TWTR poison pill "defence"If you haven`t sold TWTR here:
then what you should know:
After buying 9.2% of TWTR shares, Elon Musk wanted to buy Twitter (TWTR) for $43.4bn, $54.20 per share representing a 38% premium to the closing price on 1 April and take the company private.
Elon Musk about Twitter: “potential to be the platform for free speech around the globe, and I believe free speech is a societal imperative for a functioning democracy.”
“However, since making my investment I now realise the company will neither thrive nor serve this societal imperative in its current form. Twitter needs to be transformed as a private company.
"My offer is my best and final offer and if it is not accepted, I would need to reconsider my position as a shareholder. Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.”
TWTR is up only 8% after 8 years of being listed.
I don`t think Jack Dorsey has found the path to profitability, nor that the board works in the interest of the shareholders.
That`s why they went for the poison pill "defence".
I say "defence" as a joke, since the only one defended here are the board members and not the shareholders, which haven`t gained too much from holding the bag anyways.
The poison pill allows investors to buy additional shares of the company’s stock at a discount and therefore dilute the value of each individual share.
That is a viable strategy against an unwanted hostile takeover.
In my opinion, the board members will accept Elon`s proposal and buying the stock now will give you a 17% return.
TWTR trade ideas
Poison Pill Explained: Why Elon Wants to Buy TwitterIn this post, I'll explain the ongoing situation with Twitter; how they're preventing Elon from buying the company out, and my thoughts on why Elon wants Twitter so badly.
Twitter's Strategy
- Twitter is using a strategy known as the 'poison pill'.
- This is one of many defensive strategies that boardrooms can take when they're trying to prevent hostile takeovers.
- While the method may vary depending on the deal, the essence of the strategy is simple: make the stock less appealing to the hostile acquirer, and allow opportunities for other shareholders to acquire the stock at a discounted price through the use of call options.
- Netflix (NFLX) successfully used this strategy against Carl Icahn in 2012, when he attempted a hostile acquisition of the company, making it difficult for Icahn to acquire more than 10% of the company without approval from the Netflix board.
- Luckily for Icahn, he made 20x returns on his investment simply from holding Netflix shares for the three years that he attempted a takeover.
- In the case of Elon's acquisition of Twitter, the terms are slightly different.
- Elon offered to buy the entire company for $43B, which is a generous offer of $54.20 per share.
- Twitter's board however, having seen prices once hover above $70, were not happy with Elon's offer, and asked him to join the board with a 14.9% stake limit - Elon refused.
- Twitter emphasized that their poison pill strategy will activate if Elon tries to acquire more than 15% stake in the company, and will remain effective until April 14, 2023.
Twitter Shareholders by Size
- The Vanguard Group, Inc. 10.3%
- Elon Musk 9.2%
- Morgan Stanley Investment Management 8.4%
- BlackRock Fund Advisors 6.5%
- State Street Corp. 4.5%
Why Elon Wants to Buy Twitter
- My thoughts on why Elon is looking to acquire Twitter is as follows:
- The narrative that Elon is pushing as his justification for the purchase is "free speech".
- He has been vocal about Twitter's decision to shut down former US president Donald Trump's account.
- However, I personally believe that there are deeper layers to this matter than just 'free speech', and 'twitter's untapped potential'.
- Tesla currently does not spend a single dime on marketing and advertisement costs.
- Elon dissolved the PR department in 2020, and stated that the capital that was previously used for marketing, will now be reinvested back for R&D.
- Instead, Elon has been using his twitter account as a channel to promote his businesses - not only Tesla, but also SpaceX, SolarCity, and the Boring Company.
- The last time Tesla had a PR department, it spent $70m in marketing and advertisement costs.
- So taking that into account, and considering the value that was created by those costs being reinvested back into R&D, Elon has singlehandedly managed to create hundreds of millions of dollars in value through his twitter account.
- And the risk of him having his twitter account shut down, due to his potential violation of one of their many policies, is huge.
- His acquisition of the company's stake, and taking the company private eliminates this risk for him.
- Put into context, it makes more sense: Elon's $43B offer to buy Twitter is equivalent to someone with a net worth of $1m purchasing a G-wagon for their rental car business.
Conclusion
On one hand, we have Twitter, a company willing to use the poison pill strategy to prevent a hostile acquisition from taking place, and on the other hand, we have Elon Musk, who's trying to take the company private for $43B. I think there are bigger implications to his offer, as we've seen how he was able to connect seemingly unrelated businesses to form a virtuous cycle that would become the pillar of his entire empire. We use electricity generated from SolarCity to power our Tesla cars using solar energy. With the satellites that SpaceX launches, our Tesla cars undergo software updates in real time, and the Boring Company solves traffic jam issues by taking our Teslas through underground tunnels. I'm sure there's room for Twitter to fit into this equation, but I'm not completely sure as to what Elon has on his mind. One thing is for sure: it has more to do with Elon's personal philosophy.
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Fibonacci's LongWaiting for more news on Elon's bid on Twitter, a fibonacci rule can help as an entry signal while we wait for more information. 2022 is a once in a lifetime year where all factors converge to invest money while there's blood in the streets, Elon knows it and thats why his eye is on this asset.
$TWTR$TWTR Apollo Global Management is willing to finance a Twitter buyout, sources say
Bloomberg reported Sunday that Oracle (ORCL) co-founder Larry Ellison and private-equity firm Thoma Bravo could join with Musk and raise up to $50 billion. That’s quite a war chest.
The $50 billion figure implies a much higher price for Twitter stock, about $72 a share. If the $50 billion is for all of Twitter, including, Musk’s existing stake, the implied price is about $65 a share.
TWTR bounced above channel med; big flag targets 116TWTR just bounced off median of flag channel & is now consolidating between 2 anchored VWAPs.
A measured abc or flagpole move would take us to 116 for wave 3.
TWTR recently completed a M-pattern, reversed up & now is retesting the neck before a leg higher to reach 58 & 66 TP levels.
it also stopped right in the middle of my yellow box unsure which direction to take.
A consolidation near the neck area before further rally would be my bias as wave 3 continues.
just maybe coming changes would be good to TWTR.
not trading advice
TWITTER 18th APRIL 2022This analysis is based on market sentiment. Lately, Elon Musk has caused a commotion on social media because he decided to buy Twitter, the richest man offering US $ 43 billion or equivalent to Rp. 618 trillion. Musk's reasons for owning Twitter are not purely for business or financial gain, but Musk reveals the reason is so that Twitter's social media remains a democratic platform. If drawn into the journey of Musk and Twitter, the two are already very close because Musk is a prolific Twitter user. He is also a troll or person who likes to joke on this platform and so far Musk has not arranged the financing to buy Twitter and make it private.
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Twitter - TWTR Technical Analysis - Hold For Now.Using a Weekly chart you can notice that prices have been moving horizontally, not a proper trend.
With a daily and 4h chart, a start of an uptrend (Bullish behaviour) might be found. Unfortunately, the bullish trendline can not be considered so it has been tested only 2 times.
Best option is to HOLD, as both up and down option are available.
This Market, is mainly influenced by Fundamental
Option 1 only if the resistance level of 50 USD will be broken
Option 2 - testing the amended trendline around 32 - 33 USD and if this level will not be broken it can be a signal of buying
Option 3 - Testing the possible trendline at 23.5 USD. If it will not be broken, it can be seen as buying signal.
TWTR due for correction!!!TWTR nearly approached oversold territory. After the news of Elon Musk considering purchasing more shares of the company following such negative news of a potential hostile take over by his most recent offer. This all caused the company to implement a "poison pill" to prevent a hostile takeover. Which is brilliant. This however will not be enough to keep the ticker running hard on tax day. Tax day historically is a red day. It will take a major catalyst to cause TWTR to continue this run it has. I evaluated the day chart in this example looking over a few puts I played last week for a swing.
All of the indicators such as the MAC D,
The studies used in this study are Chandelier Exit Strategy, Moving Average Convergence Divergence, Moving Averages(2) , and the Relative Strength Index with SMA.
My projection is TWTR open on the down trend in the morning if this chart pattern continues. If the 50 day average crosses over the 200 day moving average TWTR will be bullish again. I am bearish because I believe twitter will sink back to the 30's soon.
On the flip side, TWTR can form a cup and handle chart pattern which can only happen after a correction happens, and the ticker go back to the $50's, yet I believe the momentum will die down on day trades on TWTR.
**This is not financial advise but only a personal observation for my play.
Twitter Trade IdeaTwitter I believe to still be a great stock to watch this coming week due to the chart analysis I'm watching. Twitter has been on a run ever since Elon musk mentioned the amount of stake he took with investing in this company. But over the past few trading days, Twitter has begun to pull back a little and is now sitting on a key support line. If this $44.10 area decides to break then it can fill the gap back down to the $40.81 area. But if it holds the $44 key level then maybe it can retest the high of $54.57. I will be watching twitter this coming week for a long if we can bounce or a short if it decides it wants to fill the gap.
$TWTR expecting a gap down and reversal off neckline + 618 levelWatching the neckline and 618 for long opportunity, you can use the low for a stop but there is no RR in that case for me personally. 37.40's is safer stop but again adding more risk to the equation.
$TWTR is a Top watch for me this week
2x to 1 rr is first tp or line, then 6x. 25% trim at both levels. we really want to see last high (both noted) here then 1.272 ext, final target.
I missed this Bat pattern entirely, poor choice as harmonics often will proceed the news, ie Elon scooping shares of the lows, I am really hoping he can pull this off w $TWTR btw, it will not be easy imo.
I hope to share more going forward & also thanks for looking, feel free to leave a chart, comment or an idea of your own:)
Twitter in a nutshellWell, we can thank Elon for this... ok so hes going to sell his shares being as hes not going to acquire twitter and that was the point in having say in the company or outright buying the company... twitter has again harmed its own investors just to keep their company... makes no sense but ok... so, let's say they dilute these shares and offer at a cheaper price, that alone will make the stock collapse, Elon will sell as well... and Goldman Sachs has this stock with huge downside anyways... No one uses twitter for ads or for anything because there's no need to. Now here's the fun part if you were smart Thursday... Elon loves 4/20 and the 4/22 puts for $30 were low at $3 and closed around $5 that day...when all this happens, next week the word for twitter is sell sell sell. No one and i mean no one is going to want anything to do with twitter till this is all settled, and we can see same week downside as far down at $28-$32 on twitter which over the past 5 years has been a play anyway.
TWITTER - LongThe bullish impulse from May 2016 formed an Expanding Leading Diagonal for Twitter. According to Elliott Wave Theory, this pattern (occurs as Wave 1 or Wave A) usually dictates the direction of impulse - in this case, to the upside.
As long as we don't break below $13.70, all retracements are considered as Wave 2. Once Wave 2 completes, a more impulsive Wave 3 will ensue - it could already be in the works, considering we've bounced off significantly from the $30 range.
Twitter will probably see ~$140 in the coming years.
TWTR volatility and 10 cent range barsNYSE:TWTR may be interesting with the upcoming volatility to play both sides with options. This is trading, not investing. I'll keep my eyes glued to the screen. I'll play both sides Long options and exit by the end of day. If the MA is crossed after entry I'll hold otherwise I'll always trust Willy on range bars.
I don't do financial advice.