This could be the end of Rainy days for Twitter!After 50% correction in the past 9 months, TWTR has made a Bullish AB=CD pattern..!
You can also consider an ABC correction you like wave analysis!
A review of yesterday post:
Yesterday's trade set up which generates +60% in 1 day..!
Option walls: 42-45
max pain 45
Buy call 42, Dec 23,2021 at 1.28, Stop loss 0.89 and target 2.7-3.
Capital size: 3%
Education:
What Is Max Pain?
Max pain, or the max pain price, is the strike price with the most open options contracts (i.e., puts and calls), and it is the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration.
The term max pain stems from the maximum pain theory, which states that most traders who buy and hold options contracts until expiration will lose money
For max pain: You expect his hedging activity to drive the stock price to that point.
Open Interest walls or OI walls are a similar concept to max pain. Both rely on the option writer, which is the market maker, hedging the options he wrote.
An option wall refers to a large delta-adjusted open interest on a certain strike. It is simply the open interest for that strike multiplied by its delta. It is important because it tells us how many shares market makers need to buy or sell to remain delta neutral. Market makers typically make money by harvesting exchange rebates or by performing arbitrage trades. As such, most do not have a directional bias in the market and strive to remain hedged or flat.
The mechanic of delta-neutrality is simple. For instance, if a market maker sells a call option on SPY with a delta of 0.90, it will need to buy 90 SPY shares to remain delta neutral. As the delta-adjusted open interest builds up, so does the number of shares held by market makers. When close to expiration, a large number of these call options will be sold by investors, forcing, in turn, market makers to sell their shares. Therefore, if the market is above a large call option wall, it will create selling pressure as expiration approaches. This will preclude the price from freely moving upwards. The same goes for put option walls, but they instead create buying pressure.
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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TWTR trade ideas
More evidence of bullish reversal pattern on TWTRDaily chart has a possible reversal pattern.. 1hr chart confirming possible reversal. Falling wedge pattern with 2-3 touches, DMI reading 19 going to 20, indicating switch from non-trending to trending. RSI breaching 50 line indicating uptrend with support from highs/lows not breaking. Stochastic slow about to break resistance indicating a switch from nontrending to trending. MACD reading deviation into the upside with support from DMI and stochastic confirming switch to trending.... Its either a pennant or symmetrical triangle in recent weeks, cant tell if were going to consolidate for a bit, or fall to support on daily wedge before a swing to the upside.
Looking bullish, possible reversal on TWTRPrice action stands at a pivotal support area. RSI reading oversold levels with DMI reading thats it's left previous trend. Rerversal falling wedge pattern on daily. Three touches to support and resistance. Looks like a pennant or symmetrical triangle in recent weeks, could fall back to support before breakout on wedge.
TWTR looks ready for a entry, waiting for confirmation 🦉 perfect bounce off the bottom part of this trend channel, on the RSI we saw short trap and quick reclaim of its support zone. Bulls still hold the control. 🚀
Currently still being held back by top trendline resistance, once 45 breaks this resistance is broke and the only one left is around 47.5.
price target once these resistance levels break are: 49-52.7-61
goodluck! like and follow for more 💘
TWTR oversold The yellow line is resistance. If the breaks breaks above it we could finally see the beginning of a new upward trend. TWTR stock price has sold off 44% since October.
Fundamentals, investors always complained about poor user growth. Now user growth is strong. What excuse do they have now? This company makes money!
Twitter - Bullish Sequence!We are bullish on twitter, after completing wave (y) in the minute green degree of which the downward move began in about mid-July 2021, this move has seen twtr move lower to the bottom of the channel as low as $41.00. Now we expect twtr to resume the bullish cycle of wave 3 in the red minor degree to at least about $167.00. This drop has presented us with a good opportunity to buy twtr at a discounted price.
Twitter | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read | Long Setup 🔔On November 29, the Twitter stock made investors quite nervous following CEO Jack Dorsey`s abrupt announcement of his resignation. Dorsey's successor will be Parag Agrawal. Shares of the social network initially soared 11% after Dorsey's announcement but fell nearly 3% by the end of the day.
Both supporters and opponents seem to be passionately divided over Dorsey's resignation, and Twitter is likely to remain one of the most debated stocks for the predictable future. Let's take a look back at Dorsey's achievements at Twitter and the grounds for his departure, and consider whether the change in leadership will help or hurt the company.
Jack Dorsey co-founded Twitter in 2006 and was the company's CEO until his ouster in 2008. Dorsey was reportedly fired because of concerns about his leadership skills and tendency to be distracted by extraneous hobbies. The following year, Dorsey co-founded Square and remains CEO of that fintech company to this day. At Twitter, Dorsey was replaced by co-founder Evan Williams, who handed over the reins to Dick Costolo, in 2010 before its initial public offering in 2013.
Nevertheless, Costolo toiled to keep up with Twitter's growth in users and revenue after its public debut. He left his post in 2015, and Dorsey came back as Twitter's CEO but did not relinquish his role as Square's CEO.
When Dorsey took over, Twitter was trying to increase its monthly active users (MAUs). At the time of the IPO, Costolo desired Twitter to increase its MAUs from 185 million at the end of 2012 to 400 million by the end of 2013. Nonetheless, the company ended 2013 with 241 million MAUs, and by the end of 2015, that number had grown to 317 million. Since Dorsey's return, Twitter's MAU count has grown only slightly, to 319 million in 2016 and 330 million in 2017.
Since the end of fiscal 2018, Twitter doesn`t disclose MAU user numbers and instead began reporting monetizable daily active users (mDAUs). The new numbers exclude fake, spammy, and bot accounts that inflated the number of MAUs. Twitter ended 2018 with 126 million mDAUs. That number increased to 152 million at the end of 2019, 192 million at the end of 2020, and 211 million in the third quarter of 2021. Twitter attributes this growth to its expanded international operations, increased use as a platform to talk about current events and the introduction of new advertising formats with more targeted targeting techniques.
Dorsey's emphasis on enhancing engagement rates among a smaller audience of more active users - rather than aggressive growth in MAU users - has stabilized Twitter's earnings increase over the past four years.
Twitter's business remained strong during the pandemic, even as companies bought fewer ads. At an investor day in March, the company also set bold three-year growth goals and said it could grow mDAUs "at least" to 315 million users by the end of 2023 and more than double annual revenue from $3.7 billion in 2020 to "over $7.5 billion" in 2023.
Twitter claimed that the growth would come from new products. Still, Twitter's recent product launches look like disorganized attempts to emulate other social media platforms. These innovations include short-lived "Fleets," organized "themes" for tweets, a new tip feature that now supports bitcoin, and subscriptions for top accounts.
That's why Dorsey's resignation, which came less than a year after Twitter set ambitious growth goals for 2023, is somewhat discouraging. In his tweet, Dorsey said that Twitter's status as a founder-led company was not a strength, but rather "severely limiting and a single point of failure." The company needs to "separate itself from its founders and founders" to grow. Twitter's board unanimously approved the appointment of Parag Agrawal as CEO, which Dorsey praised, saying Agrawal has previously been "behind every major decision that has helped turn this company around."
Dorsey didn't mention Square, but his departure from Twitter should give him more time to expand the growing fintech company. Dorsey owns more Square stock than Twitter, and the company is actively extending its ecosystem to be in line with competitors like PayPal and Adyen. Dorsey is also leaving at a time when Twitter and other social media platforms are facing tighter controls on free speech restrictions, the spread of hate speech, and fake news.
The co-founder has often glorified Twitter as a platform for free speech, but Agrawal previously told MIT Technology Review that Twitter's role is to "not be bound by the First Amendment." This statement indicates that Twitter may introduce stricter standards of censorship shortly.
Twitter's latest quarterly results discontented shareholders as the company's costs rose sharply due to the introduction of new products. At this point, investors should have stayed away from Twitter after the drop following the release of its financial results report, as the company's valuation still seems too high and its goals too enterprising. Dorsey's resignation creates new uncertainty for the business and its management, so it's best to stay away for now.
TwitterWe are back at October 2020 levels. Not impressed by the past two quarters financials. However, twitter is still relied on by millions of people and the recent high was around $65 just last month. A price of $50 would be a 38% retracement. I want to see if price will break through the 50 ema (orange). Let's see what happens over time. Not advice.
TWTR's RSI is closing in on trough lands, not price though !RSI is getting oversold a bit, price has no clear support line close by what so ever. That said, does not mean we can not have a reversal
from here at any point i am just stating the obvious to you guys. Europe lock down is not looking good !
TWTR is in oversold territory, but no seasonality to support it!If this plays out as WXY and we have equality of percentage then W = Y at 41 we will probably have some kind of support or a
bullish case. That said , we could revers at any price regardless of anything else. Twitter has risen in 4 of those 7 years over
the subsequent 52 week period, corresponding to a historical accuracy of 57.14% that's VERY LOW SUCCESS RATE. We have lower
lows till the end of January of 2022 just stating the stats here for consideration !!!
$TWITTER BEARS TIREDThe drop from $68 to $40 has the bears out of gas. The drop is a retest of the top of the ascending triangle. The bulls signaled support by printing a 6% daily candle to form an evening star candle formation
Buy $41 -$43
take profit @ 50.
This worth noting that the 40- 43 range is great price point for a long term portfolio addition.
Goodluck!!
Idea about TwitterTwitter, Inc. is an American company that operates the social network twitter, created by Jack Dorsey in 2006. Headquartered in San Francisco, California. Revenue $ 2.2 billion (I half-year 2021). Capitalization $ 35.6 billion
On Twitter, the strong level is $ 45. Yesterday, the daily candle closed below HIGH and near this resistance level. At the premarket, we broke through $ 45, but on the OS we can easily return to it and make a false breakout, so it is better to set the stop long enough and enter from the level of $ 45.
Price now: $ 45.6
Speculative target: 4%
Stop below: $ 44
NOT IRR.
TWTR - 2 EW countsA couple of different interpretations for TWTR going forward. The blue count suggests a flat correction with the developing C wave expected to continue much, much lower. The red count however is somewhat more positive suggesting that wave 1 of an expanding diagonal completed February this year and we are now within a wave 2 correction.
The Outcome Investors Weren't Looking For in Twitter (TL;DR)As of recent, there have been some major events occurring within the organisation ( NYSE:TWTR ). I'm sure many readers are aware of the fact that Jack Dorsey ( Former CEO) stepped down from his roll on the 29th of November. Forecasters from all over, including analysts from CitiGroup ( NYSE:C ) believed that when Mr. Dorsey stepped down, the price of Twitter would consequently increase (some predicted as far as a 15% increase). The reason for this was that, Dorsey was also managing another corporation by the name of Square ( NYSE:SQ ). As any investor, seasoned or amateur would know, you want your management to pay sufficient attention to the company you want to become a shareholder in. Unfortunately for Twitter and their shareholders, the recent events have been completely on the contrary to analysts' predictions.
So one factor that caused a price drop through this year of 12% was the Biden Administration's winning of the election and Trump being (in some eyes, 'unjustifiably') banned from Twitter. Due to there no longer being any politically related 'excitement' on the platform. Conveniently, Twitter (possibly in an attempt to rescue stock prices) had Dorsey step down but this just caused a separate price drop of around 9% making the situation look very dire. The absolute polar opposite to what analysts had predicted.
Despite the investment community's pessimistic outlook on the company and management as of right now (due to the lack of data to prove management is capable) some of the more intelligent investors have taken an entirely different approach to the situation. This considerable price drop could make the company a very, very attractive purchase. Many have purchased the stock as part of one of the 'thinner' margins of safety in their portfolio and would be willing to take the beating if the price falls further simply because they have it within a very diversified segment of their portfolio. Once again following the primitive, yet proven method of minimising losses and maximising profits through having more likely to be profitable stocks than riskier stocks.
As always opinions, news and facts are always welcome, comment away!
TL;DR: Jack Dorsey stepped down and a consequent price drop followed added with reduced user numbers after the Trump Administration. This could be a purchase now with a 'thinner' margin of safety in comparison to ordinary investments but could have great potential for profit as the price has become rather attractive. Just diversify!
TWTRHello, Twitter is still unprofitable.
In case this changes in the future the green zone would be a good entry.
Recommending to use some kind of stoploss because investing in unprofitable stocks is risky but potentially also very profitable.
Im Looking out for big volume on my supp for bullish confirmation.
This could 3-4x from my zone next Year.
Dyor and please leave a like :)
Will post updates in here after some price discovery in the coming weeks.
Twitter might have ended correctionIs it Twitter making a 1-2-1*-2* (*lesser degree). Last leg down reached the 100% Fib. Extension and kind of looks like a Zig-Zag. Last candle seems pretty impulsive and volume picked up. Breaking above previous highs (Wave B) would tell us that at least price is gonna test All Time Highs.