (23,050 - 23,178) ❌ 🔹 The chart suggests this area is a potential reversal point. 🔹 If Nifty reaches this level, profit booking or selling pressure may emerge. 🔹 A breakout above this zone could signal further bullish momentum 🚀. 📌 3. Projected Price Action (Wave Structure) 🔄 🔹 The pattern (A → D → F) suggests a possible bounce from accumulation to resistance. 🔹 If resistance is broken, Nifty could rally further. 📊 Trading Strategy ✅ Bullish View: 🔹 If Nifty holds above 22,625, it could move toward 23,050 - 23,178. 🔹 A breakout above 23,178 may signal a continued uptrend 🚀. ❌ Bearish View: 🔹 A breakdown below 22,625 could lead to further declines 📉. 🔹 If this happens, new support levels need to be identified. ⚠ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Stock markets are subject to market risks. Please do your own research before investing. 📢📊
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Alpha_strike_trader
THE FEAR IS REAL. MAKE USE OF IT FOR THE LONG TERM!Disclaimer: The following article is not investment advice. It is solely prepared for educational purposes, specifically regarding the Indian markets and aimed at people interested in long-term investments. The numbers mentioned reflect the data available at the time of writing. Hello people, We are witnessing significant movements in the Indian markets, with news of small-cap stocks entering a ‘bear market’, mid-caps falling nearly 16%, and the major index, NIFTY 50, down about 11% since September. This has led to a decline in SIPs (by 109%) and raised questions about the resilience of common Indian equity investors. SMID stocks have performed the worst since the Covid crash, and various narratives are circulating, such as ‘BUY THE DIPS’ and others equally discouraging equity investment altogether. Regardless of these narratives, it is evident that during substantial declines or bear markets, even fundamentally strong stocks—those suitable for long-term investments—can be purchased at discounted prices. These are the stocks widely considered the right choice and can be made use of for this phase of the market according to proficient professionals. The question remains: which are they? This article highlights a few of these stocks based on my analysis. I share them to raise awareness, especially for those looking for such opportunities, but I am NOT advising you to buy them. What makes this content relevant is that it comes from someone who has been monitoring the market out of initiative, from a genuine interest over the past 3-4 years. So let's begin. My top pick stock ticking all the boxes is Mahanagar Gas . It has impressive financials and is a fundamentally strong mid-cap company. It's both a value stock and a good growth stock (two common investing styles are value investing and growth-based investing). The stock's P/E ratio is 12.6, indicating it might be undervalued. The current price is ₹1,343, and the intrinsic value (according to Screener) is ₹1,479. As a mid-cap stock, it holds significant growth potential with a medium risk level—lower than that of small caps. It’s currently priced at a 31% discount. Next I see Indus towers . Again good fundamentally, making it a good pick for long-term investors. As a large-cap stock, its growth potential is less than mid or small caps, but it’s still solid and carries lower risk of all. Its P/E ratio is 9.18, indicating potential undervaluation. However, one downside is that although its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.75 (which is good), its enterprise value exceeds the market cap, possibly suggesting high debt or overvaluation (which I doubt). Additionally, promoter holdings have decreased by 3% in the last quarter. Among the other options are Godawari Power and Andhra Petrochemicals . Godawari Power is a solid mid-cap stock, with one exception: its 10-year sales growth or compounded revenue growth does not exceed 10% over the last 10 years, a key criterion for long-term investments. However, its 7-year sales growth surpasses 10%, which is positive. With a P/E ratio of 14.5 and a 31% discount from its previous high, it seems undervalued and carries medium risk, with the potential for high growth. Last option is Andhra petrochemicals which unlike the others on this list, is a small-cap stock, making it suitable for those with a high-risk appetite. It has strong fundamentals and meets all the criteria required for long-term investment. The current price of ₹58.7 is below its book value of ₹64.8, and the intrinsic value is ₹154, indicating an attractive investment. It’s also interesting to note that when the price-to-book ratio is below 1 (P/BV < 1), it’s often considered an amazing deal .But again, this is a small-cap stock, so proceed with caution. Criteria Used All the stocks listed here have passed my evaluation based on four key areas required for a growing business: profitability, liquidity, leverage, and operational efficiency. Other factors considered include undervaluation, debt-to-equity ratio, and so on. Going forward, I am aware that there is a possibility of the markets falling further, which cannot be ignored. The narrative around March 20th and its significance in the market cycle is still present, and I would encourage caution. For those hesitant to invest now, I suggest keeping an eye on the charts. Wait for a solid bullish signal to appear, and confirm it with USOIL and USDINR charts. These are crucial for concluding about the trend of our markets. Additionally, perform a reality check on your investments: assess where your money is allocated, determine reasonable conservative targets, and evaluate the time frame for returns, apart from the projections made by portfolio managers and fund managers and their years of experiences too. Stats such as NIFTY MIDCAP 100 index giving negative returns from 2008 to 2014, is evident by directly observing the charts itself. I hope this information was valuable to you. Don't lose faith in the markets. Happy investing! “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffet
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by ThePassionate_investor
$NIFTY in a bearish pattern but downturn still not completeThe international markets like ICMARKETS:STOXX50 and IG:HANGSENG are experiencing a positive momentum and 20-Day is above the 50-Day, 100-Day SMA and 200-Day SMA. This indicates a bullish momentum in European and Chinese stock market. In contrast Indian index NSE:NIFTY which was a favorite trade in 2023 and 2024 has been underperforming with all the SMA below the 200-Day SMA indicating a bearish pattern. In the chart we have plotted an upward sloping Fib retracement level with Covid Lows as the bottom and prior to Covid as the top. In this upward sloping FIB retracement levels, we see that the index has very much stayed within the upper and the lower bound of the upward sloe. The recent crash has also not violated the lower bound. But the NSE:NIFTY is 3.618 Fib Level which is exactly @ 22796. If index levels respect the FIB Channel then there is some more downside to the index left until it reaches 22000 at the bottom of the range. My opinion we should be long NSE:NIFTY @22000. What are your thoughts? Long NSE:NIFTY @ 22000 level.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
Nifty Market Update: Bears Are in Control – A Rough Ride Ahead?The Nifty closed at 22,795 this week, down by 134 points from the previous week’s close, with a high of 23,049 and a low of 22,720. The formation of a Gravestone Doji candle indicates that the market is firmly under the control of the bears, signaling potential weakness ahead. As forecasted last week, Nifty moved within the range of 23,450 to 22,400, aligning perfectly with my predictions. Looking ahead to next week, I expect Nifty to trade between the 23,300 to 22,250 range. While 22,300-22,400 offers a strong support zone, if the index slips below 22,250, it could test the WEMA100 at 22,050, which could offer some relief. Digging deeper, I analyzed the Nifty50 monthly chart from 2004 onwards and noticed a recurring pattern: whenever Nifty closes below the monthly EMA21, it tends to test the EMA50, which currently stands at 19,450. If this month’s close is below 22,400, we could be heading toward 19,450, so brace yourselves for what could be a bumpy ride ahead. On the international front, the S&P 500 is showing signs of forming a bearish M-pattern, a negative signal for the broader market. This is troubling news for Indian markets, which are already under pressure. From the current level of 6,013, a 1.5% correction could see the index testing support levels around 5,900. The battle between bears and bulls continues, but for now, I believe the bears still have the upper hand. Stay cautious and keep a close watch on market movements – volatility is here to stay!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY50.....On track with my forecast!Hello Traders, Personal note! I am at home during my rehabilitation program after my stroke. A short break from the daily rehab routine. I expect to continue my rehab until the 6th of March 2025. After that, I hope to be back to normal. Thank you all for your understanding and best wishes for a speedy recovery! Kind regards Rubennase The chart! After an unsuccessful breakout from the Ichimoku Kumo, the NIFTY50 followed the path of a correction. A new multi-week low was made on Friday the 21st at 22720! The index is on track with my analysis and short hand to touch my multi-week analysed price target @22167! There is a possibility that the N50 will recover from its multi-week low @22167 and start a new impulse (?) move higher. A daily close above 22167 is important for this idea! More interesting is the fact that the N50 will follow the path to my target range in the coming weeks. There is more bearish potential! A break of 22587 will establish the trend to the downside! At 22006 the waves a=c! Note this fact! A possible "spike" to the downside is probably something to think about! Well friends, that's it for a quick note. See you after my rehab, and thanks again! Kind regards Red Nose Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
15
Reverse Hammer in Nifty (confirmation pending) sign of reversal.A reverse hammer pattern is formed in Nifty in the weekly charts. Usually This kind of formation signals trend reversal. For reversal to be successful we need a closing next week above 23044. If this happens investors and traders can breathe a sigh of relief from the on going market correction. If the reversal is not successful we might see Nifty fall further to 22427 or in the worst case scenario the next supports will be at 22132, 21718 or even 21302 as of now. On the positive side if the reversal is successful we may see Nifty rising to 23383, 23819, 24205 or close to 25K if we get a weekly or monthly close above 23044 level. Another point which goes in favour of Nifty is that weekly RSI currently is at 39.39. Last time the weekly RSI was this low was in March 23 when it was 38.80. After this point we saw a rally in Nifty which lasted almost 18/19 months. So a further small dip post which we can see a come back in Nifty as per the Relative Strength Index. Next week and the week after than will be critical for reversal of Nifty. Shadow of the candle neutral to positive this week. We might be near a temporary bottom (confirmation pending). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty50_15Min_LongBased on the CRT model, in the 4-hour timeframe (TF), the CRT High and Low are identified. After a liquidity sweep below the CRT Low, a trend reversal occurs, signalling a potential bullish move. In the lower timeframe (LTF), an Inversed Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is identified, serving as an optimal entry area. The entry is executed within the IFVG zone, with a stop-loss strategically placed below the liquidity sweep area to mitigate risk and enhance trade precision.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Praveenkumar_VPK
#NIFTY higher time frame update 6M close was one of the worst for bulls & now we are seeing good follow through on price as well. it is very much possible we don't have full retracement as I am expecting but I am overall bearish for next couple of years, price have been flowing below yearly pivot point, I usually target S1 in that matter which is lining up with 50% retracement, there is a possibility of cypher I am watching here that will push price back up for a double top kind of structure. We are here to speculate not predict what will be the outcome. all we can do is to have a plan & act on it when & if levels are hit. will try to keep this idea updated in next few months as price develops further
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Bromadic
1
NIFTY CHART PATTERN 15MINDouble Bottom Pattern: This is typically seen as a bullish reversal pattern. It forms when the price makes two distinct lows at roughly the same level, indicating that the selling pressure is weakening, and the market might reverse to the upside after failing to push lower. Falling Wedge Pattern: This pattern also tends to be bullish when it occurs after a downtrend. The price moves within converging trendlines, and the price action narrows, indicating a potential reversal. A breakout to the upside from this pattern is typically seen as a signal for a bullish trend. Target 23300-23700: If the Nifty 50 index breaks upward after confirming both of these patterns, you believe the target could be around 23300. This target could be based on measuring the height of the wedge or double bottom and projecting it from the breakout point. For these patterns to have a higher probability of success, you'd typically look for: Volume confirmation: A strong breakout with higher volume can give more validity to the reversal signal. Momentum indicators: Indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages confirming the bullish shift would add to the reliability of the pattern. If the pattern holds and the breakout occurs, hitting the target of 24,300 could be plausible based on this analysis. However, as with all chart patterns, it’s important to keep an eye on any changes or external factors that could affect market behavior.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by hanifjuneja