PNB trade ideas
$PNB - End of 9.5 yrs correction, next target 1000I believe we are at the end of a 9.5 years bear market for Punjab National Bank, which represents the Wave2 and Wave3 bull rally can take the price above 1000 easily (not sure on timeline, possibly years)
Factors in favor of correction ending (or almost)
- Hit the 0.618 Fib support line, a typical wave2 turn-around point
- Y is 1.618x of W
- Internal sub-waves of WXY have A:C = 1:1
- Weekly RSI is the lowest ever (oversold)
- Price corrected by 90%
Note that a further drop in Nifty can drag the price down IMO
Here is a macro view of monthly chart
$PNB - IH&S formation taking placeIH&S not yet complete but chart looks very similar to Bank of Baroda which confirmed IH&S recently and currently testing it's neckline. PNB would most likely complete IH&S structure and followed by breakout. Breakout target is given on chart.
T1 - 70.5 INR
T2 - 83 INR
#PNBPUNJAB NATIONAL BANK
Sector: Financials
Industry: Banks
Employees: 70810
Punjab National Bank (PNB or the Bank) is a public sector bank. The Bank provides various banking services, such as digital banking, personal banking, social banking, micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) banking, agricultural banking, corporate banking, international banking or non-resident Indian (NRI), and financial services. The Bank operates through four segments: Treasury, Corporate/Wholesale banking, Retail banking and Other banking operations. The Banks digital banking services include PNB Retail Internet Banking, PNB Corporate Internet Banking, PNB Mobile Banking and PNB SMS Banking. Its personal banking services include savings fund account, fixed deposit schemes and cards. Its social banking services include financial inclusion and priority sector. Its corporate banking services include loan against future lease rentals and cash management services. Its financial services include insurance business, merchant banking, mutual funds and wealth management services.
PNB - ( Punbaj National Bank ) - Payment Now Begins :)Whether the perpetrator of fraud is coming back or not, you can have your share back from PNB ( Punjab National Bank ). Finally after putting a base near Rs 70, it is turning a corner. I have accumulated between 70 - 90 range during the downfall and now looking forward to reap the rewards.
Hopefully, election optimism rally in Indian stocks along will push the beleaguered bank above 100 level. Initially I am looking for 120 - 140 range so let's see.
For India, I usually stick with my list of 15/20 stocks and hardly move outside those ( comparatively not easy to manipulate kind of ) stocks. But PNB was kind of juicy opportunity and couldn't resist to dabble in it. Thesis to buy was simple based on following assumptions,
1) Indian government can't let a bank go out of business due to such blatantly outrageous fraud which they must have detected much earlier ( not just detected but could have prevented ;) )
2) If bank has sufficient funds to cover and if it is not going out of business then, ultimately stock will recover :). But yes, finding the bottoming level is crucial. And honestly, I don't know what could be the bottom. But was just thinking somewhere around 50 but well, it didn't go below 70 so no complains. And how I came to think about 50? LOL, just out of thin air :)) . Experience in market will boost your guessing power too ;)