URI trade ideas
$URI United Rentals Breaking Downtrend$URI United Rentals - appears to have broken through a long term down trend line which began back in March when the stock peaked around $190. Not exactly a sexy growth company...but the long term chart looks bullish in my opinion and the company has been fairly consistent delivering solid earnings results (next ER late Oct).
Also of note - Bullish $8M+ options trade today...155/160 strike Sept 21 calls purchased. A fund or individual with deep pockets believes in this stock.
Medium term target - $190 (prev ATH)
Long term target - $220 (possibly conservative given the stock's last two long term bull runs resulted in moves of +77% and +75%....which would bring the long term target up into the area of $260 by the mid point of 2019)
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
URI short term shortWould like to enter some short positions on URI and watch it go into c of 2, so that we can go for a very nice bullish setup there.
So plan is to wait for the little green box at the gann line, and then small short there, and flip to long at the larger green box down below. This trade would likely be a multi month one
URI close to breaking outURI has been consolidating in a flat base for a little over a month. It attempted to breakout on 3/1 but that breakout failed.
More importantly, however, and what I like most about this base, is that it shook out below the low of the gap up after earnings, found support at the 50dma, and held the pre-gap high (thus not closing the gap). This makes for a fantastic level to play against. Traders who bought off the 50dma will want to see that daily/weekly low of 119.11 hold.
If URI attempts to breakout again, the best place to put a stop in my opinion is still 119.11. However, that's about 10% below the 131.19 pivot which is a stretch for most (myself included). If I'm looking at trading URI longer-term, maybe I let my 7-8% max sell rule slide, place my stop below 119, have the 10% difference between my entry/exit points, and adjust my position size accordingly. However, from an intermediate-term perspective I'd either want to buy closer to the 50dma should URI test it again OR wait until a shorter term layer of support is developed.