AG trade ideas
Another interesting silver miner with huge potentialIt doesn't matter how much silver they have, how there balance sheet looks like or how their CEO drinks his coffee.
The sentiment controls the price and the chart is our indicator about what the herd believes. It's close to a bottom and just needs one more low along with the metals before the rocket will be fired. Very good risk reward relation.
AG: Resistance becoming supportAG fell below $6 recently, where it then bottomed into a (loosely) cup & handle pattern with $6 as resistance.
Recently, it broke above the $6 and, in the last two days, backtested the resistance, which now could be support. It also happens to be just above the still falling 50 DMA.
Of note is that on Feb 28, AG missed earnings. The next day, the stock rallied strongly. This could be a sign that sellers are completely exhausted.
I believe it is low risk here with a stop under $6, with a lot of upside potential if the precious metals bull resumes and the US Dollar weakens. Which, looks to be almost certain given the fundamental happenings today.
Buy First Majestic Silver up to 8.20 USDIt´s been the right thing to wait with any recommendation in the mining sector. But now I feel the time is right. As explained I believe silver has a great potential over the next 8-12 months. The best way to play a multi-months rally in silver are some of the best but currently beaten down silver mining stocks.
First Majestic Silver without a doubt is one of the best companies in this sector. Focused on silver production in Mexico the company is run by mining legend Keith Neumeyer.
Although First Majestic has been consolidating sideways since October last year I think the stock is at a very interesting juncture.
We might be a bit early to the party but the risk/reward is just phenomenal! With a stop loss at 6.50 USD and a 1st profit target at 19.00 USD the idea has an initial 1:3 risk/reward-ratio. But First Majestic could easily take out 19.00 USD and we might scale in a couple more times once the stock has clear the downtrend line at 8.20 USD.
AG First Majestic Silver: Possible bullish movementI believe that trading success relies heavily upon identifying consolidation zones. Consolidation zones provide us the right direction of the market. A consolidation happens when a market move sharply upside or downside. Later, a trader can use these consolidation zones to identify patterns, whether it be continuation or reversal.
It requires attention and care. Rather than turning out to be a factory of producing signals, it is better to sit down and look for a setup. Setups are important because we are planning a trade and execute them on time. If you fail to plan a setup, then you are planning to fail.
Another advantage of trade setup is that we know where to get out and the right time to go in. Know the market. Study the price movements and make your trades.
My charts use price movements, patterns, structures and indicators such as moving averages and oscillators. Trading intelligence is combining multiple knowledge to produce a favourable trade setups and plans.
AG Entry PositionBased on historical patterns after FOMC meetings announcing a rate hike, I expect First Majestic Silver to drop around 20%.
This could be anywhere from 1 week to immediately after the FOMC meeting on March 15th, 2017.
Influencing factors that would change this target:
DXY losing strength
Low GDP numbers from last week.