Centene Corp | CNC | Long at $35.00Centene Corp NYSE:CNC is a healthcare enterprise providing programs and services to under-insured and uninsured families, commercial organizations, and military families in the U.S. through Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and other segments. The stock dropped almost 40% this morning due to recent challenges, such as a $1.8B reduction in 2025 risk adjustment revenue and rising Medicaid costs (leading to withdrawal of 2025 earnings guidance). However, the company has a book value near $56, debt-to-equity of 0.7x (healthy), a current P/E of 5x, and a forward P/E of 9x.
It may be a few years before this stock recovers. But the price has entered my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $32 and $36) and there is a price gap on the daily chart between $32 and $33 that will likely be closed before a move higher. Long-term, and potentially a new political administration, new life may enter this stock once again as the baby boom generation requires more healthcare services. But holding is not for the faint of heart...
Thus, at $35.00, NYSE:CNC is in a personal buy zone with a likely continued dip into the low $30s or high $20s before a slow move higher (where I will be accumulating more shares). Full disclosure: I am also a position holder in the $60s and cost averaging down.
Targets into 2028:
$45.00 (+28.6%)
$54.00 (+54.3%)
CNC trade ideas
House of Cards CrumblingAnother Healthcare Insurance stock plummeting from it's high. This time it's Centene pulling guidance, this would have been a great short since UNH was the first to do this. Classic head and shoulders pattern formed after the end of the 5 wave move up. The healthcare insurance stocks are tumbling, the house of cards is crumbling.
Does it present an opportunity for a long term investor? Perhaps. From a swing trade idea, if we lose $30-33 then this is tumbling another 25% to the low $20s.
Be careful catching a falling knife. If you are prepared to hold and buy on further dips, it could present an opportunity. As this space continues to crumble, I expect UNH to acquire some of these companies and come out on top. But it could take time for this sector to recover, so patience is required.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
Likely candidate 64 with gaps to fill and trends to bounceGiven the current circumstances, the past 12 months have been exciting, disenfranchising, and failed to meet expectations. It could be dilution, too many acquisitions, an overhaul, or setting expectations for a few years. This stock will take off; the question is how far it can go once it does. For now, a conservative mid-60s may bring us some joy.
Long on CNC. Bullish Wedge. Entering demand zone.Based of technical analysis CNC should reverse and potentially hit or break above resistance. Strong support level of $61. Bullish wedge pattern on weekly timeframe. I see upside for this company due to Trumps presidency and the improvement on healthcare in the US.
Centene Corp | CNC | Long at $65As a managed health care company, Centene Corp NYSE:CNC doesn't get much attention. However, it is an undervalued growth stock. It's been a workhorse historically for slow and steady financial returns with a 3%+ dividend. The biggest dips along my selected moving average have been into the blue lines - which it recently tested. While the stock may close the gap near $62 is the near future, it's a personal buy at $65.
Target 1 = $78.00
Target 2 = $95.00
CNC: bouncing from its 200-day?A price action above 73.00 supports a bullish trend direction.
Increase long exposure for a break above 76.00.
The target price is set at 79.00 (its 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
The stop-loss is set at 71.00 its 78.6% retracement).
The price action seems to be bouncing from its 200-dau and 200-week simple moving averages. This can support a bullish long-term trend direction.
CNC: some upside potential?A price action above 75.00 supports a bullish trend direction.
Further bullish confirmation for a break above 79.00.
The profit take is set at 82.00.
The stop-loss price is set at 75.00.
Remains above its 200-day simple moving average, confirming a bullish long-term trend.
The start of upside price momentum further supports the bullish underlying trend.
Centene is BullishCentene posts earnings results pre-market tomorrow
20DMA about to cross the 50DMA. Very strong bullish daily candle today closing near the highs. It's formed a clear cup & handle. Implied price target included.
Watching closely this week.
*No Position but this will have an effect on other healthcare stocks all of which had a strong day today. Humana earnings on Wednesday and Cigna next week
Pull Back FishingCNC is below the neckline of what appears to be a Head and Shoulders pattern.
The 100% level of the downside from the H&S is marked and price is close to the .618 of the possible downside.
Calculated using the distance from the head to the neckline and projected down from the neckline.
Price does not always fall 100% and price can fall further than 100%. A lot depends on when the healthcare sector moves again.
Price is consolidating in a small consolidation zone which could be a bear flag. Flags are neutral until broken.
No recommendation/possible crab but price went a bit below the 1.618 of the 1st leg
CNC At Important LevelCentene NYSE:CNC fired off a signal on this morning's open at a "50 in 50" level. The most important level is the COVID Low to All Time High 50% Retracement which for the last few weeks price has been testing. This is an important multi-year level that the stock price needs to hold to continue to retest the all time high.
To reduce the initial risk on this trade I will drill down to the swing trading timeframe price action. Here we see the last few weeks with an overshoot of the support, price recapture the major 50% level, and now do a short term 50% Retracement around that level. Holding within this range sets up for a long term bullish move off the Supports.
CNC | Oversold Healthcare Co. | LONGCentene Corporation operates as a multi-national healthcare enterprise that provides programs and services to under-insured and uninsured individuals in the United States. Its Managed Care segment offers health plan coverage to individuals through government subsidized programs, including Medicaid, the State children's health insurance program, long-term services and support, foster care, and medicare-medicaid plans, which cover dually eligible individuals, as well as aged, blind, or disabled programs. Its health plans include primary and specialty physician care, inpatient and outpatient hospital care, emergency and urgent care, prenatal care, laboratory and X-ray, home-based primary care, transportation assistance, vision care, dental care, telehealth, immunization, specialty pharmacy, therapy, social work, nurse advisory, and care coordination services, as well as prescriptions and limited over-the-counter drugs, medical equipment, and behavioral health and abuse services. This segment also offers various individual, small group, and large group commercial healthcare products to employers and directly to members. The company's Specialty Services segment provides pharmacy benefits management services; nurse advice line and after-hours support services; vision and dental services, as well as staffing services to correctional systems and other government agencies; and services to Military Health System eligible beneficiaries. This segment offers its services and products to state programs, correctional facilities, healthcare organizations, employer groups, and other commercial organizations. The company provides its services through primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, and ancillary providers. Centene Corporation was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.