SJM trade ideas
Smuckers LONG breakout potentialAs SJM broke its minor downward trendline and came back down to a retest, a long position is entered with a tight stop.
Factors leading to the decision:
The small recent downtrend has been broken
The downtrend was broken after a few bounces off of major support that's been important for months
The 20ma was broken, pulling in moving-average traders off the side-lines
A recent low offers a perfect spot to put a logical technical stop
Price just now broke through recent highs, showing more strength
As always, respect a tight-stop. If it rips up, let it run and trail stops behind.
Short SJM for continuation of downtrendThis 60m chart of SJM shows a decisive sell-off from 126 to 96 (20%+) between April and June. Even without knowing the larger degree wave count, it seems fair to label the move as a Wave 3 based on the prior structure of Waves 1 & 2, as well as the momentum measured by RSI. Technical indicators are typically strongest during Wave 3, which is evidenced by RSI holding below 60 throughout the sell-off.
I'm counting the ongoing consolidation as a Wave 4 triangle which, if broken, should lead to a subsequent push lower in Wave 5. Initiating a short position at 108.50 for a move back toward 98.50. A sustained rally up to 118.50 will cause me to reevaluate the trade.
sjm support I make stock analyses before the opening, these levels i draw are strong support/resistance and are the most powerfull on the same day. So i use them the moment when the market opens.
You can see somethimes i use 2 - 3 levels because i dont know where the market will open.
when the market open i see witch levels are still valid if it gaps above or under my level this one cannot used anymore.
If price come close to my level i place a limit order.
time frame i use are 5-10 min candles if price close right under or below the level with few penny's its of the table ! my risk reward ratio is 2:1 would be good to use trial these are scalp trades in high illiquidity market conditions !
WHAT A BOUNCE !!!!WE BOUGHT THIS ONE @ $131.20 ON FRIDAY'S GAP DOWN AND WE WERE VERY PLEADES WITH THE CLOSE NEAR THE HIGHS. THIS MORNING'S RUN WAS MORE THAN IMPRESSIVE AND ALTHOUGH I STILL LIKE THE TRADE I ALSO KNOW EXCESSIVE WHEN I SEE IT, SO I SOLD THE 3/145 CALLS @ $2.25. IF I LOSE THE STOCK @ $147.25 VS 131.25 THAT'S FINE BUT RIGHT NOW THOSE CALLS ARE BACK TO $1.40 BID...OZ
WHAT A BOUNCE !!!WE BOUGHT THIS ONE @ $131.20 ON FRIDAY'S GAP DOWN AND WERE VERY PLEASED WITH THE CLOSE NEAR THE HIGHS. THIS MORNING'S RUN WAS MORE THAN IMPRESSIVE AND ALTHOUGH I STILL LIKE THE TRADE I ALSO KNOW EXCESSIVE WHEN I SEE IT, SO I SOLD THE 3/145 CALLS @ $2.25. IF I LOSE THE STOCK @ $147.25 VS 131.20 THAT'S FINE BUT RIGHT NOW THOSE CALLS ARE BACK TO $1.40 BID....OZ
TOOK A POSITION ON THE BREAKBOUGHT THIS "DEFENSIVE NAME @ $131.20 THIS MORNING ON THE BREAK THRU THE LOWER BOLLINGER BAND. THE OPTIONS HAD NO LIQUIDITY SO HAD NO CHOICE. IT WAS DOWN WITH MANY OF THE "CONSUMER/FOOD" STOCK ON THE KRAFT/ UL DEAL AND I'VE TRADED THIS ONE BEFORE.WELL SUPPORTED FROM HERE DOWN TO 127-128. BEPATIENT, BUT DON'T BE SURPRISED IF IT GAPS BACK UP WITH A CLOSE NEAR THE HIGH OF DAY...OZ