Mid Cap Hyper Growth GemSemiconductors are a highly cyclical investment. Small to mid cap names in this industry are particularly vulnerable to large drops, as we can see with ONTO. This presents an excellent investment opportunity for those brave investors willing to take a small position and dollar cost average down as the price continues to fall.
ONTO is at the top of my list in regards to this profile, a fast growing semiconductor equipment supplier that has experienced solid growth with their advanced packaging offering. They specialise in metrology solutions, competing with the likes of KLA corp.
From a TA perspective, we are sitting at the 200 week moving average, a strong monthly support level and a golden pocket fib retracement level. This doesn't guarantee that support will hold, but it's a good place for me to take an initial position in this high growth company operating in the AI related industry.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
ONTO trade ideas
ONTO - Bullish chip proxyI bought into ONTO this year on Aug earnings as part of a mid-cap play riding on the anticipation of a US rate cut that would help smaller businesses. I bought on the hype then sold the next day (I did that with a few small and mid caps I noted in past public publishings that I had published publicly).
The stock went decently higher after I had sold the earnings play and came back down to a higher low, filling the gap from Aug 9th….where I bought again (current A). Sold again (sold A). I bought it again above my last sold price because I think I need to be in this one hard. Their business is supplying measurement equipment and services to chip makers. Chat GPT shows an impressive list of clients for ONTO.
I also asked GPT for the closest competitor and it listed KLA (KLAC on NASDAQ) among others. KLAC has broken below the 200sma which has been attributed to the ASML decline, far more than ONTO. I tried to find how much KLA’s business depends on ASML as compared to ONTO but cannot find good data. There lies a certain risk I suppose.
KLA is 9x the market cap of ONTO. I am buying both equally. I don’t have KLA just yet but will get it caught up Monday first thing and dca the rest into its earnings.
For context: ONTO did 75% from Nov lows 2023 to March 2024 and KLA did 55% in the same months.
Cheers,
MR
$ONTO can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that performs macro defect inspection and metrology, lithography systems, and process control analytical software worldwide.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a short position from $56.83;
stop-loss — $61.19.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
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ONTO - interesting prospect, promising growth in sustainable revOnto Innovation reported solid third-quarter 2020 results, with the top and bottom line increasing on a year-over-year basis. Despite COVID-19 uncertainties, strong momentum in 5G and advanced packaging markets with breakthrough offerings on the back of dynamic fundamentals drove the performance.
ONTO - December 5, 2020Onto Innovation Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and supports process control tools that performs macro-defect inspection and metrology, lithography systems, and process control analytical software used by semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers worldwide.
ONTO Fail, Good Risk ManagementApt risk given that there's overhead resistance and this was an early entry.
Jul 23, 2020 09:57
Shares traded: 540
Closed P&L: $-122.73
Share trade
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Execution detail:Advanced >
Date/time Symbol Qty Price Position
2020-07-23 09:57:39 ONTO 270 $36.683 270
2020-07-23 13:54:45 ONTO -270 $36.228 0
ONTO: Sort opportunityAn intraday high potential, Back Tested Sort Analysis.
We ll try to enter into the correction of the uptrend movement.
DETAILS ON THE CHART
NOTE: Entry range area above the entry point, is calculated upon 80% of the recorded pullback back tested past performances
DISCLAIMER: This is a technical analysis study, not an advice or recommendation to invest money on.