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BABA trade ideas

Strategy For the next earning on May 18..! (Skin in the game)Before any action, we should answer this question: Is BABA going to experience higher-than-expected volatility in the next 3 weeks? If your answer is No, do not waste your time reading the rest of this article! If your answer is Yes, Then we should talk about the direction:(Current price for BABA Put/Call option is 3.1-3.4 USD for May 19, 2023 If you think it moves toward 105: Buy 2x Call and 1X put, strike price 85, expiration May 19. If you think it moves toward 79: Buy 2x Put and 1X Call, strike price 85, expiration May 19. Position size: 3% of your capital (2%+1% based on the direction you think it will move) What could happen: 1- BABA does not move: you will lose 3% 2- BABA moves big against your prediction, you will not lose any money! 3- BABA moves toward your target, you will double up! Statistics: BABA's average weekly move is 11.63% (Min:4.8%, and Max: 26% in the past trading year) BABA's average daily move was 4% (Min:1.5%, and Max: 13% in the past trading year) Skin in the game: I have bought 20 Call options and 10 put options Strike 85, May 19, 2023 if the price remains between 75-90, I will lose money, otherwise, I will win!
NYSE:BABALong
by Moshkelgosha
3
BABA signaling long term entry pointViewers, since BABAs IPO, some may have missed out on the nice upward move. I got in and got out early myself. Now tho putting a long term investment view I see some good entry points based on oscillators and stochastic data from weekly chart data. In combination with simple yearly wave cycles, i see BABA is positioned in an attractive longterm buyers entry point. We've probably seen a completion in correction and entering the next Leap for a 3rd wave. There may some accumulation interest going on, early indication of buyer interest. Trade smart. Cheers.
NYSE:BABALong
by resurrector007
1
BABA Interesting spot hereBABA daily and hourly charts Got my eye on this 79.5-80 support zone. In March we had a decent bounce up to 105 area off of this level. Today we tapped that 80 zone again for a small bounce. I'd like a retest of this area to open up a swing position long with a tight stop under 79. Looking for a remount and close over the daily 9EMA at 83.61 to confirm some buyers back in the stock. Otherwise, this 79.5 could be a nice flat bottom break level to take it down further.
NYSE:BABA
by MIGHTYMIKEE
BABA Chinese government reshuffle spooks investorsSHORT The Alibaba (BABA) share price has struggled so far in 2022, falling by 44.7% year-to-date (YTD). Chinese e-commerce and technology sectors are facing fresh challenges: The Nasdaq Golden Dragon index, which tracks US-listed shares in Chinese companies, shed a record 14% following announcements that Xi Jinping has extended his rule to a third term as president – and filled senior government roles with party loyalists. In the 24 hours following the announcement, Alibaba fell 18%. The Hang Seng Index also fared dismally, dropping 1,030 points to a 13-year low, following investor concern that the new government would stifle the economy and private enterprise. With China’s zero-Covid policy now cemented in the near term, along with government support for Vladimir Putin, a bearish sentiment might continue for tech stocks as investors stick to a risk-off mode. The strict zero-Covid controls implemented by the Chinese government have resulted in lockdowns which have disturbed supply chains and the manufacturing industry. In an article for CNBC, Antonella Teodoro, senior consultant at MDS Transmodal, said: “China’s zero-Covid approach is impacting production and manufacturers are seeking alternatives to the current ‘factory of the world’. “Drilling down to the individual commodity groups exported from China, we observe that China has been continuing to lose market share, with Vietnam amongst the countries gaining importance on the international landscape.” In March, the BABA share price fell below $100 for the first time since 2017. It has since been unable to hold above that level. But the stock had gained value since late May after the company announced its first-quarter earnings report. The June-quarter earnings report was more positive: Daniel Zhang, chairman and CEO of Alibaba Group, said: “Following a relatively slow April and May, we saw signs of recovery across our businesses in June. We are confident in our growth opportunities in the long term given our high-quality consumer base and the resilience of our diversified business model catering to different demands of our customers.” Toby Xu, chief financial officer of Alibaba Group, also commented: “Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 resurgence, we delivered stable revenue performance year-over-year. We have narrowed losses in key strategic businesses given ongoing improvements in operating efficiency and increasing focus on cost optimisation . “We recently shared our plan to add Hong Kong as another primary listing venue. By becoming primary listed on both Hong Kong and New York stock exchanges, we aim to further expand and diversify our investor base.” Is the current share price at a good entry point for investors looking to make an Alibaba stock investment? Has the share price bottomed out or is there potential for it to retreat again? Historical stock price data shows that BABA dropped by 49% in 2021, ending the year at $118.79 a share, as worries about the Chinese market and a sell-off in technology stocks in the US exerted further downward pressure. In April last year, the Chinese government fined the company $2.8bn for what the State Administration for Market Regulation said was monopolistic behaviour The record fine was lower than the market had anticipated and removed some of the uncertainty surrounding the potential penalty that would be imposed. However, a gain in the share price was short-lived and it continued the downward trend that started in October 2020, after hitting its all-time highest stock price of $309.92. Alibaba announced its December quarter 2021 results on the same day that Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine (24 February 2022), leading to much market upheaval, particularly in the technology sector. What may also have concerned investors was that its revenue figures represented its slowest quarterly growth rate since going public in 2014. Revenues totalled RMB242.58bn ($38.07bn) in the October-December period, an increase of 10% year-over-year (YoY).
CAPITALCOM:BABAShort
by DaveBrascoFX
ALIBABA undergoes organizational revamp: A fundamental analysis.Alibaba, one of the world's leading e-commerce and cloud computing companies, has a rich corporate history that is sure to capture the attention of many. Founded by the charismatic and unconventional Chinese entrepreneur Jack Ma, the company was able to attract investments from the likes of Yahoo and SoftBank during its early days. However, it wasn't until its initial public offering (IPO) in 2014 - which raised a staggering HKEX:22 billion - that Alibaba truly entered the public consciousness in a significant way. Recently, Alibaba surprised investors by announcing that it is undergoing an organizational revamp. In this article, we will delve into the implications of this development and assess whether investing in the company's stock is a wise decision. Over the past decade, Alibaba has diversified its offerings beyond e-commerce. However, the company has been struggling to generate substantial growth for the past few years, a trend that is reflected in its stock price. In fact, since its IPO, the stock has decreased by 5%. The current situation with Alibaba indicates that all the shareholder value the company once created has been erased, even if the degree of the sell-off may be exaggerated. While it's important to acknowledge that Alibaba is a Chinese company and likely experienced the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns, the fact remains that it has been struggling even as pandemic fears diminish. Consequently, the company's management is at a critical turning point. In response to this situation, Alibaba has recently announced a significant restructuring plan that involves dividing the company into six distinct entities, each focused on one of its core divisions. According to CNBC's coverage of the story, these divisions will include cloud computing, e-commerce (Taobao Tmall), digital media, digital commerce, Cainiao logistics, and local services. Each entity will have its own Board of Directors and CEO. The reasons behind Alibaba's decision to pursue this course of action are still subject to speculation. While some suggest that the restructuring is a response to the company's declining growth, others posit that it could be an attempt to address Alibaba's perceived monopoly status, given its size and the scrutiny it receives from the Chinese government. After the announcement of the restructuring plan, research analyst Scott Kessler suggested that the Chinese government may have played a role in endorsing the move. The underlying rationale for this organizational overhaul is to allow each division to operate independently, almost like its own company. This implies that the six new CEOs will have unique perspectives, enabling their respective entities to make swift decisions and compete more effectively with other cloud and internet companies. Essentially, the different segments will have the autonomy to create dedicated budgets, identify crucial initiatives, and raise funds from their own investor groups. The ultimate aim may be to spin off Alibaba and list each entity on a public exchange separately. Investors will need to exercise patience to determine if Alibaba's restructuring plan is successful. Existing shareholders should hold on to their shares and evaluate future earnings reports, enabling them to determine if exchanging their shares in the different entities is a viable option when the time comes. On the other hand, prospective investors may want to wait and observe future earnings reports to evaluate each division's potential. This will help investors to identify which entities are of interest to them. It may be prudent to invest in Alibaba before any potential spinoffs and separate listings, but only after careful consideration of the spinoff entities that make it onto their investment radar. In conclusion, Alibaba's recent restructuring plan is a significant development that highlights the company's efforts to address its challenges and reposition itself for growth. While the possibility of a spinoff and separate listings of each entity is exciting, investors must exercise caution and carefully evaluate each division's potential before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:BABA
by FOREXN1
18
Alibaba is in a decision zoneI believe BABA is in a gray zone where the market decides if it’s time to push it higher or if it will slide to the level of the end of 2022. Below are the things I will consider. 1. Short conformations: - Symmetrical triangle pattern (green lines) - Declining RSI - The money flow index keeps declining - Possible H&S neck breakdown (blue lines) Target - 60 2. Long confirmations: - Price chart breaks upper trend line (and closing the end of march gap) - SMI is going up, and MACD turns positive - Quarterly revenue way over expectation (May 18th) Target 1 – 100-105, Target 2 - 125 What are your thoughts? NOTE: This is not financial advice. Every trader/investor should do their research and follow a personal plan.
NYSE:BABA
by NASTICHUS
1
BABA, 4d/-10.56%falling cycle -10.56% and reamin 4 days. ================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
NYSE:BABAShort
by Tonyder
1
#BABA #ALIBABA LONGALIBABA is nearing support and should be ready for some big upside in the coming weeks/months. Analyst price targets are downside HKEX:72 upside median HKEX:150 and long HKEX:220 , considering the market is a bit shaky and volatile i would be more conscious to the downside and put an even lower downside target of about 45/50 range. however, the recent news coming out of BABA on splitting the business is a very solid news for the stock and is definitely the one to hold on to for big gains.
NYSE:BABALong
by shaxrashid