Walt Disneyheres my walt disney trades
and longs investments and whatnot----over the years...congrats walt disney its been decent.
DIS trade ideas
DISNEYMiska Mouska market mouse
This analysis falls for the dow jones in a way
if this stop is hit and it closes
above the white line
i am sure we going to have a significant bull run for a while
that being said im still bearish on the overall market its only a matter of time
that 0.75 kicks in the absurdity that the market rose strengthens my religion in technicals
that being said this the last short im going to speculate for djia ndq even btc
if it fails for now that is
maybe its going to double bottom and the rise was done to raise liquidity off of
the overly optimistic retail investor MAYBE -_-
SENNA SEASON
DISNEY (DIS) UpdatesExcellent quarterly reports for The Walt Disney Company.
The strong recovery in tourism in its theme parks has driven the company’s profits with a resounding + 600%.
Streaming revenues increased by 11% but profits fell by 32% . This figure certainly makes us reflect and could be a harbinger of incoming increases for the Disney plus service which for now, has wanted to make room in a world with important competitors (Netflix and Amazon first videos above all), providing its service to aggressive pricing.
Remember that the Media & Entertainment Distribution sector also includes two other proprietary platforms, namely Hulu and ESPN +.
Overall operating profit increased by 50% and is the reason for the upward gap of 11 August.
On a graphical level, after hitting $ 90 per share, the price reacted, driven by the important pull-back of the S&P 500 which is still ongoing; already last week, speaking of Amazon, I said that I would expect a retracement, which will surely happen.
At that moment I will add size on Disney, as I am now in a slight drawdown having an average price of around $ 150.
After all, in the last two years, the price has traded more in the $ 170 area. It is reasonable to expect a price in that area in the next 6 months, as long as the economic situation stabilizes and inflation falls back to around 3 percentage points, which is still a long way off at the moment.
Disney certainly shows solidity, thanks to its core business, which has strongly recovered. There is definitely room for improvement in the streaming field, we hope they find the right way.
Happy trading
Lazy Bull
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DIS: Overbought?Walt Disney
Short Term - We look to Sell at 123.51 (stop at 133.26)
They reported higher than expected streaming subscriber growth and the stock aggressively went up. This has resulted in signals for sentiment being at overbought extremes and we look for a move to the downside. Bespoke resistance is located at 124.00. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. A lower correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 100.57 and 95.00
Resistance: 124.00 / 140.00 / 160.00
Support: 100.00 / 90.00 / 80.00
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Earnings watch 8/10Earnings watch 8/10:
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*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
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Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
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Potential setups for Walt Disney Co.NYSE:DIS
❇️ The shares of The Walt Disney Co., the world leader in the entertainment industry, are actively declining, being in the 108.00 area.
❇️ On the daily chart of the asset, the formation of a global downward channel with dynamic boundaries at 80.00–108.00 continues, and at the moment, the price has come close to the resistance line at 108.00 and is preparing to break it.
❇️ On the four-hour chart, the current growth has a high chance of breaking it and reaching the initial 23.6% Fibonacci correction around 117.00, which is the main barrier for quotes within a possible upward correction.
❇️ Technical indicators reversed and gave a stable buy signal: the range of EMA fluctuations on the Alligator indicator began to expand upwards actively, and the histogram of the AO oscillator forms bars with an upward trend in the buying zone.
Trading tips
👉 Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 117.00 with the target at 133.00. Stop loss – 112.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.
👉 Short positions may be opened after a reversal, reduction, and consolidation of the price below 101.00 with the target at 91.00. Stop loss — 105.00.
DIS AnalysisPrice has played out as expected since 12 July 2022. We have earning call on 10 August. We are currently mitigating the bearish POI at 107.91. I'm expecting this bearish POI to hold and see some retracement to the downside before we move higher. Either that, or we could see liquidity at 112.95 getting targeted before the price move to the downside.
DIS H4 Potential for bullish momentum | 4th August 2022On the H4, with prices moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to buy entry at 112.86 where the swing high resistance, 38.2% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken entry structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to take profit at 129.06 where the overlap resistance, 161.8% fibonacci extension and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Alternatively, prices could drop to stop loss at 99.98 where the overlap support is.
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DIS H4 Potential for bullish momentum | 4th August 2022On the H4, with prices moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to buy entry at 112.86 where the swing high resistance, 38.2% fibonacci retracement and 100% fibonacci projection are. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken entry structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to take profit at 129.06 where the overlap resistance, 161.8% fibonacci extension and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Alternatively, prices could drop to stop loss at 99.98 where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DIS AnalysisPrice is doing what I analyzed last week. No changes to my analysis as per last week. Price is on a downtrend. Price has filled the fair value gap at 91.80 created in Q1 2020. We are also starting to see a change in character in a Wyckoff accumulation schematic, with volume coming in with the rally. I'm expecting the price to continue to rally higher with the target of bearish POI at 107.91.
Disney | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ ⚡️In determining whether a company is suitable as a great dividend asset, you first need to ask yourself a few basic questions. First, has the company paid dividends over time? Second, has it been able to increase its payouts on a regular basis? And finally, does it have the means to continue to do so?
Disney suspended its dividend payments in the early days of the pandemic in May 2020 and has yet to pay them back. While the decision was understandable at the time in light of the uncertainty created for its theme parks and other ventures, now is a good time to see if Disney can achieve dividend greatness again.
The Disney empire encompasses valuable properties, including networks such as ABC, Disney Channel, and ESPN, streaming services such as Disney+, movie studios, and theme parks.
A testament to the combined strength of the business is that Disney's revenues for the first half of its fiscal year (ended April 2) rose 29 percent to $41.1 billion. In a sign of how quickly the company has recovered from last year, when results suffered after COVID-19 began, adjusted diluted earnings per share nearly doubled to $2.14 in the same time period.
Disney's outlook also looks good. The company is preparing to release a sequel to its popular movie, and other trends, such as park spending, are improving. Its streaming business also continues to do well. In the second quarter, the number of paid subscribers to Disney+ increased 33 percent year over year to 137.7 million. This comes amid stiffer competition. For example, Netflix lost nearly 1 million subscribers in the last quarter, in addition to 200,000 subscribers in the previous quarter.
When looking at Disney's free cash flow (FCF), it is best to look at the full year as it eliminates seasonality. Last year, despite orders and blackouts negatively affecting business, the company generated about $2 billion in FCF, down from $3.6 billion.
Before the board suspended the 2020 dividend, Disney was making semiannual payments. In addition, the company has regularly increased its dividend. In 2012, it paid $0.75 a year, increasing the amount to $1.76 before the suspension.
Disney previously said, "Over the long term, we expect dividends to remain part of our capital allocation strategy." However, the company does not plan to resume payments until "we return to a more normal environment."
The company has good characteristics that investors will undoubtedly find attractive. These include terrific properties that have contributed to sales and profits. But without a fixed date or the promise of an imminent renewal of payments, income-seeking investors should look to other companies to find great dividend stocks.
Investors looking for the best dividend stocks can start with dividend aristocrats - members of the S&P 500 who have raised dividends for at least 25 consecutive years. If you want to cut the list even further, you can look at Dividend Kings, an even more elite group. These are S&P 500 companies that have been raising dividends for at least half a century.
Buy $DIS - NRPicks 13 AprThe Walt Disney Company operates as a worldwide entertainment company. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in film and television content production activities.
Revenue TTM 72.9B
EBITDA TTM 10.5B
Net Income TTM 3.8B
Margin EBITDA TTM 14%.
DIS AnalysisPrice is doing what I analyzed last week. Price is on a downtrend. Price has filled the fair value gap at 91.80 created in Q1 2020. We are also starting to see a change in character in a wyckoff accumulation schematic, with volume coming in with the rally. I'm expecting price to continue rally higher with the target of bearish POI at 107.91.
Disney is a realm of escapism - Recession Proof & Cash Flow RichThe Walt Disney Company recorded negative operating cash flow for the first quarter of the year. Even in the second quarter, cash from operating activities was still outpaced by investments in diverse activities. This was mostly caused by a lack of action during the coronavirus demand destruction in fiscal year 2020. But now that the parks are reopened, there are less ramp-up requirements. The majority of Disney's movie ticket sales will result in revenue generation because the majority of the backlog of films has already been paid for. The free cash flow should significantly increase during the following quarters. Despite the most severe criticism, "Thor: Love & Thunder" is on track to surpass $500 million worldwide. The success of the movie was another evidence that the conventional approach is still effective.
10 Year TSR Value
Disney's track record of making more money than it needs is quite extensive. As a result, advancements into further growth areas can still be made in the future. Disney may be a sizable business, but it has plenty of room to expand as long as there are measures in place to produce adequate cash flow. They have a strong economic moat. The brand is extremely well-known, and the market is now discounting the Disney+ streaming component of the company's operations as the excitement surrounding it fades due to Netflix's (NFLX) sluggish member growth. We have to consider that Netflix have peaked their user base. However, Disney+ have enough tier to grow their client base.
Due to the parks being open again and new movies being released, cash flow is expected to increase significantly soon. In the long run, this corporation has a significantly more profitable method of producing films than many of its rivals.
However, One of the biggest disadvantage of holding this stock is due to their high operating costs, Disney's value will increase to about twice what it is currently trading for if operating margins return to the mean of around 17%.
As operating costs increased and park and cruise revenues decreased during the pandemic, Disney had to cut dividend payout. Undoubtedly, the dividend's reinstatement will be a bullish event that many are anticipating. Although market players despise dividend cutbacks, Disney's management at the time made a wise decision in doing this. Disney was able to leverage money from eliminating the dividend to make a splash in the streaming industry. However, it is in their best interests to compensate shareholders by resuming dividend payments in situations where the value of their firm is dwindling.
The market seemed to be concentrating too much on downside risks, that continue to drive Disney's share price lower, despite the fact that revenue growth continued to rise. In the future, Disney's earning power might increase significantly, just like it did a decade ago. The stock might surge once more with an operating margin returning to regular levels of 17-21%. As the company's free cash flows and direct-to-consumer operations may grow, Disney has a lot of potential in the long run. Disney produced record EPS and nearly $10 billion in free cash flows in 2019. Now that the theatrical industry is recovering from COVID the company is expected to generate record breaking free cashflow.
Total Revenue vs Total Operating Expenses
They have already begun to report positive financial outcomes for its fiscal year 2022. Revenue increased from $31.86 billion last year to $41.07 billion this year, a 28.9 percent increase over the same period previous year. From $918 million to $1.57 billion, net income has grown by 71.5 percent. Operating cash flow increased from $1.47 billion to $1.56 billion, an increase of just 6%. However, if working capital adjustments were taken into account, it would have increased from $1.84 billion to $4.67 billion. That is a 153.7 percent increase from the previous year.
Excellent Management & Strategic Growth over the years.
People seek escapism during recessions, and Disney's content offers them hope. Every week, 80 million Americans went to the movies, even during the Great Depression and since then movie businesses have won the label of "Recession Proof", The movie business has generally been one of the few industries that has been able to retain its place in the market or even grow admissions, even in some of the worst economic downturns ever. This is a result of people's continued consumption behavior. Even if they were impacted by economic downturns, The release of "Avatar: The Way of Water" this year and Disney's 100th anniversary celebration in 2023 will boost the company's marketing efforts and help them generate more sales revenue.
