SE trade ideas
Sea Limited (SE): Digital Economy Powers Stock MovementSea Limited (SE) is a leading digital company in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, operating across three major segments: e-commerce (Shopee), digital entertainment (Garena), and digital financial services (SeaMoney). The company has become a key player in the region's online economy by offering accessible platforms for shopping, gaming, and payments. With increasing internet adoption and mobile-first consumer behavior, Sea Limited continues to grow its user base and expand into new markets.
The stock chart recently showed a confirmation bar with increasing volume, pushing the price into the momentum zone—defined by the price rising above the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the current trend. This kind of breakout often signals renewed investor interest and suggests potential for continued gains as buying strength builds.
$SE Trade Thesis This is a possible trade opportunity for tomorrow.
NYSE:SE tried to clear a recent level of resistance today but did pullback slightly before the close. The daily candle did close above the S/R flip zone on both the daily and the weekly chart. There is always a chance for a head fake but it has tested this level of resistance quite a bit
Today's candle does come off a large volume shelf, signaling a potential launch point. This trade thesis is invalidated if: 1) NYSE:SE opens back below prior resistance OR if we gap up way above today's close.
I personally always wants a 2:1 reward to risk ratio on my trades so I would have a technical stop just below $114.10. This would be a 5% drawdown at the current entry price.
Sea Limited Cedear each 32 REP 1 ADRKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
# Sea Limited Cedear each 32 REP 1 ADR
- Rising Wedge & Falling Wedge
* Retracement
* Angle 1 & 2
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
SEA limited broke trend line and long term resistanceSea limited broke the biggest resistance since the stock's inception, as well as the year long trend line, the stock chart looks incredibly bullish. The stock does not have a strong resistance till $ 200, hence a strong earning would really accelerate the price action like back to the 2021 days.
SE fully valued, and at resistance. Not short, but getting readySea, Inc. ( NYSE:SE ) has been a nice turnaround story so far this year. The company operates in three segments, which I'd summarize as follows:
Shopee (73% or revenue, 25%-30% annual revenue growth) is a fast-growing ecommerce platform in SE Asia. In Q2, its EBITDA margin was just below zero, which represents three consecutive quarters of improvement, but still worse than the year-ago margin of 7%.
SeaMoney (14% or revenue, 20%+ annual revenue growth) is a digital payments and online lending platform, which obviously leverages the Shopee platform to expand its user base. This segment is highly profitable, with about a 32% EBITDA margin.
Garena (13% or revenue, -17% annual revenue decline) is an online gaming platform and video game developer. This segment is also highly profitable with a most recent quarter EBITDA margin of almost 70%.
The way I see it, there are three problems, two of which have gotten better, but one of which has gotten worse:
The Shopee platform is the biggest and fastest growing segment, but it's also the least profitable. This has been the major millstone around the stock's neck for the last two years, The company believes that it is now on the cusp of turning a profit on the segment. But it seems uncertain, whether this business will ever really be able to earn its cost of capital.
The Garena platform had lost its growth mojo. This seems to be turning a corner, now. Active users grew for the most recent 2 quarters, and bookings rose for four consecutive quarters. Revenue in Q2, however, was still down, both sequentially and over the past year.
This stock has already more than doubled this year, and it's now quite expensive. SE trades at roughly 19-20x expected 2025 EV/EBITDA. For comparison: AMZN is at 13x, EBAY is at 10x, ETSY at 9x. Only its Asian competitor CPNG (23x) and South American MELI (24x) are more expensive.
I believe that SE might be a compelling long-term opportunity, but for the next 2 to 4 weeks it looks like it's running on fumes. The stock has just broken through its 2023 high and is at a 2-year high. It's also just reached its VWAP since IPO for the first time since April 2022. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of supply would come into play, right here at 90-91. If resistance doesn't materialize, I would contemplate a short position in the upper 90s.
Sea Limited (SE) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sea Limited, a global consumer internet company, operates across three core businesses: e-commerce (Shopee), digital entertainment (Garena), and financial services (SeaMoney). The company has returned to growth investments to capitalize on its diverse business segments.
Key Catalysts:
E-commerce Momentum: Shopee's gross merchandise volume (GMV) forecast has been revised upward to reflect mid-20% growth, indicating strong momentum in its e-commerce segment. This renewed growth suggests that Sea's strategic investments are yielding positive results, particularly in expanding its reach across Southeast Asia and Latin America.
Gaming Recovery: Garena's flagship game, Free Fire, has seen a 19% year-over-year rebound in daily active users. This recovery signals a resurgence in the gaming division, which has long been a key revenue driver for Sea. Additionally, a potential relaunch of Free Fire in India could provide a significant boost, given the large gaming audience in the country.
Revenue Growth Outlook: Sea Limited is forecasting double-digit revenue growth for 2024, driven by Shopee's expansion, Garena's gaming resurgence, and the ongoing scaling of SeaMoney.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SE if it holds above the $67.00-$68.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sea Limited is set at $130.00-$135.00, driven by continued e-commerce growth, gaming recovery, and potential entry into new markets.
🌊 Sea Limited—e-commerce growth and gaming rebound fuel bullish outlook! #SE #Ecommerce #Gaming 🚀📈
SE : >> Wyckoff (LPS)The High & Low price is rising , and currently the price has re-entered the accumulation range.
The SE stock also has Tencent which is a major shareholder, and technically, the chart shows it has already break out of the accumulation range. It is currently in a consolidation phase before moving higher. Therefore, there is an opportunity for the SE stock to rise further.
SE Sea Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought SE before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SE Sea Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $5.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Sea Limited RisingSea Limited spent months in the accumulation phase. Recently, it broke the downtrend and consolidated during the retest. Now we are waiting on breakout and a move to the upside. Giving the strength it is showing during the Mag7s fall, it’s clear this ticket is apart of of a rotation you don’t want to miss.
Sea Limited (SE) Shows Strong Rebound Stock Surges 7.61%Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ), the Singapore-based internet services company, is making waves in the stock market as it rebounds bullishly, nearing a potential buy point. After a challenging 2023, Sea's recent surge, fueled by positive analyst sentiments and promising market developments, signals a potential turnaround for the tech giant. Let's delve into the factors driving Sea's resurgence and its outlook for growth in Southeast Asia.
Positive Momentum:
On the stock market today, Sea stock surged nearly 8% to 56.66. This robust performance follows a year where Sea shares ( NYSE:SE ) gained nearly 40%, reclaiming investor confidence after a turbulent period. The company's resilience amidst market challenges underscores its strong fundamentals and strategic positioning in the rapidly evolving digital landscape.
Analyst Insights:
JPMorgan analysts have been vocal about Sea's prospects, maintaining an optimistic outlook and upgrading their rating to overweight. Their recent note highlighted the potential synergy between Sea's e-commerce platform, Shopee, and TikTok Shop's efforts to improve take rates in Indonesia. With Indonesia being a key market for both platforms, Sea stands to leverage this partnership to drive growth and enhance its competitive edge.
Strategic Shift and Earnings Beat:
Sea's strategic pivot towards bolstering investment in its Shopee e-commerce business reflects a proactive approach to counter emerging competitors like TikTok Shop and Temu in the Southeast Asia market. Despite initial investor skepticism, Sea's Q4 earnings report showcased impressive results, fueling investor optimism and pushing Sea stock to a six-month high at 63.25 on March 14.
Diverse Business Portfolio:
Sea's diverse portfolio of digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital payments and financial services positions it as a formidable player in Southeast Asia's digital economy. Shopee, Sea's flagship e-commerce platform, dominates the Southeast Asian and Taiwanese markets, supported by subsidiary ventures such as SeaMoney and Garena.
Outlook and Growth Potential:
Looking ahead, Sea remains poised for growth, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.97 accentuating the bullish thesis. The company's focus on innovation, coupled with strategic partnerships and market insights, will drive sustained growth in key markets like Indonesia. Moreover, Sea's ability to adapt to evolving consumer trends and capitalize on emerging opportunities bodes well for its long-term prospects.
SE Short: Price divergencesI haven't been using EW to do SE analysis for a while now after I have called the peak and continued call for it's drop when it's going down.
The truth is, I can't be bother to try to continue doing EW on this after it has fallen so far. If anything, I will look for long opportunities now for SE. Unfortunately, there is no clear sign that this stock will continue to move up.
My last analysis on this stock was wrong because I didn't do EW on it. This time it is the same, not an EW analysis. But I am pretty confident that this time it can't stay up because divergences are quite reliable.