GBRK: Fundamental Analysis +46 %With 2024 revenue of $2.1 billion, Green Brick Partners is the 3rd largest builder of single-family homes in the Florida, Georgia, and Texas regions. EverStock identifies a fundamental revaluation potential of + 46 %.
Valuation at 7.7x net earnings
Currently valued at $2.94 billion, Green Brick Partners posted a profit of $382 million in its latest fiscal year (2024).
Balance sheet and debt
In Green Brick’s latest annual report, tangible net asset value stood at $1.58 billion, giving a market capitalization / tangible net asset value ratio of 1.75.
The gearing ratio is excellent, at 0.24.
Current share price : $66.98
Target price : $97.57
Upside potential : + 46 %
Dividend : $1.44
Yield : 2.15%
GRBK trade ideas
GRBK – 30-Min Short Trade Setup!📉
🔹 Ticker: GRBK (NYSE)
🔹 Setup: Ascending Triangle Rejection + Breakdown Risk
🔸 Rejection Zone: ~$57.80 (yellow zone + trendline confluence)
📊 Trade Plan (Short Bias)
✅ Entry Range: $57.65–$57.85
✅ Stop Loss (SL): Above $59.54 (white resistance zone)
✅ Profit Zones:
• TP1: $55.10 (Post level retest)
• TP2: $53.40 (green structure support)
• TP3: $51.77 (major support base – orange zone)
📐 Risk-Reward View
• Bearish confluence at horizontal + trendline resistance
• Price stalling under supply zone
• Weak bullish momentum with signs of fading volume
• Key breakdown could unlock deeper downside potential
🔍 Technical Highlights
• Price rejected triangle resistance cleanly
• Bearish structure forming lower highs
• Tight range under rejection = breakout likely
⚙️ Trade Management Tips
• Trail stop loss after TP1
• Lock profits gradually into support zones
• Watch for volume drop below $55 for confirmation
⚠️ Setup Invalidation
❌ Break and hold above $59.54
❌ Strong bullish breakout with volume
❌ Price closing above trendline & horizontal resistance