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NIO Inc.

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NIO trade ideas

NIO: Rocket-like!The NIO share price shot up resolutely last week and recorded a peak gain of more than 38%. This development is in line with our primary expectation and is attributable to the blue wave (iii). We now expect this bullish momentum to continue so that the resistance at $7.02 can be broken. Following the high, we expect a small interim correction before a further increase completes the magenta wave (i). However, we must continue to keep an eye on our 40% probable alternative scenario, which is waiting to be deployed at the $3.61 support level. This scenario calls for a lower low of the beige-colored wave alt. II.
NYSE:NIOLong
by MarketIntel
Has NIO Bottomed Out?NIO Inc. has recently attracted attention with a powerful rally following the release of its Q2 2024 results, leading traders to wonder if the electric vehicle giant has finally bottomed out. With a surge in deliveries and a marked improvement in financial performance, combined with changing technical signals, NIO’s stock may be at a pivotal point. Why Last Week’s Earnings Were So Well Received NIO’s Q2 2024 earnings report was a turning point for the company, highlighting significant growth across several key metrics… The company delivered a record 57,373 vehicles, representing a year-over-year increase of 143.9%, with total revenues growing 98.9% YoY to reach RMB 17.45 billion. Vehicle margins surged to 12.2%, a dramatic improvement from 6.2% in Q2 2023, thanks to cost optimisation and increasing market demand for NIO’s premium electric sedans and SUVs. Gross profit saw a massive jump, marking a strong recovery from previous quarters. NIO’s improved financials and operational efficiency signalled to investors that the company is regaining its footing after a challenging year. Additionally, NIO's advancements in technology, such as the development of in-house intelligent driving chips and full-domain vehicle operating systems, positioned the company as a leader in EV innovation. Coupled with strategic initiatives like the “Power Up Counties” plan and the launch of the ONVO brand, these developments painted a promising future, explaining why investors responded positively to the earnings. NIO’s Technical Landscape: Has the Stock Bottomed Out? From a technical perspective, NIO’s share price has been locked in a long-term downtrend throughout 2024, with the 50-day moving average (MA) consistently trailing below the 200-day MA. However, recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum. In August 2024, NIO's stock found key support at the April lows, which acted as a springboard for a sharp rally following the Q2 earnings release. This surge in share price was accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, a sign that buyers were stepping in. The rally pushed NIO’s stock above its 50-day MA and toward its 200-day MA, signalling a short-term change in momentum. For traders, the key question is whether this momentum is sustainable. The next consolidation phase will be crucial in determining if NIO has truly bottomed out: • If the stock undergoes a shallow pullback and consolidates near its recent highs, this would suggest accumulation, implying that investors are preparing for another leg higher. • Alternatively, the formation of exhaustive candles, such as long-tailed pin bars, or a sharp pullback with equal momentum to the recent surge, would signal that NIO has once again succumbed to its long-term downtrend. NIO Daily Candle Chart: Trend and Volume Analysis Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results For long-term investors, a more decisive indicator of a trend reversal would be NIO breaking through the May 2024 swing highs. If the stock successfully clears this resistance, it could confirm a double-bottom pattern, traditionally viewed as a strong bullish reversal signal. Should this pattern complete, traders can use traditional technical targets to forecast further upside potential. NIO Daily Candle Chart: Double Bottom Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NYSE:NIO
by Capitalcom
NIO Stock Price Surges by 14%NIO Stock Price Surges by 14% On 23 August, while analysing the chart of Chinese automaker NIO, we noted that: → For months, the price has been forming a downward channel (shown in red), driven by the company’s inability to turn a profit, with the $4.25 level acting as resistance. → Investors may hold out for positive shifts in the fundamentals, as for the first time in the company's history, monthly vehicle deliveries have remained above 20,000. Indeed, the company’s second-quarter report released yesterday brought pleasant surprises, including reduced losses, a 98.9% year-on-year revenue increase, and improved gross profit margins. Experts are revising their forecasts, with Deutsche Bank analysts raising their target price for NIO shares, anticipating that the company will sell over 60,000 vehicles in the third quarter. The market reacted with a sharp price increase – NIO stock surged by 14%. From a technical analysis perspective of the NIO stock chart: → The $3.70 level prevented the price from falling to new year-to-date lows; → The upper line of the downward channel was broken – now the bulls need to consolidate above this channel to render it irrelevant; → On the back of the positive report, the price broke through the $4.25 resistance level, which is now expected to act as support. It’s possible that NIO’s stock price could follow a bullish trajectory, making the upward channel (shown in blue) increasingly relevant. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:NIO
by FXOpen
3
Very bullish on NIOHello, i've been following NIO since 5 month now, i really love and believe in the company, the CEO is crazy and passionated, he will fight for his company and use any mean to get the empire he desire to create, I love this and I believe in him and I think we're finally seeing the results of this. From a technical aspect, the price tried 3 times to go lower, even with the swarm of short sellers and wasn't able to, and now a big rebound supported by fundamentals, I personally got my green flag i was waiting for, and starting now i'm going to dollar average buy this stock till the moon, I'm holding till 100$ since that's where i expect the stock to go in the next 5 years. Thank you for reading, have a great one!
NYSE:NIOLong
by marouuuuuun
NIO very bullishHello, i've been following NIO since 5 month now, i really love and believe in the company, the CEO is crazy and passionated, he will fight for his company and use any mean to get the empire he desire to create, I love this and I believe in him and I think we're finally seeing the results of this. From a technical aspect, the price tried 3 times to go lower, even with the swarm of short sellers and wasn't able to, and now a big rebound supported by fundamentals, I personally got my green flag i was waiting for, and starting now i'm going to dollar average buy this stock till the moon, I'm holding till 100$ since that's where i expect the stock to go in the next 5 years. Thank you for reading, have a great one!
NYSE:NIOLong
by marouuuuuun
NIO Surge 12% On Q2 2024 Financial ResultsKey Highlights - Nio cuts losses while setting a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2. - Deliveries jumped 143.9% year-over-year, and vehicle sales surged 118.2%. - Nio’s Q3 guidance beats forecasts, showcasing resilience in a competitive EV market. Overview Nio, one of China’s leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of market challenges. The company set a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2, with 57,373 units delivered—a 143.9% year-over-year increase. Vehicle sales grew by 118.2% to 15.68 billion yuan, showcasing the company’s ability to scale production and meet growing consumer demand. Despite ongoing industry-wide pressures, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) managed to reduce its Q2 losses to 5.05 billion yuan ($694.4 million), a 16.7% improvement from the previous year. The company’s gross margin expanded significantly from 1.0% a year ago to 9.7%, driven by vehicle margin improvements, which nearly doubled to 12.2%. This indicates a stronger control over production costs and a focus on high-margin segments, especially in premium electric vehicles priced above 300,000 yuan ($42,327), where Nio commands over 40% market share. Forward Outlook and Strategic Positioning Founder and CEO William Bin Li emphasized Nio’s strong market positioning, highlighting their expectation for Q3 deliveries to reach another all-time high of between 61,000 to 63,000 units. This bullish outlook shows Nio’s continuous expansion efforts, including the launch of new models and enhancements in battery technology. The company’s projected Q3 revenue range of 19.11 billion yuan to 19.67 billion yuan further underlines its growth trajectory, surpassing analysts’ expectations. With a robust cash position of 41.6 billion yuan ($5.7 billion) as of June 30, 2024, Nio is well-equipped to invest in research, development, and further scaling its production capabilities. This financial stability provides a buffer against potential market volatility, including ongoing tariff and regulatory pressures from global markets. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, Nio's stock (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has shown encouraging signs of recovery after a prolonged decline. The stock recently traded up 3.30% at $4.38 premarket, rebounding slightly from its 50% year-to-date drop. The recent surge in Nio’s ADRs suggests growing investor confidence, driven by the company’s strong Q2 performance and optimistic Q3 outlook. The stock price is testing its 50-day moving average, a critical resistance level that, if breached, could signal a bullish reversal. With momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a climb from oversold territory, Nio’s shares could be positioned for further upside if delivery and revenue growth trends continue. Moreover, the volume of call options has increased, suggesting that traders are positioning for upward movement in the stock, particularly as Nio continues to solidify its market share in the premium EV segment. If the stock manages to break above the psychological $5.00 mark, it could trigger additional buying interest, supported by improved sentiment around China’s stimulus measures and consumer demand recovery. Conclusion Nio’s impressive Q2 performance, coupled with a strong forward outlook, positions the company as a formidable player in the global EV market. While broader industry challenges persist, Nio’s ability to cut losses, achieve record deliveries, and expand margins reflects sound management and strategic foresight. As Nio continues to navigate market complexities and execute its growth strategy, investors may find renewed optimism in the company’s long-term potential, bolstered by both fundamental strength and technical recovery signals. Nio’s journey may still face bumps along the road, but its recent achievements suggest that the company is on track to emerge stronger, setting a solid foundation for future success in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.
NYSE:NIO
by DEXWireNews
5
NIO Stock Price Tests the 4.2 LevelNIO Stock Price Tests the 4.2 Level For many months, the share price of the Chinese automaker NIO has been moving within a downward channel (shown in red), driven by the company’s ongoing struggle to achieve profitability. From a technical analysis perspective, this week has provided a discouraging signal for investors – the 4.2 level, which acted as support in June and July before being broken in early August, has now been tested: → On the 19th, the price rose on a narrow candle (a sign of buyer uncertainty); → On the 20th, the price fell on a wide candle (a sign of seller confidence); → This suggests that the 4.2 level has likely switched from support to resistance. This opens the door for the price to move towards the year’s low, around the 3.650 level. From a fundamental perspective, NIO investors have reasons for optimism: → For the first time in the company’s history, monthly vehicle deliveries have remained above 20,000 units; → NIO, which positions itself as a premium brand, plans to launch a budget sub-brand called ONVO, which will offer more affordable vehicles – according to Seeking Alpha, the first L60 model cars could be sold as early as September, with 60,000 pre-orders already placed (indicating strong demand). → The company is optimistic about 2025. NIO’s Q2 earnings report, due on 24 September, could be a turning point for the stock, which currently shows signs of weakness. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:NIO
by FXOpen
1
$NIO - Bullish Dragon / Double bottomReal nice example of a bullish dragon setup here on NIO with the first higher low in a while here. A return to the top of the local range from here would confirm the double bottom. Typically youd expect to see a partial decline to come in from there before an attempt to break higher. If the top of the range is tested a second time, itd confirm the partial decline, and statistically favor a break out. The measured move should take you you up to about 9 or 10 but the real trade here could take you above the dragon into the common retracement zone a degree higher, 11, 15, 20. Im not a fan of the company at all, but if theres an opportunity to make money here, the market will surely delivery you a story to support funds taking interest and rallying it with some of the other EV's like TSLA and RIVN.
NYSE:NIOLong
by TradingNomadic
1
NIO Q2 Performance signals potential reversal of long bear trendNIO Q2 Performance signals potential reversal of a 3-year bear trend. NIO Inc. has been in a prolonged bear trend for the past three years, with its stock price consistently pressured by the unfavorable CNY/USD exchange rate, a factor that has affected many Chinese stocks in the global market. However, despite a challenging Q1 2024 that initially appeared weak, there are underlying positive developments that could indicate a potential trend reversal. Key factors: Challenging Q1 2024 with hidden strengths. While NIO's Q1 financials initially seemed discouraging, a deeper analysis reveals several positive aspects. The quarter saw NIO transitioning between product lines, with existing products being sold out as new ones were introduced. This transition, combined with strategic price reductions, temporarily impacted vehicle margins. However, material costs have decreased, and significant cost-saving measures, including reduced R&D expenditures, have led to a substantial savings of over $500 million USD. Record Sales in Q2. NIO's Q2 2024 performance has been a standout, with sales figures reaching record highs. The company has reported a staggering year-over-year (YoY) growth of 143%, demonstrating strong market demand and effective scaling of its operations. This growth trajectory is particularly significant as it coincides with the rollout of NIO's new model, the Onvo, which is positioned to directly compete with the Tesla Model Y. The CNY/USD exchange rate has been a significant headwind for NIO, with a strong dollar placing additional pressure on Chinese stocks in global markets. However, recent economic developments in the United States could signal a shift in this dynamic. Falling inflation rates, coupled with rising unemployment, are creating expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve might implement a more aggressive rate cut in September than previously anticipated, potentially as much as 0.50%.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Cryptovicci
NIO - big picture viewPossible count for a finished corrective at an interesting price point. Now, the only issue here is the impulse count of the last C-wave. There is a slight overlap between the 1 and the 4, but it is just a slight overlap and the end of the 1 there is a sizeable wick, so I would allow that. The wave 5 here could also not be finished yet, but that's often difficult to tell on the last waves. Still, since the overlap is there, there are secondary alternatives to consider: The impulse isn't finished yet overall: And if we consider this to be a 3-wave move to the downside, we could get something like this: or even more up and down chaos like this: Should it make new lows There is an open gap at 4.70$ and the macro POC around 4$
NYSE:NIOLong
by TophatPandaMagician
6