BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty TrustAbout BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
ISIN
US0556301077
Sector
Miscellaneous
Industry
Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds
Headquarters
Houston
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust engages in owning and administering the royalty interest. The company was founded on February 28, 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.
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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust dividends overview
BPT dividends are paid quarterly. The last dividend per share was 0.30 USD. As of today, Dividend Yield (TTM)% is 45.72%.
BPT trade ideas
Room to Run?I'm reversing on my previous TA thesis with this O&G royalty name, which I said was retesting the neckline of a head and shoulders breakdown. Instead, I now see a falling wedge bouncing off the 100 Daily Moving Average and retesting a demand zone. There is some positive momentum on the Relative Strength Index, leading me to think that the breakout from the wedge will happen next week. Upside is above the high of the wedge, so probably 3x.
Beware the Little Man in the CockpitBPT has had a wonderful run this year, but a fundamental catalyst will result in an abrupt breakdown from the larger Head and Shoulders, triggering with a break underneath the smaller Head and Shoulders at $11.50. That H&S, formed after rejecting from the 125 Exponential Moving Average, is the little pilot for the larger rocket ship pointing downward. As you can see, not much support exists beneath that level. The catalyst will be; BPT was the most generous payer of dividends on the entire stock marke, but the payouts are set to expire in 2023. Investors are going to bail. Unlike most royalties, BPT has high liquidity and moves with great volatility. I'm scouting follow through with these reversal patterns, and then I'll position a short.
$BPT breaking out of a one month base!* Strong recent up trend
* Breaking out of a one month base
* Pays dividends
* Price looks good on all time frames.
Technicals:
* Sector: Energy - Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
* Relative Strength vs. Sector: 2.07
* Relative Strength vs. SP500: 6.83
* U/D Ratio: 1.25
* Base Depth: 32.41%
* Distance from breakout buy point: 1.92%
* Volume 14.33% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter at yesterdays closing price as it's close to the broken resistance.
* If you're looking for a better entry you might be able to catch a bid around the $17 area
* Target for the trade is a historical level of resistance around the $19.2 area
BPT distribution and pandemic travelBPT is part of a two way trade that I like.
I sold the $2.50 September cash secured leap put. This put transacted at the time value of money. Today that cash secured put premium is 45 cents. This puts the downside risk of selling the cash secured option for September at 192 day. I put the cash into GGN which is an oil and gold GAMCO fund with a 10% current yield.
BPT pays no dividend if for any quarter the price of West Texas crude is sub $48 per barrel extracted from this oil royalty trust.
The trust itself is a wasting asset.
With the pending reinstatement of the dividend, I placed a portion of the cash received for other put premiums collected into the trust.
Will BPT continue to have distributions for the next two quarters?
Lets look at the chart and determine where BPT traded when the distribution was discontinued and oil was cheap with pandemic travel related woes.
In the event it is sub $1.90 I will sell a leap call and invest the call premium.
I like my chances.
good trading and all the best.
4 Hour Gaps on BPT priceThis is a good stock for the money. It will likely move down to fill-in the price gaps we find on the 4 hour. This stock moves in correlation to the AMEX:SPY ; so diligence suggests waiting for the S&P to start back upwards before making too aggressive of an entry. Net Sales are up and some website said they have a 17% dividend. Thats high. With a $37 target price I would hope the high volatility of NYSE:BPT gives up the gold with the rest of the market.
www.thestreet.com
Bullish Oil Futures = Energy Companies (#4 BPT)This is a pullback and very deep and this reduce the risk to be shocked for a whipsaw some people doubt, but you can wait for some green candlesticks or a swing low, for feel more sure about the idea follow the daily chart like a hawk in the wait of a swing.
www.tradingview.com
Again this idea work for swing trading and position trading too. In this case I recommend buy slightly above the actual price because this pullback was deep and you know we need some kind of price action above the 22.00 and 23.00 levels to entry in this trade with heavy reasons.
For a swing trade, the target is below 30.00
For a position trade the target can be close to 50.00 based in past support and the Oil Futures and the future in general I can not say exactly because technical analysis it's not a crystal ball. But this optimism is based in the Bullish Oil Futures
Other aspect here I wanna shared is that not all Energy Companies move in tandem in this Industry some are leaders and others follow they, some are breaking resistance lines now, others are making the pullback now, and others are have not reacted yet is a mix and here the timing is important.