Dow Transportion Average Deflationary Bearish Divergence !Dow Theory principal of market analysis rests on the premise
that the Industrial Average,Transportation Average, and Utility Average
should all be in gear together in a confirming signal of unison
about both the markets and the economy's state of health.
If one index diverges from the others, and it persists for a while, it is a notable warning sign that something is amiss.
Last night, Federal Express, one of the largest worldwide shippers, and key stock in the Transportation Average
revealed in their earnings release that the world's economy is markedly slowing down in 2019
Is anyone paying attention to what they said ?
I mean you really don't even have to read tea leaves to get it.
The Dow Transportation Average made it's high in Sept 2018, prior to the Industrial Average peak
and right now is giving striking bearish divergences about the health of the "real economy" in the United States
Also note that the Dow Utility Average, the 2nd of the Dow Trioka Averages
is also giving confirming signals of a real slowdown in the economy, and in the rise in short and long term interst rates,
Sooner or later, the overall stock market here in the US
will finally come to the realization that things are not quite as rosy as they seem .
That includes the Dow Industrial's, S+P 500, and bubbly Nasdaq market.
When they begin to sell off, investors will be looking for reasons.
My own advise is that you start paying attention
to what the Dow Transportation Average is telling you every day.
There is a real ,and marked slowdown going on in the US economy right now.
And soon, with 1rst Quarter Earnings due in April, other market leading companies will soon confirm the same news.
Dow Transportation Average Chart
paints a much more bearish scenario than the Industrial's ..doesn't it ?
Do not ignore that divergence.
Major Sell Signal Pending on Close Below DJT 10116.86
DJT Last 10277.32
THE_UNWIND
3/20/19
Mountains?New York