5/2/24 - $wk - dip buyer on an outsized "bad guide" move5/2/24 - vrockstar - one of these awkward fundamental setups in a bid tape b/c it seems like outside a massive beat you won't see any sustained rip and follow thru here and instead 2Q guide is likely all else equal to reflect others so far reported (too many to even number). stock seems to have not believed this which is cool - i haven't really dug in yet on the name - but to say on revenue paying 6x fwd for a semi-unique product and mid teens rev growth is awaiting a re-rate one way or another. the bias so far from other b2b is lower, faster. i'll probably swing the long $65-66 and a gap fill (late '20) and retest of '22 lows near $60 would be the more obvious buy/ hold entry. wouldn't want to short a beat either, but i'd just let it float. better sidelines and watch/ act ex post
WK trade ideas
WK, (MACD) Histogram just turned positiveThis is a Bullish indicator signaling WK's price could rise from here. Traders may explore going long the stock or buying call options. Tickeron A.I. dvisor identified 55 similar cases where WK's MACD histogram became positive, and 47 of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success: 85%. Current price $55.89 crossed the resistance line at $55.62 and is trading between $58.61 resistance and $55.62 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 08/20/20 - 09/22/20, the price experienced a +2% Uptrend. During the week of 09/15/20 - 09/22/20, the stock enjoyed a +7% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 18, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WK as a result. Tickeron A.I. detected that in 72 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
WK moved above its 50-day Moving Average on September 18, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WK advanced for three days, in 248 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. Tickeron A.I. detected that in 263 of 314 cases where WK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.
WK Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend on June 19, 2020Over the last three days, I have detected that WK's AroonUp green line (see chart) is above 70, while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the green line goes above 70 while the red line stays below 30, this is an indicator that the stock could be poised for a strong Uptrend. For traders, this could mean going long the stock or exploring call options in the next month. I backtested this indicator and found 305 similar cases, 271 of which were successful. Based on this data, the odds of success are 89%.
WORKIVA: Good to BuyThe WORKIVE had a steep drop because of the trade war, but it began to rally at the a demand zone.
The good demand zone worked at 41.2-43.2 in the weekly chart.
So buy at this zone.
SL: below 41
TP: 55
It will be very cost-effective trade because the risk/reward radio is more than 4.0.
Is there any better than this?
WK Great Buy for a 5% return or 15%+ Long TermWK is a growing software company that has exceeded its 2019 Q1 earnings expectations. Has been on a continues uptrend for the past 2 years with no aggressive sell offs. With earnings coming up, I believe company will continue to grow with a 5% potential short term, but can potentially be an over 15% return in the next year.
Potential BreakoutWK just busted through some overhead resistance to new highs. It did so on light volume though, which is always a concern. I'd look for a pullback near 60 on a retest of the trendline to get in. Stopped out if it breaks back down below 58.
These cloud stocks are pretty unpredictable when it comes to these breakouts, they tend to make some overblown moves to the upside, but at some point, people will realize that they are all heavily overvalued and .com 2.0 stocks. So you can hold below 58 if you want, but personally I'll always be skeptical of that.
*NOT trading advice, please do your own analysis!*
Workiva WedgieWhen in doubt short overbloated garbage like WK and W.
Starting to see divergence and distribution as well, and absolutely no volume today. This stock has absolutely no liquidity, if there's a big sell order, it'll go down in a hurry.
Worst case I think it tanks next earnings. Small short position.