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Cotton Futures

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TT1! trade ideas

Cotton Defending New SupportAfter the gap higher in Cotton last week, we have seen sustained price action out above that gap and is now acting as a strong support pocket going forward. This rally higher was led by weaker crop conditions with the ongoing drought in Texas, and the market is now in a tightening range. With the strong support pocket below and overhead trendline resistance, we could see the market breakout above this trendline resistance and climb higher is crop conditions continue to look poor. Downside risk comes if we see better weather conditions that will help the crop conditions and could take the market back below the gap.
ICEUS:CTZ2022
by Ryan_Gorman
Cotton Pushing Higher On Supply ConcernsThe cotton market was in a steady up-trend for most of the first half of 2022 and broke down sharply from overbought levels. Since the low in mid-July, we have seen a nice rebound off an inverse head and shoulders pattern, and we have continued higher through some critical resistance levels. The market is now testing the 50-day and the 200-day moving average as supply concerns continue with the drought throughout Texas and is looking to breakout to the upside to break the longer-term downtrend from the May highs.
ICEUS:CTZ2022
by Ryan_Gorman
3
Cotton: Head and Shoulders BreakdownSince the May 17th highs, we have seen December Cotton in a downtrend. Looking at the formation of a head and shoulders pattern, there was a breakdown below support at 117.96, and prices have continued to grind lower. With the market currently right near the 200-day moving average, and the RSI indicating we are in oversold territory, there could be a nice rebound to the upside if we can hold this level. If the market breaks below the 200-day moving average, which has not happened since before the pandemic, there could see added selling until a new floor is established.
ICEUS:CTZ2022
by Ryan_Gorman
CT1!. P-Modeling Pt 2. Cottons of Cajun: A Hyperinflation Story Welcome Hyperspace Travelers, This is a 1-week time-series model of CT1! Cotton No 2. Futures Contracts. The purpose of this model is to potentially pick up early warning signs of hyperinflation. I think I found a juicy early warning sign. I may of course be incorrect. If we look at data starting in 1973 we can see a well defined coordinated harmonics string with one big event between 2010 and 2012. There is a strong probability that a continuously rising cost of cotton is an early warning sign of hyperinflation. IF.. we continued on the path we are on. THEN... we hit a Strike Target of $220.00. This was the 2010-2011 ATH. Do we repeat the past? I say yes. Maybe? I guess? Sure, why not.. Seems logical. But what do I know?... I just draw irrelevant spirals and lines. Right? Zero Predictive Value. So why attempt or even try? Waste of time if you ask me. But what if.. Global supply and transportation issues. On the cusp of the next industrial revolution.. finite resources.. extreme weather.. destruction of our planet.. cheap labor shortages.. biggest division of wealth ever... You know this.. Right? I just look at the same data as everyone else. Just.. with a different grasp of the future.. Sometimes, I really wonder if we are apart of a simulation. Is this real life? Or is this a test? Communicative Cyclic Filters: Rendered along harmonic string. Are you a test? Is this just a big test? Things to think about I guess.. See you soon :). Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with me, Glitch420
ICEUS:CT1!Long
by Glitch420
1