Get started
CoreCivic, Inc.CoreCivic, Inc.CoreCivic, Inc.

CoreCivic, Inc.

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview Financials News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Forecast Seasonals Options Bonds

CXW trade ideas

CXW – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈 🟢 🔹 Asset: CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW – NYSE) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout + Retest 📊 Trade Plan – Long Position ✅ Entry Zone: $21.50 (Breakout above resistance + trendline support) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $21.11 (Below breakout candle & structure) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $21.95 – Previous resistance 📌 TP2: $22.43 – Key supply zone 📐 Risk-Reward Calculation 🟥 Risk: $0.39/share 🟩 Reward to TP2: $0.93/share 📊 R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.4 – Tight setup with decent reward 🔍 Technical Highlights 📌 Breakout above symmetrical triangle pattern ✔ 📌 Price consolidating above key support zone ✔ 📌 Volume is stable — watch for increase on follow-through ✔ 📌 Higher low structure with strong bullish candles ✔ 📉 Risk Management Strategy 🔁 Move SL to breakeven after TP1 💰 Take 50% off at TP1 🚀 Let remainder ride to TP2 🚨 Setup Invalidation If: ❌ Price closes below $21.11 ❌ No bullish volume follow-through ❌ Rejection from $21.95 with long wicks 🔗 #CXW #TriangleBreakout #SwingTrade #NYSE #ProfittoPath #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartSetup #RiskReward #SmartMoney #VolumeBreakout
NYSE:CXWLong
by ProfittoPath
A bad day to Buy Stock in the modern day Auschwitz (CXW)The shadow of institutionalized human trafficking is a dark thread woven throughout history, manifesting in forms as grim as the forced labor camps of Auschwitz and Buchenwald during World War II. These institutions, while created under vastly different circumstances, share a grim purpose: commodifying human beings for profit or power. Today, while we no longer see camps of that scale or explicit cruelty, the echoes of these practices remain embedded in modern systems like for-profit prison companies, such as CoreCivic (CXW). CoreCivic operates at the intersection of justice and capitalism, profiting from the incarceration of individuals. The concept of institutional human trafficking persists, albeit under sanitized terms like “private correctional facilities” and “detention services.” Just as Auschwitz and Buchenwald profited off human exploitation under totalitarian regimes, today’s private prison systems derive revenue from incarcerating individuals, raising questions about morality, governance, and capitalism. This article explores how CoreCivic’s performance, seasonality, and responsiveness to political landscapes tell the story of a company entrenched in this modern institutional framework, particularly as it navigates the political winds of the Trump and Biden administrations. CoreCivic’s Financial and Market Performance CoreCivic (CXW) operates as one of the largest private prison companies in the United States. As of today: Market Capitalization: $2.45 billion. Revenue Stability: Quarterly revenue ranges between $390 million and $520 million. Earnings Growth: CoreCivic's earnings have shown resilience, with positive surprises in some quarters, such as Q4 2023 and Q2 2024, though inconsistency remains a challenge. Technical Indicators: Overall Technical Rating: Sell / Short Moving Averages: Sell signals dominate across short- and mid-term moving averages (e.g., EMA 10, 20, 30). Oscillators: Mixed signals, with some like Bull Bear Power suggesting a buy, while others like MACD signal a sell. Long-term indicators (e.g., SMA 200) lean toward a more neutral or bullish outlook. Analyst Forecast and Recommendations: 3 analysts rate it a strong buy, 1 as hold, and none as sell. Near-term technical ratings are bearish, but the long-term outlook is optimistic based on analyst forecasts. 1-4 Year Price Target: $28.75, representing a potential +32.86% upside. - Minimum target: $25.00 (+15.63%). - Maximum target (short target): $32.00 (+48.01%). Price Performance: YTD performance is relatively flat at -0.28%, with significant gains over 6 months (+49.11%) and 1 year (+45.90%). Weekly performance has dipped by -4.61%, signaling possible short-term weakness. Seasonality Trends: CoreCivic exhibits predictable seasonal performance, with stronger months historically observed in October and November: November 2016: A +57.16% gain, aligning with the Trump election and expectations of favorable policies for private prison companies. November 2022: Another standout month with a +61.69% return, likely tied to seasonal adjustments and specific market expectations. Weaker months, such as August and September, reflect broader market pressures or reduced contract announcements. For instance: August 2017: A -16.46% loss following political shifts and public criticism of private prisons. September 2023: A -8.20% decline, signaling continued volatility. Comparing Trump and Biden Administrations’ Impacts on CoreCivic Trump’s First Term (2017-2020): Under President Trump, CoreCivic saw policies that bolstered the private prison industry: Pro-Privatization Rhetoric: The administration expanded contracts with private prison operators, benefiting CoreCivic directly. Immigration Detention Surge: Policies like family separations at the border led to increased use of private detention facilities. Performance: CoreCivic thrived during this period, with standout months like January 2017 (+18.72%) and November 2016 (+57.16%), reflecting investor confidence in sustained revenue growth. Biden’s Term (2021-Present): In contrast, President Biden’s administration adopted a more critical stance: Executive Orders: Early in his term, Biden issued an order to phase out federal contracts with private prisons. While the impact was limited to certain contracts, the signal was clear: a reduced reliance on privatized incarceration. Market Volatility: CoreCivic’s performance became more erratic, with sharp losses like August 2022 (-50.30%) and rebound months such as November 2022 (+61.69%). The Ethical Quandary of CoreCivic’s Business Model CoreCivic's operations invite ethical scrutiny. Critics argue that private prisons create a perverse incentive to maintain high incarceration rates, disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. This mirrors historic systems of exploitation, where profit motives overshadowed human rights. While CoreCivic may not directly engage in the atrocities of Auschwitz or Buchenwald, the parallels of commodifying human beings cannot be ignored. Both systems demonstrate how institutions can profit from human suffering, whether under the guise of national security or law enforcement. As we analyze CoreCivic's financial data, we must confront the uncomfortable reality of what drives its profits—and how society enables such systems. Unless you want to purchase a get out of concentration camp free card, buy CXW isn't just morally and ethically wrong, it's financially incompetent as it will inevitably run into issues related to changes in local and federal government, civil rights lawsuits, mismanagement issue, all for mediocre performance compared to entire REIT asset class which generally produce a dividend without the moral issues.
NYSE:CXWShort
by livingdracula
2
CXW Inverse Head and Shoulder + Bullish Divergence!Hey Folks! Not a fundamental analysis or financial advice, but trading idea on why it could do well in the coming months and beyond. I have discovered a technical repeat pattern in this one. I first found this stock after Trump made his statement regarding large deportations if elected. So naturally I look up prison stocks lol. I made a nice trade on it last time it dipped and reversed, and I want to bring it to everyone's attention. The overall pattern is shaping up nicely for a big move, a long election season is approaching border security will be a big deal and Core Civic will benefit in form of major government contracts, especially if Trump gets re-elected, even Biden might get pressured to crack down on border security. From the company, I'd like to see a new fundamental catalyst to capitalize on this bullish setup. Happy Trading! OnePath
NYSE:CXW
by OnePath
2
CXW and a possible small win *** THE WAR IN ISRAEL WILL HAVE WORLDWIDE EFFECTS ON ALL MARKETS. TRADE RESPONSIBLY, TRADE WITH CAUTION. YOUR THESIS AND PREDICTIONS COULD IMPLODE WITHOUT WARNING.*** CXW - looking bullish...why? Daily chart indicates the following - Green Stacked EMAS, nice candlestick setup on the 8 ema, Volume increase, RSI on the rise, Stochastic nearing an about-face Strategy - Buy off a bounce at Fib Extension entry here 0.236 (11.14) Sell Target Exit 0.618 (11.62) 4.3% win Add this to your watchlist, and... *Let's see what happens* DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. These are merely my thoughts and possible moves; i enjoy watching these stocks validate my process or slap me across the face lol. If you are in need of professional assistance with your trades, don't look here. I am not that guy.
NYSE:CXWLong
by mrmaximo74
CXW - 5 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════ Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading opportunities based solely on the development of CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS 🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝 ══════════════════════════════ Hello Traders ✌ After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that: - it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment; - since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant; - the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts; For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart. Thank you all for your support 🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER "A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist" ═════════════════════════════ ⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠ The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
NYSE:CXWLong
by TheArtOfCharting
would you buy a prison company ; CXW ?A follower asked for my opinion on this unusual stock, CXW. Without looking at its financials, the chart pattern look quite attractive thus far. It has registered a continuous pattern of Higher High and Higher Lows as well. It has met its resistance at 14.20 on 18th April and current price suggest it is revisiting that level again. So, you can go LONG now at lower attractive prices or for more margin of safety, wait for it to break out of 14.20 level, establish bullish signals and then go LONG. Please DYODD
NYSE:CXWLong
by dchua1969
1
Engulfing Candle Finally Appears! Price Action AnalysisHello Traders! CXW broke the previous high and also make a valid pullback that will create a higher low after the appearance of engulfing candle at the strong key level I entered position at the closing price of the engulfing candle which a signal of reversal All Conditions Met: 1. Trend - Higher High Higher Low 2. Valid Pull Back 3. Key Levels 4. Strong Reversal Candle Hope you enjoy my price action analysis and hope you smash the like button
NYSE:CXWLong
by The_Power_of_Price_Action
CXW/GEO Pair Trade hedgeI was initially long GEO and was not interested in CXW . GEO has great history of good runs after election cycles and has, in the past outperformed CXW . I changed my mind today, after being stopped out on my GEO long and noticing that CXW's chart was much less affected by Biden's action to order the Department of Justice to end its reliance on private prisons... Why I asked myself ?? So, short and sweet , here is what I found ... 1) GEO is 14% exposed to BOP vs. CXW at 3% from a revenue standpoint (probably biggest factor here) 2) CXW's Managed Only Beds account for 12% of its total bed capacity while this number is 30% for GEO . ( managed only meaning they do not own the real estate on these ones ) 3) GEO is approximately twice as leveraged as CXW and CXW has already eliminated its dividend with plans to further de-leverage . GEO will be hurt more than CXW by loss of federal contracts. CXW is nicer situated to outperform GEO going forward ... How I plan to trade this : I will take a long on CXW first as the technicals look nicer for long entry at this time. For the short on GEO , I plan to wait for a little more upside before shorting, I will wait for the next cycle up to short GEO . Equal position sizing in each. I still have lots to learn with ratio trades, this is my first one I have decided to publish and it's only my point of view. So, please do additional research if you decide to enter yourself, just sharing a perspective here. :) Constructive input is always appreciated and welcome too. Good luck ~
NYSE:CXW
by NAK1987
2
My bi-directional trade on CXW. Michael Burry likes it too!Similar to my approach with SLV that is linked, I opened a long position in CXW, hedged by 3/19 7 puts. CXW is low volatility, which means options are cheap. So: 1) If it breaks free through resistance, I make money on the long stock, lose my hedge, but I dont care, bc the hedge is cheap. 2) If it bounces down sharply because of the market sell-off, my hedge will work and I will be either net 0 or modest profit. 3) If nothing happens, I lose my hedge money, but its cheap anyways. And Dr Michael Burry has it in his portfolio in Scion, so why not?
NYSE:CXWLong
by roman63rus
To start a live-streaming series here.....Hello all of my followers around the world! I just got my streaming application on TradingView, thinking of starting a live-streaming series to interact directly with you guys! It would probably be delivered bilingually. I wonder what kind of topic would you be more interested, A. My trading experience in Wall Street B. Market recap , analysis, and trading plans C. Trading execution strategies and Trading psychology D. Ideas of rules and trading systems. Please kindly vote for the topic that you'll be interested in ! Let's see how it goes and look forward to seeing you guys in live-streaming!
NYSE:CXWEducation
by Trader_Joe_Lee
4
CoreCivic accelerating divergence, working on trend line breakPrivate prisons aren't sexy, and CoreCivic has been collapsing due to negative publicity around its management of detention centers for migrant children on behalf of the US government. This, however, presents an opportunity for the contrarian investor. Despite an analyst downgrade a couple days ago from Fitch, CoreCivic has been seeing an acceleration of bullish divergence and may be working on a trendline break. This is a risky play given the negative catalysts, but there's lots of upside potential here. I find that when a stock moves in the opposite direction of an analyst upgrade/downgrade, that often means it's reversal time. I will take a small position if CXW confirms its trend line breakout. The stock has an 8.2/10 Equity Starmine Summary Score and is rated undervalued and high quality by S&P Capital IQ.
NYSE:CXWLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
2