TNK trade ideas
Nice run but looks to be peaking out...Teekay Tankers Ltd. provides marine transportation services to oil industries in Bermuda and internationally. The company offers voyage and time charter services; and offshore ship-to-ship transfer services of commodities primarily crude oil and refined oil products, as well as liquid gases and various other products. It also provides tanker commercial and technical management; and consultancy, procurement, and equipment rental services, as well as manages terminals and vessels. As of December 31, 2022, the company owned and leased 44 double-hulled oil and product tankers, time-chartered in four Aframax/LR2 tankers, and one Suezmax tanker. Teekay Tankers Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
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Teekay Tankers: Bullish Cup with Handle Targeting $61.82Teekay Tankers is a Marine Shipping company that is a Subsidiary of The Teekay Corporation, and it mainly focuses on the Shipping and Storage of oil. Recently, the BDI has begun to rise, and oil demand has picked up, leading to increased demand for dry bulk shipping. Despite this one already being up a bunch, I do think it has formed a nice enough Cup with Handle pattern here to try and play for a measured move breakout up to around $61.82.
TNK - Bottom StructureThis is what I would call an Ascending Double Bottom structure
With the left hand of the bottom being lower than the right hand
I expect a further breakout towards the red line on this Weekly timeframe
From there price can either do a full reversal or be rejected from this Red Line.
TNK Magnet PullTNK is currently trading at a significant discount to its NAV. A 1:1 share price with Scorpio Tankers was quite transparent on the way down in May - Nov. I am expecting a rapid catch back up as TNK gets added back to the Russell.
Looking for a Test of $26 as it breaks the pivot of $16.30 on volume. This will be fundamentally supported by accumulation from Russell rebalancing and subsequent OPEC meeting July 1st when they are expected to increase production further spurring a spike up in tanker stocks.
Teekay - Good spot for some inflation hedgeIt is looking currently like we are in a scenario that with a quick running inflation period possibly looming, and markets being considered for a 20% dive, the tankers might be a nice soft spot to land.
Oil went through a negative contango, as well as a massive over-profit for spot charters. Currently TNK is sitting about 47% off of the highs from 2020, and relative to where we were in 2017. It's stock price to sales is .5 , as well as a healthy balance sheet of D/E at .5 as well; leaving it to being undervalued, as often goes with tankers. It is about 55% above the lows, but I believe there is still some more left in this one for 2021.
Look for a breakout above 15.70 to its next resistance around 18 - 18.50.
Long | TNK | Swing Trade | NYSE:TNK
Possible Scenario: LONG
Evidence: Price Action, moved ABOVE Keltner channel, Break out confirmed
TP1 ~17.5, Until 19 March, 28% Profit
I have call options for 19 March, Strike 17.5$, Trade QTY: 1443, OI: 17
Recommendation rating on yahoo finance is 2, Fair price is: 45.44
This is my idea and could be wrong 100%
$TNK - Bullish pattern - only with breaking out 25.74 (close P)"Tanker storage may offer an alternative to land storage, but it is “very pricey” and there are not enough tankers available to solve the problem, he told MarketWatch, adding that rates for very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, have skyrocketed above $100,000 a day for a three-month charter."
Not for a suggestion, just an Idea!
Good-luck!
WANTED: Oil $TNK for Storage. $0.01 per Barrel OBONYSE:TNK
You may have noticed a negative sign in front of WTI crude oil today. Yea, that’s not good... TVC:USOIL
It had to do with May Future contracts expiring and an unprecedented amount of oil supply flooding the market.. In short, no one wants to buy 1000 barrels of oil with no where to store it.. the fancy CFA word is called “Contango”, and has to do with the price (or rent) for just holding & storing 1,000 barrels of oil.
Bottom line: Oil Storage and Tankers just became a boiling HOT commodity.. (there were 2 puns in that one)
I’ve got a target of $45.