SKLZ trade ideas
SKLZ Could Bounce Either WayLooks like a possible bear flag forming, could be down tomorrow for a pullback. On the other hand, could potentially keep moving upward with large volume and the general market being up. Please manage risks accordingly and good luck! 😀
SKLZ ready to rocket? 🚀 Price came back to where it started at $16.73 and even dropped a few points lower. However, according to technicals, I am expecting it to go up from the trendline and breakout the wedge and go up furthur till $40 back 🚀
*I am not a financial advisor and this is just for sharing purposes*
SKLZ Bullish Divergence, RSI OversoldSKLZ looks tasty.
3 Things I like about this chart:
- The bullish divergence on the MACD histogram on the daily
- RSI is oversold on the daily
- Sitting at support
and the downward trend is BORING
I am not a financial advisor, so this is not advice. I have no idea what I am doing.
no idea
SKLZ consolidation area looking for possible breakoutSKLZ consolidating in this price range that it was when funds like ARK were loading up, despite the hit piece put out on SKLZ, looking for a breakout of 20+ *possible ER run, or post-ER run* long above 20.5 target 24-26 stop: 16 (1:1 r/r)
Skillz Inc. Intermediate Outlook and Obstacles AheadBiggest issues facing Skillz Inc. as of today:
1. Valuation
With a current valuation around $8B on TTM revenues of $230M, the Price/Sales multiple rests at 32, which for context is higher than any company currently indexed the S&P 500 as well as within the Nasdaq 100. Simply put this company in relation to its revenue is E X P E N S I V E, but can it be justified? With only 1 quarter of public earnings on the table many investors simply dont know. FY'21 Q1 earnings should shed more light on 2021 projections, future growth and will be crucial to determining and or justifying its valuation.
2. Wolfpack Research Short Report
Wolfpack Research founded in 2019 notes itself as a financial research and due diligence investigation firm, helmed by Dan David; a Wall Street whistle blower well known for exposing many fraudlent chinese companies listed on US exchanges post the 2008 financial crisis. On March 8 Wolfpack released a report alledging that Skillz Inc.'s forecasted growth expectations are "entirely unrealistic", dog shit wrapped in cat shit if you will. The report further states that "its top games appear to be stagnant to declining, leading us to believe its revenue projections are farcical" . The report also went on to claim that "Skillz’s top three games — which make up for 88% of its revenues — had already peaked by the third quarter of 2020 and its growth story is falling apart in the first quarter of this year." The most brazen allegation however is claiming the NFL partnership they announced on Feb 4th is far overstated in significance, value and potentially entirely fake. The stock has fallen 34% since the report surfaced as investors have certainly taken heed. This places even greater spotlight on FY'21 Q1 earnings as any declines in revenue growth/guidance would give legitimate claim to Wolfpacks allegations. On the contrary an increase in growth on strong guidance could potentially render this report as null.
3. Macroeconomic & SPAC related Headwinds
SPACs over the last 4 quarters have been all the rage on Wall Street and rightfully so as 2020 saw a 600% increase in capital rasied year in comparison to 2019. YTD 2021 SPAC related funds have raised $87.9B in capital already outpacing 2020 numbers. With recent FED talk of rising interest rates on the horizon many fear the true growth potential of other SPAC's like $SKLZ may not live up to their price tags, sending current investors fleeing to safer assets and keeping new money on the sidelines. A reversion to the mean is certainly to be exepcted.
Post Earnings
Bull Case - PT $24
Strong revenue beat above expectations indicating strong continued growth along with strong guidance for FY'21 and onward. Opens the door to back to $24 and onward.
Bear Case - PT $14
Revenue miss or in line with expectations along with muted to weak guidance. Opens the door to $14 and potentially lower.
Watching SKLZ Tomorrow After breaking down today to old support, I think if SKLZ holds 16.50 it should recover nicely the next few days.
SKLZ: Stock to WatchSKLZ has a great company and solid fundamentals. They were hit hard during the pullback and have recently been trading in a channel. They are at support, and I can see them bouncing off this support.
SKLZ SetupSitting on 5 month POC, gap fill down complete, and baby girl Cathie is on board. Will be taking options as well.
SKLZ FundamentalsI would say SKLZ is a risky stock but if your'e investing long term this shouldn't matter. They need to increase their revenue from more mobile games. They don't have a great market share. Nearly 80% of their revenue is derived solely from a few games. They have a good business model but they need to expand before I would personally invest. They're not currently generating a profit and they have negative free cash flow. These aren't signs of a healthy company. If they can beat the earnings calls several times in a row this could garner them attention.
Global gaming market is estimated to be 152 billion Mobile gaming industry is currently worth about 70 billlion or approximately 46% of the entire industry.
Mobile gaming market is expected to grow to 150 billion by 2025 which represents a CAGR of about 20% per annum. CAGR (compound annual growth rate).
I think gaming is still a relatively young industry and has tremendous growth prospects. Thats a little rundown of SKLZ.
long term holdsupport sitting around 16.70 area on the weekly chart, looking for some consolidation around these levels. I like this one long-term 2-4months out as small scalps are getting hammered this is a good scalp above 16's.. Plus ark likes it!
SKLZ is now on a Buy ZoneSKLZ is back on original opening price since they first open I guess and now it showing a up trend momentum.
Set To Bounce SoonSitting pretty at that fib retracement, oversold rsi, Bollinger band bounce, macd slowly converging, volume is on a decline showing fewer sellers are interested in selling with this downtrend. I would like to enter near $16 or near that pivot point but I may jump the gun early. I have a very bullish outlook on this stock though.
$SKLZ Swing Idea- Target $25After facing their correction wave, $SKLZ is coming up strong out of their support zone. They are also at the bottom of the RSI and the MACD just crossed. Target $25, stop loss at $17. Good Luck!
