Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) Reports Strong Q125 ResultsMorgan Stanley (NYSE: NYSE:MS ) Beats Q1 estimates with record Equity Trading Revenue. The bank posted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.60, beating analyst expectations of $2.18. Revenue reached a record $17.74 billion, topping forecasts of $16.44 billion.
The bank's equity trading revenue soared 45% year-over-year. It reached a new high of $4.13 billion as growth came across business lines and regions. Asia showed particularly strong performance. Prime brokerage and derivatives led gains, fueled by high client activity in volatile markets.
Morgan Stanley shares dropped 1% after the earnings release. However, the stock remains up over 20% in the past year. Volatility in global markets helped trading desks outperform.
Technical Analysis
Morgan Stanley bounced sharply from the $95 support zone. Buyers stepped in near the previous breakout level. Volume increased and confirmed renewed interest. This was seen as Trump paused tariffs for the next 90 days as well. Current price action suggests a recovery trend. The RSI stands at 39, hinting at oversold conditions. A potential path points to $142.03, which acts as the immediate resistance level.
If the price breaks $113 cleanly, momentum could carry it to $130 and beyond. If it fails, it is most likely to retest $95 support level. A strong break above recent highs would confirm bullish continuation. For now, Watch out the $113 and $142 levels closely.
MS trade ideas
Playing off the potential false breakout?Morgan Stanley's chart is at a critical juncture. After a slide in a descending channel, it briefly poked its head above, but that breakout looks shaky! Now it's dancing around the $115 support zone. A solid hold here, and we might see a bounce. But if that support caves? Watch out for further downside. Is MS about to regain its footing, or is this just a pit stop on the way down? What's your call? Share your predictions!
Morgan Stanley Correction. MSOur last take on MS was dead on and quite profitable. The idea will be linked to this one. ABC zigzag, now impulsing down in C wave. Indicator below are bearish but quite choppy, making meaningful interpretation difficult. Price action, MIDAS cross and behavior of vWAP/US duo are key factors in this decision making.
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Morgan Stanley, can we follow up on great earnings call?Hi guys, we are next looking into Morgan Stanley. Currently they had a fantastic 2024 , with great growth and great beat over their earnings calls.
Fundamental overview :
Morgan Stanley has adopted a bullish stance on U.S. equities, forecasting the S&P 500 to potentially reach 7,400 by 2025. This optimism is based on anticipated solid earnings growth and accommodative monetary policy, which could enhance the firm's equity trading and investment advisory revenues.
Increased Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Activity
The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to stimulate a surge in M&A activity, driven by lower borrowing costs and deregulation. Morgan Stanley predicts a 50% increase in M&A deals in 2025 compared to the previous year, which would significantly boost its advisory and underwriting services.
In fixed income, Morgan Stanley identifies securitized credit, particularly U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS), as a promising area. The firm believes that moderating monetary policy, coupled with strong consumer and corporate balance sheets, will create favorable conditions for this sector, potentially enhancing its fixed income revenues.
Technical Overview :
Currently we have surpassed a strong resistance line which has been upgraded to a supprot line because of the strong growth at 2024. Currently this Ascending channel should take us to a 2x price level from 83 level to 166 level.
Entry: 127
Target : 166
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Morgan Stanley Wave Analysis – 30 January 2025
- Morgan Stanley is rising inside impulse wave iv
- Likely to rise to the resistance level of 145.00
Morgan Stanley continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave iv, which started earlier from the key support level of 135.00 (the former monthly high from November), acting as support after it was broken earlier.
The active impulse wave iv belongs to the higher-order upward impulse sequence (C) from last August.
Given the overriding daily uptrend, Morgan Stanley can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level at 145.00 (the target price for the completion of the active minor impulse wave 3)
Morgan Stanley Breaks Free A Bullish Wedge Reversal in ActionMorgan Stanley (MS) on the 4-hour chart has confirmed a breakout from a descending wedge pattern, signaling a strong bullish reversal. The breakout is accompanied by increased momentum, as indicated by the clean surge above the wedge’s upper boundary. This setup is a classic reversal signal, with bulls reclaiming control.
The entry is placed at 137.87, capitalizing on the breakout momentum. The stop loss is strategically positioned at 123.50, below the wedge’s lower boundary, to safeguard against invalidation of the setup. The take profit is set at 155.35, aligning with the wedge’s projected target based on its height.
The trade exhibits a solid risk-to-reward ratio, and the breakout aligns with the broader bullish market sentiment for the stock. With buyers driving the price upwards, this trade setup offers a high-probability opportunity for trend continuation.
US Market: Stocks Taking Break out and Break Below the CloudThis week following stocks have taken a break out above the cloud (consolidation zone) (1D candle):
1. MS
2. JPM
3. CVX
4. WFC
5. HD
6. BRK.A
7. XOM
8. AXP
9. TMO
10. CSCO
Following stocks have taken a break below the consolidation zone (daily candle):
1. LLY
2. AAPL
3. DIS
4. ABBV
5. MCD
6. MRK
The tool (Zeta Scalper) was fed with 40 stocks (top 40 stocks by market cap) and run at daily candle to find out stocks breaking above and below the consolidation zone.
Use your due diligence before investing or trading.
Morgan Stanley (MS) Shares Display StrengthMorgan Stanley (MS) Shares Display Strength Ahead of Earnings Release
The stock market is eagerly awaiting the start of the quarterly earnings season. Traditionally, it kicks off with reports from major players in the financial sector, including Morgan Stanley (MS). The bank's earnings report is scheduled for tomorrow, Thursday, before the opening of the main trading session.
According to Yahoo Finance, analysts expect:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.62, indicating a 43.4% increase compared to the previous year;
→ Revenue to reach $14.8 billion, reflecting a 14.7% rise year-on-year.
Meanwhile, MS’s share price may also be influenced by internal organisational changes at Morgan Stanley. The bank has created a new division to enhance client relations and appointed a new head of wealth management.
MarketWatch notes that the upcoming earnings season could be the strongest in three years (based on FactSet data), with the financial sector likely to be the largest contributor to profits this season. Furthermore, a technical analysis of Morgan Stanley’s (MS) stock chart suggests that market participants are optimistic.
Indeed:
→ Price fluctuations have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the share price stabilising around its median line—likely in anticipation of corporate news;
→ During the stock market decline in early 2025, MS’s share price fell less than the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), as indicated by arrows;
→ The $120 level appears to be a significant support zone.
It’s possible that today’s earnings reports from banks such as JPMorgan (JPM), Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS), and Citigroup Inc. (C) may offer clues about how MS’s stock price might move next.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MS Morgan Stanley Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MS before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MS Morgan Stanley prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 125usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $4.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MS | SHORTNYSE:MS
Technical Analysis of Morgan Stanley (MS)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
Price: $95.85
Recent Drop: -5.91 (-5.81%)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $93.99 (Bearish Line)
Further Supports: $92.66 (Target Price 1), $86.34 (Target Price 2), and $82.74 (Target Price 3)
Trendlines:
The price has broken below the upward trendline, indicating a potential shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Current RSI: 52.21
The RSI shows a decline, indicating increasing selling pressure but still in a neutral zone.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $92.66
This level is the immediate support and a potential first target for any continued downward movement.
Target Price 2: $86.34
If the price breaks below the immediate support, the next target is around $86.34, a previous support level.
Target Price 3: $82.74
Further downside could see the price reaching $82.74, another key support level.
Summary:
Morgan Stanley (MS) has experienced a significant drop, breaking below a key support level and its upward trendline. The next levels to watch are $93.99, $92.66, $86.34, and $82.74. The RSI is neutral, suggesting the potential for further declines if market conditions remain negative.
Morgan Stanley grows after strong earningsAfter a strong earnings and revenue surprise, the stock of Morgan Stanley is on fire, having broken the long-term trading range and accelerating for more than 3 values of ATRs (average volatility levels) from the dynamic support.
Usually, that's an indication of a strong price discovery and can lead to a further extension of the price in the direction of a breakout. Most probably, first it needs to pull back to the 20-day moving average before proceeding to the upside.
Note: The market is driven higher ahead of US elections, but Nov 1-2 is a potential high-volatility period, so beware of that in case of holding any positions over this period.
Don't forget to manage your risk at all times!
MS Morgan Stanley Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MS Morgan Stanley prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 115usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.26.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Morgan Stanley (MS) Shares Rise 6.45%, Setting Historic HighMorgan Stanley (MS) Shares Rise 6.45%, Setting Historic High
Morgan Stanley (MS) reported its third-quarter results:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.88, forecast = $1.59
→ Gross revenue: actual = $15.38 billion, forecast = $14.35 billion
According to Barron’s, Morgan Stanley’s profit increased by 32% compared to last year, driven by heightened activity in investment banking, which had previously been pressured by the Federal Reserve's high interest rates.
Market participants reacted positively to Morgan Stanley’s success, with MS shares rising 6.45% in a day, reaching an all-time high. Will the rally continue?
A technical analysis of the daily MS stock chart indicates:
→ The price action has formed a long-term channel (shown in blue), and in October, the price broke through its upper boundary. A strong price movement (indicated by an arrow) occurred at this resistance level around $110, influenced by strong reports from other banks. Bulls demonstrated dominance here, and this level may now serve as support.
→ In 2024, a steeper price growth trend is observed, providing anchor points for constructing an upward channel, shown in purple. Today, the MS stock price is positioned in the upper half of this channel, nearing its upper limit.
→ The RSI indicator is at its highest since January 2020.
→ Yesterday's candle closed well below the highs, with the price unable to hold above the psychological level of $120.
Given these factors, it is reasonable to suggest that the MS stock price is vulnerable to a correction as the initial reaction to the strong report may wane. If a correction occurs, it’s possible the price may retreat to the $110 level, where two channel lines converge, potentially providing support.
Analysts’ forecasts also indicate a likelihood of a pullback. According to TipRanks, the average price target for MS shares is $112 over the next 12 months, with 4 out of 12 analysts recommending buying Morgan Stanley (MS) shares.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MS earnigs MS reports Wednesday morning at 7:30. RSI is hot and we are at new ATH. banks have been doing well and i expect MS to follow suit will buy some call expiring on the 18th around $115 and trim before Tuesdays close if I'm green. will then swing a longer out put for a retest of the 200day at $100ish a month out and add to the puts if they beat.