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MCL1! trade ideas

CRUDE - WEEKLY SUMMARY 17.2-21.2 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 12th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), mature 1st phase. Holding the short position from the February 3 extreme forecast. The first phase of the base cycle is not yet complete but is very mature. Crude is pressing against strong support at 69.80 on the April futures contract, which must either be broken or eroded. I believe the maturity of the 1st phase in this context is not coincidental. ⚠️ I maintain my bearish stance, which I explained in my crude oil post from summer 2024. Next pivot forecast for crude: February 24. Next extreme forecast: March 3.
NYMEX:CL1!
by irinawest
My View : CLJ2025 - Crude Oil Futures (April 2025)Summary analysis : Price Movement: The current price is at 71.43, showing a slight decrease of 0.01 (-0.02%) from the previous close. The price has been relatively stable within a narrow range, with the high at 71.46 and the low at 71.38. Trend Indicator s: The Heikin Ashi candles suggest a potential consolidation phase, as there is no strong directional movement indicated by the candles. The Bollinger Bands (BB20) show the price is near the middle band (SMA close at 71.10), indicating a balanced market without significant volatility. Support and Resistance : Key support levels are around 71.00 and 70.50, while resistance levels are near 72.50 and 73.00. The price is currently hovering near the lower end of the recent range. Volume and Momentum : The volume data is not explicitly provided, but the lack of significant price movement suggests low momentum. The ARIMA forecast (BQECASTHL) indicates a potential for minor fluctuations without a clear trend. Fractals and Signals : The presence of fractals suggests potential reversal points, but without a clear pattern, it’s challenging to predict a strong move. The SELL and BUY signals are not strongly pronounced, indicating a neutral market sentiment. Time Frame : The analysis is based on a 1-hour chart, which is suitable for short-term trading. Traders should monitor for breakout signals above 71.46 or below 71.38 for potential short-term opportunities. In summary, the Crude Oil Futures market for April 2025 is currently in a consolidation phase with limited volatility. Traders should watch for breakout signals and monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.
NYMEX:CLJ2025
by Hampeh
Bearish Outlook: Short Crude Oil Next Week as Resistance Holds- Key Insights: Crude oil is currently entrenched in a bearish trend, with recent trading activity indicating waning speculative interest and a reluctance to decisively break past resistance levels. The market is consolidating around the low 70s, reflecting broader concerns about geopolitical tensions and their impact on supply. This scenario presents a viable short opportunity as prices may struggle to maintain upward momentum. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1 = 68.50, T2 = 66.00. Stop levels are S1 = 72.50, S2 = 73.50. This positioning reflects the current market sentiment and expected resistance. - Recent Performance: The crude oil market has experienced a series of lower highs and lows, and trading has remained stagnant. Prices have been hovering in a narrow range, with a slight bearish inclination driven by external factors and limited investor confidence. - Expert Analysis: Analysts project continued bearish movements for crude oil in the short-term, advising caution among traders. Geopolitical events, particularly concerning Iran, remain critical in shaping market dynamics, alongside potential impacts from OPEC's decisions. - News Impact: Geopolitical concerns, particularly around sanctions against Iran and conflicts influencing global oil supply chains, are pivotal in understanding current price movements. Developments in Ukraine and OPEC’s production strategies are additional elements that could sway market direction.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CrowdWisdomTrading
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: No bigger opinion on this trading range. 70 holds, we chop until a bigger news event pushes us above 74. Below 70 we could flush to 69 and then 67. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls preventing meaningful lower lows but we have a clear bear trend line. Bulls are still favored going into next week to buy around 70 and test back up to at least 72. They want to break above the Tuesday high 73.67 and make the market more neutral again. If they get it, we could test 75 next. Invalidation is below 69.7. bear case: Bears have closed the week near the lows and they want to poke at 70 until it fails. I have no idea how likely that is next week but for now it’s support and if we see decent buying pressure tomorrow, bulls are favored. Volume is also trash again. Below 70 we test 69 and then 67. Invalidation is above 75. short term: Neutral for now. Still no interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. Nothing has changed since last Sunday. Play the range or trade something else. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
CRUDE - WEEKLY SUMMARY 10.2-14.2 / FORECAST🛢 CRUDE – 11th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), mature 1st phase. The pivot forecast on February 11 worked as a reversal, similar to the extreme forecast on February 3. This marks the second reversal from the combined resistance of the MA20 and the large triangle boundary, which I discussed in previous posts. Holding the short position from the February 3 extreme forecast. The first phase of the base cycle isn’t over yet, but it is very mature. ⚠️ Note that the pivot forecast on January 17 marked a triple top with the extreme forecasts of July 1 and April 12 (Retrograde Mercury). I maintain my bearish stance, which I explained in my crude oil post from summer 2024. Next pivot forecast for crude: February 24. Next extreme forecast: March 3.
NYMEX:CL1!
by irinawest
Crude Oil (MCLH2025) – Bullish Setup DevelopingCrude Oil (MCLH2025) – Bullish Setup Developing 🟢 Long Bias | 🎯 Target: 71.47014 | ⏳ Deadline: Feb 14 Price is consolidating after a recent move, showing potential for an upward push. Watching for momentum to build toward the 71.47014 target. A break above could open further upside opportunities. 💡 All trades can be replayed on TradingView for confirmation. #CrudeOil #MCL #Futures #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by GlobalHorns
CL1!: Buy ideaOn CL1 we would have a high probability of having an upward trend given the configuration on the chart. Indeed, we are in a bearish channel situation with a succession of numerous red candles accompanied by numerous red volumes. To enter a position, you must wait until the resistance line and the vwap indicator are broken forcefully by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume. Therefore, you can enter a position as soon as the second green candle appears.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by PAZINI19