FPI: Irony Behind The DeclineFibonacci interconnection between Higher Low, Higher High and series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The side of breakout from this narrowing formation will determine the direction of trend. The fibonacci lines derived from the structure covers the limits of breakout wave.
If the price resumes its downtrend, I can only assume the market is still digesting the impact of deteriorating fundamentals. When I first learned about the situation, I could hardly believe it. Essentially, the anti-immigration and protectionist policies Nebraska’s farm owners voter for, have triggered a labor exodus, as migrant workers in masses preemptively abandoned farms to avoid impending ICE crackdowns. This sudden labor shortage lowered rental income potential and more importantly affected land valuations — both of which are fundamental drivers of financial performance. At the same time, the fact that the farms depend on fertilizers 90% of which come from Canada - adds another layer of uncertainty amid ongoing trade tensions. This raises the risk of input cost spikes that could further erode profit margins. As operating costs rise and productivity declines, farmland becomes an increasingly unattractive asset class, prompting investors to reassess the value of agricultural holdings. The result is a broad collapse in prices — ironically driven by the very political and economic decisions that were believed to protect these rural businesses. If this isn’t something out of parallel universe, I don’t know what is.
FPI trade ideas
$FPI is coming up on the right side of its base!Notes:
* Strong up trend
* Not the best earnings record but the last report was really good
* Creating a base within a base
* Recently broke above historical highs of 14.42
* Increasing volume since the last earnings report
* Recently bounced off of the 50 day line with bullish price action and volume
Technicals:
Sector: Real Estate - REIT - Specialty
Relative Strength vs. Sector: 1.23
Relative Strength vs. SP500: 2.49
U/D Ratio: 1.25
Base Depth: 22.36%
Distance from breakout buy point: -9.29%
Volume 57.34% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter now as the price is just coming off of the 50 day line with increasing volume
* If you're looking for a better entry you can look for one around the 14.42 area as that should serve as support moving forward
* This stock usually has local tops when the price closes around 18.47% above its 50 EMA
* Consider selling into strength if the price closes 18.27% to 18.67% (or higher) above its 50 EMA
* The last closing price is 4.8% away from its 50 EMA
FPI is Bullish At This TimeFarmland Partners, Inc. is an internally managed real estate company. The Company owns and seeks to acquire farmland located in agricultural markets throughout North America. The Company is the sole member of the general partner of Farmland Partners Operating Partnership, LP (the Operating Partnership). All of the Company's assets are held by, and its operations are primarily conducted through, the Operating Partnership and the subsidiaries of the Operating Partnership. The Company's principal investment focus is on farmland located in agricultural markets throughout North America, however, it may seek to acquire farmland outside of North America. It also may acquire properties related to farming, such as grain storage facilities, grain elevators, feedlots, cold storage facilities, processing plants and distribution centers, as well as livestock farms or ranches. As of December 31, 2016, the Company owned approximately 115,489 acres, as well as eight grain storage facilities.
Please refer to chart for further details.