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Toast, Inc.Toast, Inc.Toast, Inc.

Toast, Inc.

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TOST trade ideas

TOST bullish setupTOST had a nice fakeout and then dump as the market pumped and dumped tech stocks. This stock fell right back into the wedge and is still setting up bullish imo. This dump allowed for a nice reset of BBWP and momentum, just what the doctor ordered. I would say we are back in the buy zone here. I have added supply and demand zones here. My plan: We are in the buy zone, if one of my swing trades pump I will add 100 shares. My plays last week were 50% moves within a day so I closed them since thats one of my rules for selling options. I have a 41$ covered call sold, and will look to sell more if we pump
NYSE:TOSTLong
by Apollo_21mil
Tost fails breakoutTost failed the breakout and I lost 120$ on my call. I am fine with this as I wanted some level of upside. My plan was to enter if the stock dumped and it has. I have started with 100 shares and have already locked in some profits from cash secured puts. My rule is to always close the puts if they are up 50% in a day and they were. Chart wise we note a falling volatility and momentum. This is still within the wedge, short interest in not massive. I am still bullish on the weekly. Summary of bullish earnings: In the fourth quarter, recurring gross profit streams climbed 39% year over year; adjusted EBITDA hit $111 million, an 18-percentage-point rise from the year before. Software-as-a-service average revenue per user rose 5%; yearly recurring revenue jumped 32%. Having full-year originations of more over $1 billion, Toast Capital made $43 million in gross profit. Driven by expense control and pricing tweaks, the business produced $134 million in free cash flow and saw a 56 basis point net take rate improvement. From 32% to 33% growth in 2024, toast forecasts consistent gross profit streams to rise between 23% and 25% in 2025. With a 30% margin at the midway, the business predicted adjusted EBITDA between $510 million and $530 million. Toast predicts adjusted EBITDA between $100 million and $110 million and gross profit growth of 27% to 30% for the first quarter of 2025; stronger growth is projected in the second half of the year. Targeting more than 10,000 client sites in both domestic and international markets, the business intends to boost research and development funding as well as go-to-market growth.
NYSE:TOSTLong
by Apollo_21mil
TOST looks to breakoutTOST earings are coming around the corner and the company is JUST becoming profitable. This reminds me of SOFI and HOOD and how they picked up steam so heavily as the negative EPS dropped. The stock saw a nice 50% fib pullback and is now contracting right into earnings. These wedges have a habit of breaking down after an upward pump. This is where you want to look at short interest, this amount isnt tremendously high but could cause a false wedge breakout. My plan: My target for the year is 56$ As I sell out of TSLL I might be adding this as a new play alongside NBIS The premium is high so I would likely buy 1-200 shares and then start selling CSP here
NYSE:TOSTLong
by Apollo_21mil
TOST - JUNE 24 MATrend Unsustainable MomentumBAD Trade I made a snap decision to enter this price even though it was below 0.5. With the idea that I could tweak the entry rule to be between 0.5 and 0.25. I will make it a point that critical decisions that impacts system rules rules should only happen after an evaluation when the market closes. I can then solve it with clarity and without trading pressure. I do not need to take the trade as there will always be new opportunities MATrend Unsustainable Momentum (Systematic) ⏪ The strategy identifies stocks (Tech sector ) that follows the larger market regime's momentum of the day and because they are unable to maintain it price breaks down quickly Tight stops aligned to the price behaviour we are trying to capture. Which is a rapid break of the momentum.
NYSE:TOSTShort
by Ronin_trader