Choice Hotels Walks Away from Wyndham Bid: What's Next?Choice Hotels International recently announced the termination of its bid for rival Wyndham Hotels & Resorts., ( NYSE:WH ) The decision came after Choice failed to garner sufficient support from Wyndham's ( NYSE:WH ) shareholders, marking a significant development in the quest for consolidation within the budget hotel sector.
Choice Hotels, known for its robust portfolio of economy and mid-scale brands, had embarked on takeover discussions with Wyndham ( NYSE:WH ) back in April 2023. However, the culmination of these talks into a formal bid in October met resistance from Wyndham's management, who repeatedly rebuffed Choice's advances. Wyndham ( NYSE:WH ) cited concerns over the proposed deal's antitrust implications, the debt burden of the combined entity, and potential stagnation in Choice's business as reasons for its opposition.
Despite a spirited attempt to sway Wyndham's ( NYSE:WH ) stance by nominating a slate of directors in January to replace its board, Choice ultimately decided to withdraw its bid, signaling a halt to what could have been a transformative merger in the hospitality landscape.
The fallout from this failed bid is manifold. For Choice Hotels, the termination represents a strategic pivot away from pursuing an acquisition-driven growth strategy. Instead, the company will refocus its efforts on leveraging its existing strengths and pursuing organic growth opportunities. With the termination of the bid, Choice's shares surged, buoyed by investor confidence in the company's ability to deliver value through alternative avenues.
On the other hand, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts ( NYSE:WH ) emerges from this episode with its independence reaffirmed. The company's steadfast belief in its standalone growth prospects, underscored by robust projected earnings growth through 2026, has been validated. Investors, buoyed by Wyndham's resilience and optimistic outlook, have reacted positively to the news, driving up the company's share price.
The termination of the bid also prompts reflection on the broader dynamics shaping the hospitality industry. Consolidation has been a prevailing trend as companies seek to achieve economies of scale, expand their geographic footprint, and strengthen their bargaining power with online travel agencies. While the Choice-Wyndham ( NYSE:WH ) merger would have created a formidable player in the budget hotel segment, its failure underscores the complexities and challenges inherent in executing such deals.
Impact of the Walk-out
NYSE:WH experience a declined of 0.5% prior Choice Hotels Termination deal.
Looking ahead, both Choice Hotels and Wyndham Hotels & Resorts ( NYSE:WH ) are poised to navigate the evolving landscape of travel and hospitality. As the industry grapples with the lingering effects of the pandemic and adapts to shifting consumer preferences, agility and innovation will be key drivers of success. While the allure of mergers and acquisitions may persist, companies must also remain vigilant in safeguarding their independence and pursuing strategies that align with their long-term vision.
In the aftermath of the bid termination, the stage is set for Choice Hotels and Wyndham Hotels & Resorts to chart their respective paths forward. Whether through organic growth initiatives, strategic partnerships, or continued investment in technology and guest experience, both companies are poised to shape the future of hospitality in a post-pandemic world. As they embark on this journey, the eyes of industry observers will be keenly focused on how they navigate the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.
WH trade ideas
Windham Hotels & Resorts - 10:1 Long, Speculative News ResponseMy analysis of Windham Hotels & Resorts follows news of NYC's recent ban of AirBNB, a development which inspired me to discover which publicly traded hotel chain might be best positioned to benefit. Hopefully you will challenge my conclusion and/or my measurements with your tough questions, since this venue is meant to arouse the reverse-engineers and to provoke the thinkers to do what they do best, right?
As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, but this 10:1 Long trade on the WH chart is highly contextual. Not even a Market Maker can move the price of ABNB as reliably as the State of New York.
Although my trading strategy is built on innate Pattern Recognition and a hard-won sympathy for the Market Maker’s Business Model, my tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION.
Generally speaking, what a Speculator does that an Investor or a Trader does not is specifically to take advantage of price inefficiencies caused by government interference (or corruption). A good example would be accumulating toilet paper and/or N95 Masks in 2020 and selling the stock in bulk at high markup before the window of opportunity finally closed.
Only a Speculator does that!
The details of the chart(s) speak for themselves, however behind the scenes ChatGPT and I determined that MAR, HLT, IHG, AC and WH were the hotel chains with the greatest number of rooms in NYC that might benefit from the AirBNB news. I was surprised to see that both MAR and HLT are at or near All-Time-Highs, but just as quickly ruled them out as candidates for major growth for exactly that reason.
In short, without ChatGPT concluded that WH is the best candidate to benefit from what might become a growing trend, but is already law in NYC and will therefore have an effect on prices and practices. If this case interests you, then I invite you to compare the listed tickers and let me know if you agree about WH.
Keen observers will see many details in this idea, but how many noticed the ABNB correlation coefficient histograph? If my trade thesis is correct, the polarity should invert, and the tickers will move in opposite directions more often, and for longer.
I am preparing a video on prospecting for opportunities during the current Sector Rotation, and Windam Hotels & Resorts might become part of it. First, though, I have a few more ideas to upload as I update other key charts for the final Quarter of 2023.
Until then, be liquid !!!
WYNDHAM HOTELS Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091023 Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 75/61.80%
Chart time frame : B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
$WH: A Decent Post-COVID play?As cases drop dramatically and interest rates rise, could affordable hotel name stocks be a good way to get exposure? Presumably as credit comes out of the economy, there will be less desire for higher end names. Also while 41 P/E may be high for a hotel chain, other's in the same space are running extremely high / negative PE's. I'll be looking to play this one to the long side and scaling in. Good luck traders
WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS Estimates DailyHey traders, WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS is in a bearish fake dynamic with stable sell volume and a turning point. The TIMEFRAME M1 we notice a tombstone with a return of purchase volume made, it goes to its last low point which arrives at the base of the bollinger. To do a reversal, test the highest of the terminal then the VWAP go to the top of the equilibrium zone and be able to do a re-test. Strong potential to breakout the price thereafter the zone and to move on the next high which is panic before the session. Little force to test half of the intermediate median of ANDREWS PITCHFORK.
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WH - Bullish SetupWyndham Hotels is looking poised for its next bullish leg higher. The stock broke down through a bullish trendline but was able to find support along the 50-EMA line. The daily volume is showing that buyers are showing up as the price seems to be rounding out of a bottom & the RSI has risen above 50 as it exits an oversold condition. My price targets are noted on the chart.