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CL1! trade ideas

WTI(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 70.41 Support and resistance levels: 75.98 73.90 72.55 68.27 66.92 64.84 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 72.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 73.90 If the price breaks through 70.41, consider selling, and the first target price is 68.27
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by NuggetsWarriors
WTI(20250616)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 71.11 Support and resistance levels: 78.59 75.79 73.98 68.24 66.43 63.64 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 73.98, consider buying in, the first target price is 75.79 If the price breaks through 71.11, consider selling in, the first target price is 68.24
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Crude Oil - we follow up with the momenetumCrude Oil Analysis: Why Prices Could Keep Rising Amid Israel-Iran Conflict? 🛢 🛢 🛢 📈 📈 📈The ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran have significantly intensified geopolitical risk in the Middle East—home to a third of the world’s oil supply. As hostilities escalate, crude oil prices are poised for continued upward momentum due to three key factors: 1️⃣ Supply Disruption Fears: The Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint through which 20% of global oil flows, could be compromised if Iran retaliates or is targeted more directly. Any disruption—even speculative—typically sends prices higher. 2️⃣ Production Uncertainty: Iran, a major OPEC member, may face new sanctions or physical damage to infrastructure. In retaliation, Iran could also target regional energy infrastructure, including in the UAE or Saudi Arabia, shrinking global supply. 3️⃣ Market Sentiment and Risk Premiums: Investors tend to price in risk quickly. With oil markets already tight due to OPEC+ cuts and tepid U.S. production growth, heightened instability adds a strong speculative premium. Bottom Line: Unless the Israel-Iran conflict de-escalates, crude oil has a strong bullish case. With limited spare capacity globally and increased geopolitical fragility, expect prices to remain elevated or climb further—especially if rhetoric turns into regional escalation. 💡 💡 📌 Trade plan ⬇️ Entry : On market open ✅Target : 79.00 ❌SL: 64.00
PYTH:WTI3!Long
by DG55Capital
Crude Oil - Two Scenarios and about Brain PowerPrice retests the L-MLH. VI. - Price breaks upward, target is the centerline VII. - Price reverses again, then the target is the 1/4 line, with a subsequent extended target at the red centerline, and possibly even lower at the white dashed warning line. On a personal note: I was once again told that the price didn’t do what I had projected. ...yeah, really, that’s how it is §8-) After over 30 years in the markets and hundreds of coaching sessions, I’m still amazed that people think you can predict price movements as if with a magic crystal ball. The fact that this belief still persists (even though they don’t understand even the absolute basics of trading) deeply concerns me at the core of my trading soul. Because this growing irrationality clearly indicates that far too little is being done in terms of education – or humanity might simply go extinct in the next 100 years due to rapidly declining intelligence! ...maybe I should just create a chart and apply a few median lines/forks? Happy trading to all of you and I pray for those with lesser brain power.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Tr8dingN3rd
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade. It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex
WTI(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.96 Support and resistance levels: 69.10 68.30 67.78 66.13 65.61 64.81 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 67.78, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.30 If the price breaks through 66.96, consider selling in, and the first target price is 66.13
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Oil Price Approaches April HighThe price of oil may further retrace the decline from the April high ($71.16) as it continues to carve a series of higher highs and lows, and a move above 70 in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is likely to be accompanied by a further advance in crude like the price action from earlier this year. In turn, a break/close above the $70.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $71.90 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone may push the price of oil toward the February high ($73.84), with the next area of interest coming in around $76.00 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) to $77.20 (50% Fibonacci retracement). At the same time, lack of momentum to test the April high ($71.16) may keep the RSI out of overbought territory but need a move below the $64.20 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to bring the monthly low ($61.06) on the radar. --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by FOREXcom
Crude Oil Breaks out of Channel More Upside Ahead?Hey traders so in continuation of the last post which was Can Crude Oil Close above $68? The answer is YES that didn't take long. 😁 One rule to live by that I have learned as a trader is Always Expect the Unexpected in Trading! So I bored out of my mind watching paint dry and then all of sudden Boom out of nowhere news that changes everything can happen in the blink of eye in these markets! So what Happened Opec? Iraq? Inventory Reports? Well truthfully it great to read to the news but I prefer to read the charts instead. The charts are already showing you that demand has increased so regardless of if you caught the news yesterday or not the charts have already told the story. Ok so now what it has closed above $68 which a strong bullish candle on 06/11 so did we miss the move? Not at all especially if this is the beginning of new trend so best way to trade the break out of a channel is watch for it to retest the breakout zone. So the breakout zone on the charts was $65 but now at $68 so if we can get a retest of $65-66 I believe it would be a great place to buy back in this market. Like I always say don't chase the market let it come to you. The party has already started but that doesn't mean you missed the party. We might get a second invitation at $65 or $66 so if trading this market place a buy order around there and stop loss somewhere below support and half way in the channel around $62-63 below to give the market room to breathe. What if we don't get a retest? Well thats how it is sometimes I would rather wait for the market to pullback then enter at the highest price of the move. I have missed moves sometimes because of this disicpline but sooner or later eventually the profit taking will bring it back down. Patience is key imo unless you don't mind buying at the high. Also Seasonally Oil Prices normally get increased demand due to the summer driving season. I will say sometimes there are fake channel breakouts to watch out for but this one looks bullish imo. Always use Risk Management! (Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by TradeTheIndex
1
Crude Oil Going Higher - TA and fundamentals aligneThe 0-5 count is not over yet. Sudo 4 and 5 are still lurking. It's good to see how the Medianline-Set cought the Highs of the swings. Likewise we can see the subborn rejection at the Center-Line at P3. I will not trade CL to the short side, until it's clear that P4 is engraved in this Chart. Until then, I maybe shoot for some intraday or dayli trades in Crude. Economy Facts that support a rise, up to P4: Crude oil refineries typically switch to producing more gasoline (fuel for cars) in the spring, particularly around March to April in the United States and other northern hemisphere countries. Seasonal demand: Warmer months mean more driving and vacation travel, increasing gasoline demand. Regulatory change: Refineries begin producing summer-grade gasoline, which has lower volatility and is required by environmental regulations (especially in the U.S. under EPA rules). The switch to summer-grade gasoline must be completed by June 1st for retail and May 1st for terminals and pipelines in the U.S. In Summary: - Switch begins: March–April - Completed by: May (terminals), June (retail) - This seasonal shift is often called the "refinery maintenance season" or "spring blend switch."
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
4
CRUDE OIL: 12 JUNE, 2025 - BOTTOM AND TAKE OFF!?Conclusion: The ABC)-orange correction may have just completed, and a five-wave is pushing much higher, targeting the nearest target at the high around 94.19 or 130.50. Details: Since the high of 130.50, a decline with A,B,C)-orange has unfolded as a Zigzag. I counted a five-wave within the A)-orange, and a triangle within the B)-orange, and finally the C)-orange has completed as a five-wave. So, perhaps that ABC has ended with convincing evidence. So crude oil is likely to rise in the medium term, even though the alternative scenarios with relatively high probability in another development also show increasing bullish weight. And it is aiming for the nearest target at 94.19. While price must always remain above 55.30 to keep the Bullish market view valid.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by ShaneHua
WTI(20250612)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.02 Support and resistance levels: 69.56 68.23 67.38 64.66 63.80 62.47 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 67.38, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.23 If the price breaks through 66.02, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.66
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Crude Oil Triangle Breakout Near – Watch 5600 Zone Closely!🛢 CRUDEOIL – Weekly Outlook (4H Timeframe) Published by: Shalvi Sharma (Power Commodity Trading) Crude is trading around 5568 and approaching a crucial triangle breakout zone. ⚠️ Key Levels: Breakout Resistance: 5600 – 5675 Bearish OB Zone: 5675 – 5800 Immediate Support: 5374 (EMA55) Demand Zone: 5180 – 5270 🔍 Technical Outlook: Price is compressing within a symmetrical triangle formation. A breakout above 5600 with volume confirmation could push price towards the 5800 zone. However, Bearish Order Block (OB) awaits near 5800 — this zone has historically rejected upside moves. 🎯 Possible Scenarios: Bullish: Break & hold above 5600 → Upside targets: 5675 → 5740 → 5800 Bearish: Rejection at 5600 – 5675 → Downside pullback possible towards 5400 – 5374 📌 Wait for confirmation — breakout with volume will be the key driver. Stay nimble and trade with defined risk. #CrudeOil #MCXCrude #PowerOfCommodity #TriangleBreakout #TradingViewIndia #EnergyMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis Comment below if you think it's bearish?
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Shalvisharma5
Chart Pattern Analysis Of CL1! There are 4 candles close upon the neckline of a potential bullish triangle pattern, It seems that another bull run will start here. I am expecting an accelerate motive wave to touch or break up the nearest higher high at about 72USD. On the other hand, If K5 couldn’t close upon K4 to verify the strong bullish momentum, It is also possible that a short-term consolidation will carry on from K3. If the following candles successfully retest the downtrend line after a successful break up, It is also a good place to buy it then. Long-65.4/Stop-64.4/Target-72
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by nothingchangehere
Will there be a big rise in oil prices? WTI crude futures rose to around $66.1 per barrel on Tuesday, continuing gains for the second consecutive session, as ongoing geopolitical tensions fuel concerns about a possible reduction in global supply. Russia and Ukraine held a second round of direct peace talks after the sharp escalation of hostilities the previous day, but the discussions failed to produce any significant progress in resolving the three-year conflict. Further intensifying supply concerns, a wildfire in Alberta, Canada, forced a temporary halt to oil and gas production. Meanwhile, OPEC+ kept its July production increase at the same level as the previous two months, easing fears of a supply surge. In addition, an Iranian diplomat said on Monday that Iran is ready to reject the US proposal to resolve the decade-long nuclear dispute, saying it does not meet Tehran's interests or change Washington's position on uranium enrichment. A fire in Alberta, Canada, caused a temporary disruption in oil and gas production, raising further concerns about supply. Meanwhile, OPEC+ decided to keep its July production increase at the same level as in the previous two months, easing concerns about oversupply. Last week, OPEC+ decided to increase its combined production by an additional 411,000 barrels per day. The decision was made following expectations of a more significant increase that had affected energy stocks ahead of the group's latest meeting. The increase was less than expected, which had a positive impact on prices, which continue to rise. For investors in the oil sector, the worst fear is a possible repeat of a price war like the one in 2020, which led to a drastic collapse in oil prices. This scenario is unlikely, as the US cannot afford an oil price below $50. In fact, $50 represents the break-even point for the oil sector. This situation is leading the US and Saudi Arabia towards a more cautious approach, which is why the expected significant increase in oil production did not occur last week. A further positive sign for oil prices emerges from the analysis of the futures curve, which is currently in backwardation. Backwardation is a condition in which forward prices are lower than the current spot price, resulting in a downward slope of the forward curve. As the contract expiry date approaches, the differential between the spot price and the forward price tends to narrow, causing the curve to converge back towards the spot price. The conditions of the futures markets are: Normal market (contango): balanced supply and demand. Weak demand and excess supply: amplification of contango. Excess demand: reduction in contango to backwardation, where the difference between the near and far prices can theoretically increase indefinitely. The recent rises, supported by above-average volumes, indicate that only exceeding the 200-period moving average could trigger a strong long trend with a target of $70 per barrel. Recent geopolitical tensions suggest the possibility of a bullish move on oil. Iran has increased its stockpiles of enriched uranium to near weapons-grade levels in recent months, raising further doubts about the possibility of reaching an agreement with the US on Tehran's nuclear program. Sanctions and restrictions on global oil supply will favor an increase in prices. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue, with mutual attacks instead of negotiations. We expect oil prices to be around $70 in the next quarter.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Antonio_Ferlito
Crude Oil Stuck in Consolidation Watch for Breakout! Hey Traders so today was looking at oil market seems to be stuck in a very powerful pattern called the Narrow Sideways Channel. Basically market has been going no where for the last 75 days stuck between the highs and the lows moving back and forth moving sideways. Most traders have probably fallen alseep because this market is boring as watching paint dry just stuck in a range of $55-$65. I guess some traders can trade the range buy at the bottom or the channel sell near the top but imo the best way to trade is wait for a breakout of the channel. Now if you research historical sideways channels or range markets you will find that almost every market that has ever traded sideways for more than 90 days or more led to an explosive breakout at one point in time! Finally exciting news! That means the longer it consolidates the better for us traders to catch the breakout. So if we look closely at the chart we can see right out of the channel top there is resistance ahead at $68. However if market can break above $68 and close above that level at the daily close that would be a serious buy signal for more upside. But don't go by intraday go by the close of the day intraday means nothing imo. The Daily Close it all that counts! So watch for breakout above $68 then look to buy on pullback if I does not break above $68 tje we are back to watching paint dry. 😂 Always use Risk Management! (Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheIndex
WTI(20250609)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed may still cut interest rates later this year. Musallem: There is a 50% chance that the trade war will lead to a sustained inflation outbreak. Tariffs may push up inflation within one or two quarters. The ECB cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 63.43 Support and resistance levels: 65.29 64.60 64.14 62.71 62.26 61.56 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 64.14, consider buying in, with the first target price of 64.60 If the price breaks through 63.43, consider selling in, with the first target price of 62.71
MATBAROFEX:WTI1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors