NIO trade ideas
NIO AnalysisPrice did not play out as analyzed last week. Price retraced from the current bullish POI and failed to fill the fair value gap before coming back down. This might be a start of Wyckoff accumulation schematic before the earnings next Friday. Price would probably consolidate here until then.
NIO breakout from descending wedge NIO is shown on a 4H chart. It has been downtrending for 3 months. Howver, April and May
has high relative volume trying to reach the capitulation of a bottom. Thursday May 4th
marked a near term bottom. NIO is now rising and breaking out of a falling wedge drawn onto
the chart. It has crossed over the POC line of the volume profile ( This is the price level of
the highest volume of trading). Price is impending a mean anchored VWAP. Relative strength
has spiked. With this confluence of bullish signals, I have taken a long position which has
appreciated 4.6% in the first half of the trading day having opened the position in the pre-
market. I will now take a trade of call options striking $ 7.00 DTE 7/21. The rising dollar
strength has confounded TSLA's sales in China and the Nordic countries. NIO is on the ready to
pick up the slack.
NIO: Trading in a Dangerous Area; Watch Out For These Key Points• NIO is trying to reverse the trend on the 1h chart, as now it is above the 21 ema, which is ascending;
• What’s more, NIO just filled one of its gaps at $8.29, but it seems this area is acting as a resistance now;
• The problem is that we don’t see a clear bullish structure, like a higher high/low yet. This gives the impression that this was just a short-term rally, not a real bullish reversal;
• To make things worse, NIO is on the verge of losing its previous support line at $8.03, and this could completely frustrate this rally;
• Therefore, NIO must close above this key point today, in order to avoid a bearish continuation;
• On the other hand, it seems that the $8.29 is our key resistance, and only by breaking it, NIO would actually turn bullish again. In this case, it could fill all the previous gaps and hit the $9.47 again.
• On the daily chart we see that the 21 ema acted as a resistance, and NIO failed in breaking it. This 21 ema is at $8.33 right now, close to the $8.29 seen in the 1h chart, making this area a dual-resistance level;
• Therefore, it is crucial for NIO to break this resistance as soon as possible, in order to trigger a meaningful bullish pattern.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines
of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of
the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with
the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the
histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply /
resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions
in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for
the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration
by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)