Walmart : First bullish signal! Possible END of the retracement!Walmart (officially WalMart, Inc.), the multinational retail corporation based in the United States, has an impeccable technical outlook, as we recalled in a previous post.
Its trend is clearly bullish (Bull), but on December 9th (red vertical line), it began a retracement phase due to the significant accumulated increase it had experienced. The price has retraced to the first key zone of 89-90 (23.6% Fibonacci) and, for now, has respected it. If it breaks below that zone, the price could fall to around 85 (38.2% Fibonacci).
On January 6th, the FIRST bullish (Bull) signal appeared on the chart, and the price closed yesterday in an important zone, which, if surpassed, could mark the end of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse toward NEW HIGHS. We need to be attentive because a H4 candle close above 92 would give us a clear signal to enter long (Bull).
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 92.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position at the highs zone of 95.8 (+4.2%).
--> Stop Loss at 88.5 (-3.5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-3.5%) (matching the 88.5 of position 1).
--> We adjust the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (95.8).
SETUP CLARIFICATIONS
*** How to determine which 2 long positions to open? Let’s take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, we divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a determined distance. That determined distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
--> Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% during the increases, thus reducing the risk until the position becomes profitable. This way, one can take advantage of very strong and stable price trends, maximizing profits.
WMT trade ideas
BUY OPPORTUNITYINSTRUMENT: WMT
Buy Price: $90.09
Stop Loss (SL): $88.86
Take Profit (TP): $93.58
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:27
Strong Demand Area: The price is hovering around the area between $90.28 and $88.91, which has been identified as a strong demand zone. This is where buying pressure is expected to emerge, making it an ideal spot to enter a long position.
Target TP: $93.58 is the target price, as it aligns with a strong supply zone, where the price is likely to face resistance.
Earnings Report: Walmart is scheduled to announce its earnings on February 20, 2025. The company is expected to report an EPS of $0.64, showing a 6.67% year-over-year growth.
Revenue Expectations: The consensus estimate for revenue is $179.28 billion, representing a 3.4% increase from the same quarter in the previous year.
Outlook: Positive growth expectations indicate potential bullish sentiment leading up to the earnings release, which could support the trade direction.
$WMT look at my receipt, make sure I checked out; inverse C & HUm, NYSE:WMT up 30%+ for what? Bearish flow, I think this gets a healthy pullback. $85p for leaps could be a nice executing play. Possible inverse cup and handle playing out here. Not much indication on further upside, in my opinion.
WSL
Pullback is due.On a phone call the day after Christmas, someone asked me what I thought about Walmart as a stock to buy for someone as a Christmas gift. After reviewing the chart and seeing the inflationary deviation upward, from it's normal upward and healthy bullish trend that looks like a rocket launch, upward at high rates of speed through the top of the bullish trend channel, i said this would not be the time to buy.
Just because something reaches new all time highs, does not mean it won't go higher. That factor is really irrelevant because the bearish monthly wick says it all. It's time for a pullback.
What the federal reserve says and does it very relevant to this particular stock being discussed.
Changes in the inflationary forecast matter. These are the very changes that caused the bullish distortion in price, and when they re-adjust, so to will the price.
It's very clear a pullback is due and now we will watch the market determine what it thinks the new fair price of Walmart to be in this new "lesser inflation" economy.
So to answer the question, now was not the time to buy but when (and if) the pullback is healthy and resumes it's normal upward trend in the long term trend channel I'd back up the truck and pull the trigger if it met all of my BUY criteria in the technicals.
For now, this is not the exact time to be buying. It's time to be watching what price does at former support and resistance levels for signs of a healthier return.
This chart was made quickly and not with much thought put into the artistic visuals, but many of you already know what I mean. As soon as you see that teetering top, you know a tumble is here. Today, I got a call of thanks, as they watched the claw back in price begin.
It was not investment advice, just pattern recognition opinion. (lol)
Walmart (WMT) - Potential Breakout Setup This chart shows a potential bullish breakout forming on Walmart (WMT). The price is consolidating within a triangle pattern, showing an ABCDE wave structure that could resolve upward.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry: $96.40
Stop-Loss: $93.89
Targets:
Target 1: $98.73
Target 2: $100.17
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Well-structured trade with a clean support line at $93.89.
The price must hold above this level for the bullish thesis to remain valid.
Indicators:
Elliott Wave: Clear ABCDE triangle pattern.
Structure: A breakout above $96.40 could signal continuation.
WALMART
WMT has been trade around 7-year CHANNEL UP PATTERN since the January 12 2015 High.
The price has finally reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of this decade-long bullish pattern and that is easily identifiable by the 1W RSI sequence.
The rally that started on the May 16 2022 bottom is very similar to the one that started on the October 26 2015 bottom.
bullish momentum is just around this 2-4 weeks impact from Trump presidency, but negative outlook from current geopolitical and economically approach, it gonna dip
AIMING it will dip deep and close the gapping again , to return to its baseline price.
thats all
WMT - Buy Considering the bullish momentum, strong fundamentals, and analyst targets, Walmart reaching $98 seems likely within the next 1-3 months if the current trend continues. However, short-term resistance or a broader market pullback could cause temporary delays.
Estimated Probability: 70%-75% over the next 3 months, assuming no major market disruptions.
Let me know if you'd like deeper technical or sentiment analysis!
WALMART on top of 10-year Channel. Correction or break-out?Walmart (WMT) has been trading within a 10-year Channel Up pattern since the January 12 2015 High. The price has finally reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of this decade-long bullish pattern and that is easily identifiable by the 1W RSI sequence.
The rally that started on the May 16 2022 bottom is very similar to the one that started on the October 26 2015 bottom. The two fractals initially started rebounding and on the first 0.5 Fibonacci test, they held it and entered a more aggressive rally, supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The past one peaked just above the 2.5 Fibonacci extension (January 29 2018). The current week has put us above the 2.5 Fib ext and right at the top of the Channel Up. If it replicates the Jan - May 2018 correction, it could test $66.50. If it closes above the Channel Up though, a new bullish pattern will emerge and we will re-evaluate with the price action we get at that time. However it is easily understandable that having an SL at the top is worth taking the short's risk as the potential reward is much greater than the risk. And if it fails the loss is minimal and we can still follow the bullish trend with a break-out buy.
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WMT Possible Play's So my Cus trades stocks so I charted this up for him, I'm not a stock trader but I figured I would share my insight to the rest . This stock has shot up & could be looking for a support before continuing but when you look at the higher time Frame. It has gone straight up in a line for a while so I wouldn't be surprised if this starts breaking down for sell's sooner or later.
WMT long calls WMT reports Tuesday before open I expect a beat giving the past reports and think this is a great chance to get long calls into the holidays with that being said I'm gonna pick a few $90 calls into the new year. trimming most after the report and holding a profit position into the new year. cheers
Long WalmartWalmart will be providing its earning on November 19. Long debit spread 11/22 expiration, buy $88 strike and sell $93 strike for a debit price of $71 as of closing on Friday. You may be able to get in on a better price Monday. Potential profit of $429 by expiration of contract. Looking to close for $100 profit.
Good luck!
WMT Walmart Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on WMT:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 80usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $3.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Walmart in weeklyHello,
A quick look at the action of the famous US channel.
My algo, signals me a price higher than 41% on its "Price Action".
What bothers me a little is the acceleration marked with the yellow arrow on the graph.
The blue line is the right price according to my algo.
What do you think?
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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$WMT Rising Wedge 6hWalmart has been insanely bullish these last few months following its double beat on recent earnings, now the price action has sort of slowed and has been ranging bullish but is starting to form a rising wedge pattern. I want to keep NYSE:WMT on watch for a breakdown before its earnings report on November 19th. If we can break below the $81.54 to hit the 50% retracement first than continue lower to the first target $80.61 than continue to main target at $79.36
WMT - ascending triangle breakout patternWMT - Walmart Expands Same-Day Pharmacy Delivery Nationwide, Integrates Prescriptions And General Merchandise Into Single Orders. stock breaking another all time highs here. could see another break out if $82 holds. Stock is strong on indicator level. Stock is forming and ascending triangle breakout pattern. looking for $85 and $90 if $82 holds
WMT to Make New Higher Highs Week of 10/21-10/25 (11/4)WMT stock experienced a slight decline during the week of October 21-25, 2024.
The stock is currently trading below its key moving averages and has a bearish technical outlook.
However, the consensus rating for WMT stock remains "Buy," and analysts have a high median target price.
Investors should continue to monitor WMT stock for any upcoming news or earnings reports that could impact its price.
Santiago Solutions Forecast
E-82.05
TP- 83.50
TP2- 85.10 (Possible 11/4)
SL-80.05
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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