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Toll Brothers, Inc.

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TOL trade ideas

Toll Brothers Inc. ($TOL) AnalysisSector: Consumer Cyclical - Residential Construction | Country: USA Company Overview: Toll Brothers Inc., a key player in the consumer cyclical sector, specifically residential construction, holds a significant position in shaping the real estate landscape in the United States. Known for its innovative approach and commitment to quality, Toll Brothers Inc. plays a crucial role in the dynamic and ever-evolving construction industry. Performance Metrics: NYSE:TOL demonstrates robust signals and compelling performance metrics within the wide-net screening, indicating its potential for growth and resilience in the residential construction sector. Relative Strength: NYSE:TOL exhibits a remarkable relative strength, boasting a score of 7.8 against its sector and 4.53 against the S&P500. This suggests a notable outperformance, underlining its competitive edge and market strength. U/D Ratios: With U/D ratios standing at 1.0 (50 days) and a strong 1.69 (15 days), NYSE:TOL showcases positive market sentiment, emphasizing recent bullish activity and supporting a favorable outlook. Detected Base Depth: A substantial detected base depth of 22.4% positions NYSE:TOL strategically, indicating a solid foundational level and potential for significant upward movement. Price Dynamics: The last closing price's slight deviation of 4.53% from base resistance suggests a favorable positioning, indicating potential for a breakout. Robust volume, standing at 71.73% above the 15-day average, indicates heightened investor interest and active participation, contributing to positive market sentiment. Recent candlestick patterns reveal a 0.24% range in the last candle body and a solid 69.0% closing range, indicating recent price stability and a strong closing stance. Short-term Trends: Over the last 10 days, NYSE:TOL has experienced rising prices, accompanied by increasing volume and accumulation. This alignment suggests a bullish sentiment among investors, supported by short-term positive trends. EMA Analysis: Historical EMA patterns indicate that NYSE:TOL typically encounters local tops when the price closes around 55.89% above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently, the last closing price is 9.04% away from the 50 EMA, providing insights into potential correction levels. Trade Idea: With an entry point set at $87.31, the trade idea presents an opportunity aligned with current market dynamics. A disciplined stop loss at $83.82 mitigates risk at 4%, adhering to prudent risk management principles. The trade targets an attractive 11.66 Risk-Reward (RR) ratio, with a target price of $128.03, anticipating a total profit of 46.65%. Conclusion: Toll Brothers Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) emerges as a strong contender in the residential construction sector, supported by impressive relative strength, positive short-term trends, and insightful EMA dynamics. The proposed trade idea aligns with a base breakout strategy, presenting an attractive risk-reward profile for investors seeking opportunities in the dynamic realm of residential construction.
NYSE:TOLLong
by HaseebKhan_90
High Mortgage Rates Taking a Toll in the Housing MarketComments on Quantitative Analysis Sector Comparison Homebuilder sentiment dropped to a five-month low in September as higher rates push prospective buyers out of the market Revenues from land sales are little. Comments on Business Continuous hike in interest rates and high-cost environment are concerning. There was a reduce in headcount, causing SG&A spending to be reduced. KPI’s driving Revenue and Earnings Home deliveries expected to decrease from united delivered in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted home sales gross margin is expected to decline from the year-ago period. SG&A estimated to rise from the year-ago period. For fiscal 2023, home deliveries are anticipated to decline from fiscal 2022. By extrapolating nine months ended data, company is highly unable to meet the targeted home deliveries for the quarter and fiscal year of 2023. Catalysts Earnings not meeting targeted home deliveries. Trade Structure Dec 75/65 Bear Put
NYSE:TOLShort
by syy891013
TOL: Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: with price above 75.97 Volume: with average or greater volume Target: 81.41 area Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; Based on an entry of 75.98, 74.17 gets you 3/1 Reward to Risk Ratio. This swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
NYSE:TOLLong
by tradepatiently
Momentum Stock: Toll BrothersToll Brothers, Inc. is an American real estate company known for its emphasis on luxury. It operates primarily in the residential real estate sector, focusing on the design, construction, and sale of various types of homes across the country. These range from detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities to condominiums through its City Living division. Their clientele primarily includes first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. In addition to residential properties, Toll Brothers also has a broad scope of operations. The company designs a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs. It also develops communities with recreational amenities like golf courses, marinas, and fitness centers. It has land development and selling arms, as well as apartment development, operation, and rental divisions. The company also provides several interior fit-out options such as flooring, lighting, and home-automation, thereby increasing its engagement with customers and strengthening its role in the housing market. Toll Brothers' strong financial performance and market position can make it an attractive proposition for stock investors. As of 11th July 2023, Toll Brothers has a market capitalization of $8.63 billion and an EBITDA of $1.84 billion. The company also exhibits a healthy Profit Margin of 13.59% and an Operating Margin TTM of 16.86%, indicating strong operational efficiency. The performance of Toll Brothers' stock also stands out. The stock has appreciated by 68.16% in the past year (or closer to 100% from the lows and highs of its run), while its five-year and all-time price performance stands at 106.82% and 3844.98% respectively. Such long-term appreciation signals robust business growth and operational strength, thereby generating significant investor interest. Moreover, the company has a solid dividend policy, providing a yield of 1.09%. This could be an attractive aspect for income-oriented investors. Additionally, the company's P/E ratio stands at 6.37, which is relatively low, suggesting the stock could be undervalued given the company’s earnings. Toll Brothers also has strong institutional backing. Major institutions, including Vanguard Group Inc and BlackRock Inc, hold substantial shares in the company, which generally lends credibility and stability to the stock. However, potential investors should also consider the associated risks. The real estate market is cyclical and can be affected by various factors, including interest rates, economic conditions, and government regulations. Furthermore, investors should keep an eye on the company's debt levels and monitor insider selling, which might suggest potential concerns among those with intimate knowledge of the company. Toll Brothers presents an interesting investment opportunity due to its strong market position in the luxury housing market, robust financial performance, consistent dividend policy, and significant stock appreciation over time. Potential investors should weigh these strengths against the inherent risks associated with the real estate market and the company's specific financial structure. In terms of any kind of short term entry, I would want to wait for a pullback with an indication of the uptrend continuing in order to get better value. The RSI and MACD are both pretty high at the moment which you would expect for a momentum stock, but you can see where they have dipped down to in the past and where better value for an entry might be found. For risk management, a trailing stop loss of around 12% would have kept you in most of this trade. If it broke below that it could have been a good sign to exit and look for a new entry when the trend resumed. As always how you interpret and decide to act on any results is up to you. This is just data not financial or trading advice and past performance is in no way any guarantee of future performance. Think of it as a way to spot stocks you might be interested in and can add to your watch list and perform further research on and or discuss with your broker. Again. Not trading advice . Industries and companies change. Trends can end. Do your own research / discuss it with your advisor, but might be one to watch.
NYSE:TOL
by zAngus
2
TOL - Buy the dipsHome builders had a steep fall in the 1st half of 2022 and had been building a base in the 2nd half. They have now emerged from the base and appear to be on the slow path to recovery. TOL has seen at least 3 gap ups since it's last golden cross on 8 Nov22. A sign that moemntum has been building since this golden cross. There was an attempt to break above it's neckline @ 5.50 on 13 dec but soon dips below again (a shallow dip though) until it propelled above the neckline again at the start of this year. Any near term dip would be a low risk opportunity to long with initial stops just below $49. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:TOLLong
by Juliac
TOL Housing collapse hasn't even started!Why is TOL rallying with other home building stocks? Great Depression 2 on the horizon, companies have begun laying off and will do so in spades soon. 30 year mortgages went from 3.2 percent to 6.5-7%, gas is $7 a gallon, credit card debt is a record $1.1 trillion! If interest rates stay UP house prices will come DOWN the American ponzi scheme of indentured slavery is based on long loans and the cost of the MONTHLY payment. Home builders are tone deaf to what's just begun....... Steer clear this sector for the foreseeable future!
NYSE:TOLShort
by ShortSeller76