TTE trade ideas
Going long on TOTAL with a nice potential of short-term gainTotal has been trading in channel since a few days, and a potential break out is maybe soon happening with a nice gain opportunity.
The weighted 200 MA is about to be crossed upward by the stock which is a good buying signal.
Potential to see a 5 % upward movement in the stock in the relatively short term ( 2-3 weeks ).
GLOBAL FINANCIAL ENGINEERING SWING TRADING STRATEGY FOR Total S.Our Proprietary Trading System indicates the following:
The Primary Trend (PT) given by the Global Monthly TIME BAR (GMTB) is currently Bearish
The Secondary Trend (ST), given by the Global Weekly TIME BAR (GWTB) is currently Bullish
The Medium Term Trend (MTT), given by the Global Daily TIME BAR (GDTB) is currently Bullish
The Short Term Trend (STT), given by the Global Four Hour TIME BAR (GFHTB) is currently Bearish
In light of the above trend analysis we will execute a bullish trade on Total S.A. (Total) as soon as the Global Four Hour TIME BAR (GFHTB) turn Bullish.
This will occur if price closed above $50.00
Global Entry Signal For Trade #1: Buy @ $50.00
Global Trailing Stop Loss Trade #1: @ $46.56
Global Target Profit Trade #1 : @ $77.70
Global Trade Management Strategy: We applied the Global Trailing Stop System for Global Trading Strategy #3.
Check updates
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BRIDGEWATER vs. TOTAL SAQuote: "In just one week Bridgewater, the world’s biggest hedge fund firm, more than quadrupled how much it’s betting against European Union companies. The firm, run by Ray Dalio, has at least $13.1 billion in shorts, or wagers that a stock will fall, according to EU regulatory filings. That’s up from the $3.2 billion it had disclosed on Feb. 1. It also more than doubled the number stocks it’s shorting to 44 from 20. Bridgewater in the past week put more than $1 billion to work betting against oil giant Total SA -- making it the firm’s largest disclosed short holding in Europe. The energy titan has been riding out the biggest industry downturn in a generation by selling assets and cutting spending. The hedge fund also started a bearish Airbus SE position, investing about $381 million against the aircraft maker. Among other short positions, it disclosed wagers against BNP Paribas SA, ING Groep NV and Banco Santander SA.
Since the Feb. 8 regulatory filings, Total has fallen about 1 percent as markets slumped. Airbus, BNP Paribas, ING Groep and Banco Santander have sunk roughly 2 percent."
Source: www.bloomberg.com
vs.:
www.wsj.com
and:
www.reuters.com
Fundamental:
www.businesswire.com
www.handelsblatt.com
www.jpost.com
www.reuters.com
Criticism:
www.fool.com
David vs. Goliath: Question is: Who is "David"?
Allianz:
Allianz is buying 2times more stocks back until June 30 2018 as Bridgewater is shorting right now.
(Special Thanks to trader www.tradingview.com giving latest news about TOTAL SA 5 bn. Euro stock repurchase program)
Price may go up to 50.08I think that the actual trend is bullish.
2 candles in 4 hour timeframes are over the support of 48.01.
Actual range is 48.01 - 50.08.
In the bullish scenario (that seems to be confirmed) :
- Price may go up to 50.08
- If price gets over 50.08 then next resistance may then be 50.94.
Total (FPP) : Open short ! The major resistance blocks buyersThe french blue chip Total (FP, 111b € of Market Cap), from the oil industry, is inside a bearish dynamic since June 2014. This is characterized by lower tops and lower bottoms.
Currently, the buyers seemed to have taken back the advantage, but the Major resistance area at 45.00€ is still preventing the stock from going higher . As long as this level is not passed, the long term trend such as the mid term one will remain bearish. The 200 days Moving average shows that Total is still inside the downside direction ; it does not reverse durably.
For the blue trendlines : I always consider horizontal levels as the most important ones for trading ; the blue trendlines are just to show the pace of dynamics. A breakout of this type of line is not a sufficient indication to make a trade.
Because we are still in a bearish trend , with in addition to that the proximity with a major resistance area , it seems to be a great opportunity to open a short trade at the current price (44.15€ approx.) :
- stop @ 45.20€
- first target @ 43€ (to close 50% of the position) (Reward/Risk = 1.09)
- second target @ 41.60€ (to close the other 50% of the position). (Reward/Risk = 2.42)
Don't hesitate to share your view about this stock in comments !
SHORT FP (TOTAL) intradaySHORT FP (TOTAL) intraday
+ uncertainties in oil market: meeting in Doha is overvalued, drop in crude inventories can ne as crossseasond
+ further CPI goes down in China as leader importer of crude
+ FP (TOTAL) closed gap
+ additional big volumes in some 5M bars didn't lead to grow of stock.
Short enter = 40, Profir 38.90m Stop = 40,3
LONG FP (TOTAL) intraday as oil reboundsLONG^
+ oil rebounds before API
+ China PMI
+ Support levels in oil
+ Support volumes in FP stock within 3 last days
- long-term negative outlook for oil
So, if oil will hold 36.5-36 level and go further up - I will catch up the FP around the open priceafter rebound in 5M bars.