Cava Group’s Stellar Quarter: Earnings Beat EstimatesCava Group (NYSE: NYSE:CAVA ), the Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain, has once again proven its mettle in the competitive restaurant industry. The company’s latest quarterly earnings report not only exceeded Wall Street’s expectations but also showcased Cava’s robust growth and expanding footprint.
Earnings and Revenue Soar
For the fiscal second quarter, which ended on July 14, 2024, Cava (NYSE: NYSE:CAVA ) reported earnings per share of 17 cents, surpassing analysts’ estimates of 13 cents. The company’s revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $233 million, up 35% from the same period last year. This impressive growth was driven by a 14.4% increase in same-store sales, far outpacing the industry’s trends, which have seen many restaurant chains struggle with declining traffic.
Riding the Wave of Traffic Growth
One of the standout metrics from Cava’s report was the nearly 10% increase in customer traffic. While many other restaurant chains are experiencing a slowdown as consumers cut back on spending, Cava’s traffic growth is a testament to the brand’s strong appeal and innovative menu offerings. CEO and co-founder Brett Schulman attributed this growth to the introduction of a new grilled steak option, which has been a hit with customers, encouraging repeat visits and higher spending per visit.
Expansion and Future Outlook
Cava’s aggressive expansion strategy is another key driver of its success. During the quarter, the company opened 18 net new locations, bringing its total to 341 restaurants. This 22.2% year-over-year increase in restaurant count is a clear indication of the brand’s growing popularity and market penetration.
Looking ahead, Cava (NYSE: NYSE:CAVA ) has raised its full-year outlook, now expecting same-store sales growth between 8.5% and 9.5%, up from its previous forecast of 4.5% to 6.5%. The company also plans to open 54 to 57 new locations this year, slightly up from its earlier guidance. This expansion is supported by strong unit economics, with average unit volumes reaching $2.7 million, up from $2.6 million last year.
Strong Financial Performance
Cava’s financial performance was equally impressive, with a restaurant-level profit margin of 26.5%, slightly higher than the 26.1% reported in the prior year. The company’s digital revenue mix remained strong at 35.8%, reflecting the growing importance of online ordering and delivery in today’s restaurant industry.
Net income for the quarter was $19.7 million, up from $6.5 million a year earlier, and adjusted EBITDA grew to $34.3 million from $21.6 million. These figures underscore Cava’s ability to generate strong cash flow and profitability even as it continues to invest in growth.
Technical Outlook
Cava Group (NYSE: NYSE:CAVA ) has seen its stock rise by an impressive 8.65% during the premarket trading session on Friday. This significant increase in stock value has raised some eyebrows among investors and analysts alike. However, prior to this noteworthy surge in price, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Cava Group was measured at 76. This high RSI level suggests that the stock is currently in an overbought territory. As a result, there is an expectation that a trend reversal might be on the horizon since buyers could potentially face challenges in sustaining this upward momentum for much longer. The market dynamics indicate that caution may be warranted as the situation develops.
Conclusion
Cava’s second-quarter results highlight the company’s resilience and growth potential in a challenging economic environment. With its successful expansion strategy, strong customer traffic, and innovative menu offerings, Cava is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory. As the company raises its full-year outlook and continues to outperform industry trends, it’s clear that Cava is not just surviving but thriving in today’s competitive restaurant landscape.
CAVA trade ideas
Long CAVA @84.31I love this one so I reached just a little at the strong open this morning.
Oversold in a VERY strong 9 month uptrend.
If you follow me you know the drill:
Oversold, keep buying 1 lot as long as it stays oversold and sell each lot as it becomes both overbought AND profitable.
Indicator and strategy paired with CAVA are 23-4* in the last 12 months (the 4 "losses" are open trades from the most recent signal that hasn't reached the goal yet). I just discovered the stock and crunched the numbers this weekend so my first actual trade in this ticker is this one, but I bought a quadruple lot since it's been oversold for 4 consecutive trading days.
The stats below include pricing the 4 "losses" at the closing price from Friday as negative return closed trades. As of this moment the numbers would be better since the stock is up from my entry price.
Average win = +7.5%
Median win = 9.34
Total return last 12M = 2.01x lot (201% of the lot size you're trading)
The only downside is that early in the 12 month lookback, it was in a downtrend and several trades took months to close, so the average holding period per lot is 36 days because of that. These trades don't always work out immediately. That said, the last ten trades have had a holding period on average of 7 days which is a very quick turnaround for this type of trade.
The holding period on trades matters. When the money is tied up in a trade for 6 months, it can't be used for other trades that could make money more quickly. That's the big drawback of buy and hold in my opinion, even if you pick the stocks well (something professional money managers can't do well enough to outperform the indexes consistently).
All that said, the recent performance of CAVA suggests a fairly quick turnaround on the trade. We shall see.
As always - this is fiscal entertainment. My trades are mine and not presented as investment advice. If you choose to trade along with me, it's your responsibility if the trade goes sideways on you. But if you do trade it, I hope you make money, because that means I'm making it too. :)
I'll add updates if I add or sell lots.
$CAVA LONG OPPORTUNITYWhy I am bullish on NYSE:CAVA
- About to retest the bottom of our daily trend channel
- The bottom of this trend channel aligns with a Liquidity Grab zone
- A lot more buying pressure vs selling on the Weighted Volume Profile on the bottom of our trend channel
- In a strong uptrend already
My personal trade:
Stop Loss / Take Profits:
- Entry: $76.79
- Take Profit: $97.29
- Stop Loss: $73.03
Cava Group (CAVA) AnalysisRapid Expansion and Market Growth:
Cava Group NYSE:CAVA Group, a Mediterranean fast food chain, is rapidly growing with 323 locations and aims to reach 1,000 by 2032. This expansion could triple its annual revenue. Cava leverages AI to improve order accuracy and service speed, boosting financial performance.
Financial Performance and Profitability:
In Q1 2024, Cava reported a 25.2% profit margin and $19 million in operating income. Its strong unit economics suggest it can fund growth and remain profitable. Since going public, Cava's EBITDA nearly doubled in the latest quarter, showcasing financial strength.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on CAVA above the $82.00-$83.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $125.00-$126.00, investors should consider Cava's strategic growth plans and financial robustness as key drivers for potential stock appreciation.
📊🥙 Monitor Cava Group for promising investment opportunities! #CAVA #FastFoodGrowth 📈🔍
CAVA Cup & Handle Breakout TradeHappy Tuesday everybody, the stock caba is set to make a breakout of a base soon and I'm going to make a play on it to see if I can catch that move doing a buy to open and setting my stop loss below Monday's low. This stock is part of the consumer cyclical sector which has been performing well possibly because of pending interest rate cuts leading to increased consumer spending with credit cards but I'm not really sure if that's the cause.
CAVA Group Reports First Quarter 2024 ResultsCAVA Group, Inc., ( NYSE:CAVA ) a Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant brand, has reported its first quarter 2024 financial results. The company's revenue growth of 30.3%, including the same restaurant sales growth of 2.3%, was driven by its highly portable Mediterranean concept and powerful unit economic engine. The company opened 14 new restaurants during the quarter, and as it continues to invest in scalable infrastructure, it is in a strong position to capture the significant whitespace opportunity ahead.
The company's revenue increased by 30.3% to $256.3 million, compared to $196.8 million in the prior year quarter. The company also saw a 22.8% increase in total CAVA Restaurants year over year, with 86 new CAVA Restaurant Openings. The same restaurant sales growth was also strong, with a 2.3% increase from menu price and product mix.
CAVA's Adjusted EBITDA(1) was $33.3 million, compared to $16.7 million in the prior year quarter. The company's net income was $14.0 million, compared to a net loss of $2.1 million in the previous quarter. The adjusted EBITDA(1) was $33.3 million, or 12.9% of revenue, an increase of 99.0% compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2023.
The company's Restaurant-Level Profit Margin was 25.2%, compared to 25.4% in the first quarter of fiscal 2023. This decrease was due to incremental wage investments and lower food, beverage, and packaging costs as a percentage of revenue.
General and administrative expenses were $33.8 million, or 13.1% of revenue, compared to $29.0 million, or 14.3% of revenue, in the first quarter of fiscal 2023. The decrease was primarily due to higher performance-based incentive compensation in the prior year quarter and leverage from higher sales, partially offset by investments in the Collaboration Center Organization to support growth and recurring public company costs.
Net income was $14.0 million, or 5.4% of revenue, an increase of $16.1 million compared to a net loss of $2.1 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2023. The adjusted EBITDA(1) was $33.3 million, or 12.9% of revenue, an increase of $16.6 million, or 99.0%, compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2023.
Technical Outlook
CAVA Group stock ( NYSE:CAVA ) is down 2.82% in Tuesday's pre-market trading. The stock closed Tuesday's market trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 66.59 which was quiet overbought.
5/28/24 - $cava - number go up, valuation irrelevant for now...5/28/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:CAVA - taking a look at google trends... clearly we've not hit peak cava so... the market has tended to love these stories in the last 6-12 mo where you can't even see the peak.
so valuation be secondary - even if it's 10x sales. NASDAQ:WING is closer to 20x, right? investing all profits (so no free cash) for cava... into growth?
it's a good concept, fresh, nice. it's not NYSE:CMG , but it occupies a different niche and does it well, i like the margins better than NYSE:SG too.
i'd be tempted to trade this long into the results, just bc of this momentum on the charts, fundamentals, etc. any miss gets bought, any beat/ positive fwd speech (this is impossible to deny/ miss on right? and it matters a lot)... sends this ripping to higher highs. reasonably shorted at 6 dtc as well. wouldn't play short in indices hitting ATH's either esp for marginal winner name in it's industry.
number go up.
Typical Crown Pattern Worked OutPast observation of a typical Crown Pattern that worked out.
d3 volume with a hammer pattern at 50% fib pullback (B) together with a kijun trend bounce for an early entry. Then, the hammer was triggers with price rising above the hammer and the tenkan-kijun cross. Then, a rise to the 127% target.
MACD became positive.
CAVA Daily AnalysisI'm extremely bullish on NYSE:CAVA as a company. However, in the short term, I see bearish technicals as the stock begins to fall from its ATH. The first support line is in the $61 range. If this holds we could see a push back up to new all time highs at $85, especially if it the price manages to break through the resistance on the broadening wedge. Falling below the $61 level would mean a test of the $59 support trend that was established shortly after CAVA went public. Looking at the Visible Range Volume Profile, there's a clear point of control in the $40 range, which means if the $59ish support breaks, there could be a substantial correction for the stock in filling the volume gap.
One of my main concerns for the company stock long term is its 300 p/e value.
Cava Bottomed? Cava has reached the apex price of the falling wedge, this along with RSI crossing oversold, should be good indicator the selling has been exhausted and hopefully pump into earnings, which shouldn't have to be stellar, just good and we could definitely see CAVA trading back in the $60 range, and if that with good results of growth and new locations and paying down some debt, no reason we couldn't see it make a run higher to $75-80 range.
CAVA Group Options Ahead of EarningsCAVA is a restaurant chain that is not profitable, yet valued at $5.5 Billion market cap.
Despite the recent analysist upgrades, I think it`s extremely overvalued and will soon reach the IPO price.
Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CAVA Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 45usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-8-18,
for a premium of approximately $1.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Cava to $66Continuation into price discovery up to text theoretical resistance level at $66
Fibonacci retracemrnrs extend all the way to $91 for ultra bull case.
Bear case we get rejected here but with rsi neutral and potentially positive fed meeting and market reaction we may see a decent rally for anyone long on cava calls!