ONGC trade ideas
Inverted Head and Shoulders: A Comprehensive GuideThe Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a popular and reliable reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Understanding and identifying this pattern can provide traders with profitable trading opportunities.
Anatomy of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Left Shoulder: The price declines to a trough and subsequently rises.
Head: The price falls again, forming a lower trough.
Right Shoulder : The price rises once more before declining to a trough similar to the left shoulder.
Identifying the Pattern
To accurately identify an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, look for the following characteristics:
Three Troughs: The head should be the lowest point, with the two shoulders on either side.
Neckline: Draw a trendline connecting the peaks of the two shoulders. This line acts as a resistance level.
Breakout Confirmation
The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the neckline with increased volume. This breakout indicates a reversal of the previous downtrend and the start of a new uptrend.
Trading the Inverted Head and Shoulders
Entry Point
Enter a long position when the price closes above the neckline. To reduce false breakouts, consider waiting for a retest of the neckline as support.
Stop-Loss
Place the stop-loss order below the right shoulder to limit potential losses. This level provides a cushion against false breakouts and unexpected market movements.
Target Price
The target price can be estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting this distance upward from the breakout point.
Example:
Example Reference image of chart ONGC on Daily Time Frame shared below
Distance from Head to Neckline: 62 points
Breakout Point: 280 points
Target Price: 342 points
Practical Example of ONGC chart
The neckline is drawn connecting the two peaks at 280 level. A breakout occurs at 280 level with increased volume and now candle closed bullish at 288 levels with Good intensity of Volumes.
Key Points to Remember
Volume: Volume should increase during the formation of the pattern, especially at the breakout point.
Timeframe: The pattern can form over various timeframes, but it is more reliable over longer periods.
Market Context: Always consider the broader market context and other technical indicators to confirm the pattern.
Conclusion
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a powerful tool for traders looking to capitalize on trend reversals. By understanding its structure and applying disciplined trading strategies, traders can enhance their ability to identify and profit from these patterns.
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ONGC CAN GIVE A GOOD MOVEOngc can give a good up move with a decent stoploss and good Targets for swing and positional trades
ENTRY- 276
STOPLOSS - 274
TARGETS - 284, 290, 296++
Note- if any trade or value that's gone from the marked levels then that's not our trade just let it go or wait for it to come back
I'm not sebi registered this is my personal view
Please like or boost my idea if you like it or traded it
Thankyou
Next leg in ONGC can take it to INR300ONGC was seen correcting 38.2% of its prior leg up and looks good from current level to go long.
The correction was an FLAT(3-3-5)(ABC).
The stock is currently in wave iv of III of 3 and had multiple legs pending to the upside.
The leg being anticipated would be the wave v of III of 3.
INR 300 is the expected target level for the stock.
INR 250 remains a crucial support moving ahead.
ONGC MONTHLY CHARTONGC MONTHLY CHART
Breakout @ 195 (red ellipse) Target (MOB) @ 300-314 Support 120(green ellipse)
This stock has witnessed a breakout @ 195 levels, MOB for the pattern is placed @ 300-314, with projected time period of July2024-Oct204 ( horizontal white line).
Its only an observation & not any suggestion or recommendation.
Oil & Natural Gas India is in uptrend to 272Daily chart, the stock has formed 2 patterns, rising channel and cup & handle. The first target is 230.9 and the second is 272.2 (on the weekly chart)
The technical indicator RSI is at the over-bought area, and it means some correction is due, before going up.
Stop loss at 205 - 200 to be considered.
Breakout Stock ONGCONGC has broken its all time high and marching ahead, is it good time to catch it? i say yes.
lets wait for a monthly candle to close above its all time high 197.65 then take entry near 197, targets and SL marked in the chart.
revert for any doubts or clarifications.
Disc- This is not a buy recommendation, please trade as per your own risk.
ONGC (Swing):ONGC (Swing):
ONGC is set for a 30-35 % up move due to the strong surge in energy sector.
Appropriate support, resistance levels are highlighted with target.
Keep adding between 190-200 with a SL around 180.
Trade offers a RR of 1:5.
Note: Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
ONGC LONG Buying energy sector,
1. In a deflationary scenario, energy is often a hedge.
2. Equities are crashing and so are bonds.
3. There is a supply shock going on when it comes to crude oil.
4. US SPR is at 50% from all time highs.
Technical analysis,
1. Strong up trend.
2. Decent retracement, price below the 15 min 200 EMA.
3. August resistance may turn in to support INR 179.
4. Bullish divergence on the RSI.
Monthly Breakout on chart Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) is India's largest oil and gas exploration and production company. With a strong presence in both domestic and international markets, ONGC is a key player in India's energy sector. The company is involved in the exploration, drilling, production, and refining of oil and gas products.
Market Position:
ONGC holds a dominant position in India's oil and gas industry, contributing significantly to the country's energy needs. The company's vast reserves, advanced technology, and operational expertise make it a reliable and stable player in the market.
Key Investment Themes:
Energy Demand in India: India's growing population and expanding economy continue to drive the demand for energy. ONGC, as a major energy supplier, is well-positioned to meet this increasing demand, ensuring a steady revenue stream.
Resilience in Oil Prices: Despite fluctuations, oil and gas remain essential commodities globally. ONGC's operations are influenced by international oil prices. However, its integrated business model and cost-efficiency measures help mitigate the impact of price fluctuations.
Exploration and Reserves: ONGC possesses significant oil and gas reserves both in India and overseas. Continued exploration activities and the discovery of new reserves enhance the company's production capabilities, ensuring long-term growth prospects.
Government Support: ONGC operates under the umbrella of the Indian government, which provides stability and support. Government initiatives to boost domestic production and reduce energy imports further strengthen ONGC's position.
Technological Advancements: ONGC invests in cutting-edge technologies and techniques for exploration and production. Continuous advancements enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve the company's competitive advantage.
Risks and Mitigation:
Oil Price Volatility: Fluctuations in global oil prices can impact ONGC's profitability. The company manages this risk through hedging strategies and a focus on operational efficiency.
Regulatory Challenges: Government regulations and policies can affect the energy sector. ONGC's close collaboration with regulatory bodies and its adaptability to policy changes help mitigate regulatory risks.
Environmental Concerns: Environmental regulations and concerns are significant challenges for oil and gas companies. ONGC's commitment to sustainable practices, environmental conservation, and community engagement helps mitigate these risks.
Long-Term Outlook:
ONGC offers a compelling investment opportunity due to its strategic position in India's energy sector, vast reserves, technological advancements, and government support. As India's energy demands continue to rise, ONGC is poised for long-term growth.
Investors seeking exposure to the energy sector and the Indian economy might consider including ONGC in their portfolio. However, it's essential to monitor international oil market dynamics, government policies, and technological advancements while maintaining a long-term investment horizon. Conducting thorough research and periodic reassessment of the investment thesis is advisable to adapt to changing market conditions.