ABR - Daily - Under the Radar Before EarningsClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) Technical Momentum Shift: Recent trading activity suggests a bullish sentiment, with multiple attempts to flip the moving averages into a positive trend.
2.) Strong Support Level: The stock successfully defended a key support level twice recently, indicating potential strength.
3.) Accumulation Pattern: Accumulation of shares has been observed since February 3rd, 2025.
4.) Consistent Financial Performance: Revenue has shown year-over-year growth since 2019, while net income has remained relatively stable since 2021.
5.) Dividend Growth: The company's history of increasing dividends is a positive sign for investors.
🌎Global Market Sentiment⬅️
1.) As we move into the historically bearish months of March and April, the market's direction in the coming weeks will be crucial.
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ABR trade ideas
ABR Arbor Realty Trust Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABR Arbor Realty Trust prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BULLISH ON ABR TO $20ish - long termBelow the major MA's, at a great support and a forward DIVI over 13% and not a single miss on earnings singe mid-2020, I'm (very) bullish on ABR up to $20ish. This is an opportunity to make LOTS of money, if you'll hold it. I'm using a $1 stop because, if earnings are bad, it COULD BREAK DOWN and I won't be participating in that. Cheers!
ABR: 5.2 Million Share Premarket Block Trade = High InterestHeard of NYSE:ABR ? Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. provides capital financing to firms seeking to acquire properties.
Thursday's pre-market saw one of its largest block trades of all time, with 5.27 million shares moved in a single trade.
09:09:04 ABR 5,268,815 $84.1 Million
REITs like these are popular with hedge funds... do they know something we don't about the fate of this particular REIT?
ABR: 💪 Resistance ahead ⚠ Big Money betting on pullback?? Abor Realty Trust ( REIT)...I anticipated a good earnings report as mortgage rates are up significantly and all things real estate are currently booming. 💵
*RKT(ER on 8/3) *UWMC(ER on 8/9) *RDFN (ER on 8/3) *CMTG (ER on 8/1) and ABR have not only outpaced the overall market but some are also up as much as double digits percentages in last 30 days.
ABR's great earnings report on Friday/ dividend increase and strength of realty sector had me convinced we would blow past resistance and possibly pass 52 week high of $17.74....BUT appears institutional money is suggesting a pullback/consolidation period here.
The 100 EMA crossing over the 200 EMA (Golden Cross) indicates strength is building vs the slowing of home sales and highly likely mortgage interest rates decline by EOY....makes this a fascinating footrace to watch.
Arbor Realty Trust's introduction to the S&P Small Cap 600 provides new exposure and plenty growth opportunities but RSI already near 72 makes this resistance almost impenetrable without a pullback 👓
ABRI was in at $10.80 on ABR - it's been a very good run with a cap-gain of about 29'ish %, and earning a dividend of 12.5% while doing it - the dividend was 15.5% at my entry-point!
I am still long, and I think it is still undervalued. The ABR earnings and margins are strong and the dividend is still very strong compared to it's peers. I have a sell-order on it when it reaches
$21, if it happens to strike gold on a major pop... but I expect it will soften around $17-$18. @ $17.50 or so, the dividend will be in-line with peers and I will probably leave it in the portfolio for the handsome quarterly checks.
ABR Chart RequestShort side goal would be for this to be a rounding top - it just wouldn't be finished yet.
Neutral on fundamentals (5Y P/E 9.49 vs. 9.26 now). Compare to lifetime P/E norm of 8.88, it might be a tiny bit expensive but not a lot.
OCF is a little cheap relative, but expected 25% drop in 2022 (5Y OCF 25 vs. 10.89 OCF now). Forecast has basically no growth.
ABR breaking out of consolidation* Good earnings
* Strong up trend
* High relative strength in the Real Estate sector
* Breaking out of a 4 month consolidation with higher than average volume
* Pays dividends generously (high dividends expected from REITs)
Trade Idea:
* You can get in now if you can stomach a little volatility
* Or if you're looking for a discount you can look for buying opportunities near the $19.13 area as that should serve as support.
ABR.NYS_Swim Trading VZ Range Breakout Trade_LongENTRY: 18.44
SL: 16.84
TP1: 19.68
TP2: 20.96
- ADX<25. Would like to be higher.
- RSI<65 but >50. Uptrend still intact.
- MAs aligned.
- Rebounded from pivot point and lower channel on 21 Jun 2021.
- Strength meter shows weakness on 25 Jun 2021. Trade with caution or tighten stop loss in coming days.
ABR on an even stronger recovery from MarchHello Traders!
Supported by ascending support, a MACD that has just crossed over the 9 EMA, an optimistic RSI, and the 50 SMA crossing over the 100 SMA, the price of ABR has just broken through a descending resistance. If you should still don't trust this extraordinary accumulation of strong bullish signals, wait for the price to cross over the 200 SMA, but such momentum isn't stopped easily. I am absolutely certain that the price will cross over the 11.77 support/resistance, and it will most likely reach the second goal at 13.57 with ease as well. The price reaching the 15.42 resistance will eventually happen, but most likely on the next rally.
VF Investment cannot be held responsible for any financial damages suffered from following our well-funded but personal opinions and trading ideas.
Please, maintain proper position sizing and risk management!
Will go up, as high as 10%, programmed indicators hiddenHi traders,
This one looks very bullish in the short term, my indicators are also very bullish and there is also some other points besides the indicators :
It has formed a bull flag and now it broke above = very bullish
stochastics RSI bullish
Overall it has a great volume
Hoping the Nasdaq wont influence this one :)
Took the position, please be aware that sometimes I take my profits earlier depending on my indicators and behaviour of the stock/market, I post it on comments when I take profits.
Im a swiss trader who has two funds : one private and one public but full, based on stocks and the private is 20% into cryptocurrency investments in the long term since 2014. If you want to grow your account trading stocks, then you should follow me. My accuracy on stocks is 85-90% on tradingview and in my overall career 78%.
ABR Long IdeaNYSE:ABR
ABR long idea above 12.96
I have an ascending triangle forming on the daily and a bullish pennant on the 30 minute chart.
Price is above the 10, 20, 50 and 200 DMA.
Price is above the ascending 5DAM on the 30 minute chart.
Price is above the YTD VWAP.
Initial Stop will be tight a t 12.84