JPM - BULLISH SCENARIOJPMorgan Kicks Off Bank Earnings Season
The bank will re-test the major resistance of the falling wedge.
If a positive outcome occurs the next major resistance level is located at $132, or more than a 16 % possible return for the bulls.
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JPM trade ideas
JPM options ahead of earningsIf you haven`t shorted JPM after the Q1 results:
then ahead of Q2 earnings I would buy the following JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) puts:
2023-1-20 expiration date
$113.19 entry price (approximatively)
$90 strike price
$3.15 premium/share
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
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Gap in the Rearview MirrorGreat stock and a strong stock with a very long impulse wave up.
It is often easier to draw impulse waves that are this long on weekly or monthly timeframes. It is easier for me to see the beginning of the wave as well.
Fib levels on the way down are marked as possible pull back levels. Price may stop in between two levels as well. Look for a level of support/consolidation.
There is a GAP to the left from a while back. I see consolidation under that gap.
As support levels fail, I set and alert for the next level. As of late I have done this numerous times for some stocks that I like.
My sister wants this one and thinks I am a fortune teller or something. She asked me "Do you think the market will hit bottom by next Friday?" She does not trade.
I am like "probably not. LOL" )o: When everyone is nauseated and thinks there is no hope, maybe we will hit bottom.
No recommendation
Don't forget to look in the rearview mirror.
JPM double bottomDouble bottom with divergence on MACD, RSI and Stochastic with 61.8% Fibonacci support from the bottom of the corona crash. Compared to the index finances are looking a lot better with JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup leading the way. Breakout of falling Wedge pattern shows a great opportunity for a Long position.
JPM - Short Term Opportunity with 60% Upside?Given the tendency of banks benefitting from the periods when interest rates are rising, is JP Morgan going to provide investors an impressive 60% upside at these turbulent times?
Let's look at it in more detail.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - impressive 31% in 2021
P/E - 8.7x which is considerably lower than the current S&P500 ratio, i.e. very attractive
Liabilities - no problems with considering this is a banking sector
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Following the correction of March 2020 shares of JPM have been growing but in a very choppy manner which indicates a potential development of an Ending Diagonal pattern
Waves 1 to 3 have been already completed and we are observing the shaping of corrective wave 4. It has already entered the space of wave 1 bust just about and it's likely to correct a little deeper
Once wave 4 is completed this scenario suggests another zig-zag to the upside before global and very lengthy correction starts, that may last more than 2 years for JPM
What do you think about JP Morgan and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
PS Below is the Educational post about Ending Diagonals
JPMorgan Falls Thru Trap-Door Equivalent to Pre-COVID HighsNot much of an explanation needed here... financials have been struggling, and JPM right along with them. What's notable here is that price has fallen below the pre-COVID highs, which means that all recapture, plus growth obtained prior to COVID, has all be vanished for stockholders of the mega-bank.
Written & Annotated for the CMT Association.
Adam D. Koós, CFP®, CMT, CEPA
President / Sr. Financial Advisor / Portfolio Manager
Libertas Wealth Management Group, Inc.