XOM to Double!Could be completing a Wave 2 correction formation. Appears to be a Reverse Head and Shoulders with a neckline just above 120. If, in fact, we are beginning a 3rd Wave, a 1.618 of Wave 1 move would put XOM at 240.
XOM trade ideas
Ascending wedge Being as new as I am to technical analysis, it is always great to find a trend without overlooking it. Watch how price reacts around then$110 area. We are looking for a small pull back and then from there to go up to around the $113 area where out next target area is.
Nice Support And Resistance But fill the GAP!After the jump up to $110 where we have strong resistance and we have for awhile. this seems to be the sweet spot. It did go up to $112 in Pre market but at open it quickly shot down. $108 seems to be a strong support level. Im really hoping this is the play in which we are able to fill this gap. After the gap fill then we can really focus on the support and resistance and hopefully touch $112 and stay there. Safe Trading, I watch this stock like a hawk so im sure I will be updating this all the time.
Exit Tight Trading Range on Exxon. XOMTight trading ranges are always tough, as they cause indicators to constantly throw off false signals. There is no way to know which signals will be false. Taking a chance on this one nonetheless. Three soldier candlestick pattern that breaks MIDAS curve and crossings on VZO+offset and Ehlers StochRSI. BB%PCT also crossed zero line. vWAP/US duo in alignment and supportive. It is uncommon to see all the stars lineup like that.
ExxonMobil: Final Pullback ExpectedExxonMobil should soon resolve the ongoing sideways phase, allowing the turquoise wave 2 to establish its corrective low below $104.84. This final pullback is still needed before the next impulsive rally unfolds. Alternatively, there is a 32% chance that the key low was already settled by the turquoise wave alt. 2. A break above $123.74 would confirm this scenario.
XOM at a Pivotal Zone! Will Bulls Take Control?Technical Analysis (TA) Overview:
📌 Price Action: XOM is testing a key reversal zone, showing strong buying pressure after breaking out from a descending trendline. The price is now consolidating near resistance.
📌 Support & Resistance:
Resistance Levels: $112.87 (Major Resistance), $115 (Call Wall)
Support Levels: $109 (High Volume Node), $108 (Put Wall)
📌 Indicators:
MACD: Bullish momentum building, but still in a weak positive zone.
Stoch RSI: Overbought levels (95+), suggesting a potential short-term pullback before continuation.
📌 Volume Profile:
High liquidity around $111-$112, indicating a potential battle between buyers and sellers.
GEX (Options Analysis) - Key Insights:
📌 Gamma Exposure (GEX): Positive GEX at higher levels suggests dealers may hedge by selling, acting as resistance.
📌 Call Walls (Resistance Levels):
$112-$115 (Highest positive GEX zone) → Likely resistance, where price action might slow down.
$120 (Extreme Call Wall) → If momentum sustains, this could be a long-term target.
📌 Put Support Levels:
$109-$108 → Strong support, if broken, could trigger a sell-off to $105 (next put support).
📌 Options Sentiment:
IV Rank (IVR): 32.7 → Moderate implied volatility, options not overly expensive.
Calls 11.3% → Mild bullish positioning in the options market.
Potential Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If XOM holds above $111, a breakout toward $115+ is possible.
❌ Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $109 could send XOM back to $105-$106.
💡 Suggestion: Watch for a retest of $109 as support before a breakout move!
📌 Final Thoughts:
Short-term traders: Look for confirmation above $111 for a quick move to $115.
Swing traders: Ideal entry on a pullback to $109-$110, targeting $115+.
Options traders: A breakout over $112 with rising call positioning could fuel momentum.
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions! 🚀
XOM - Bottom of Right Shoulder Inverse Head and Shoulders potential with current position, bottoming of right shoulder.
Good spot for pilot or add to take advantage of a coming impulse wave higher. Current target: 145.
XOM 110 C Exp 2/14/25 (Swing setup)Showing head and shoulders pattern on higher and lower time frames amidst market news that has been trending lately about tariffs. Swinging throughout the week and will check back in later this week.
$XOM with a neutral outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a neutral outlook for NYSE:XOM after a positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 37.5%.
XOM Approaching Resistance! Will It Break Out?Technical Analysis (TA)
Current Market Structure:
* Price Action: XOM has rebounded strongly from the $108 support level, forming an ascending trendline while approaching a key resistance near $111.10 - $112.00.
* Trendlines: There’s a breakout attempt from a wedge pattern, indicating a possible continuation toward higher levels if sustained buying pressure persists.
Indicators:
* MACD: Showing a bullish momentum with a positive histogram, but the signal line is slightly flattening—watch for a potential crossover indicating trend continuation or weakness.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought (above 90), signaling possible short-term consolidation or a minor pullback before continuation.
Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $111.10 - $112.00 (Key breakout zone)
* Major Resistance: $115.00 (Psychological level + call walls from GEX)
* Support Levels: $109.71 (trendline support), $108.00 (critical support zone)
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Flow
Key Insights from GEX:
* Bullish Gamma Walls:
* $115.00 – Strongest Call Resistance Zone → If breached, expect a gamma squeeze pushing prices higher.
* $112.00 – Second Call Wall (53.98% probability of hitting)
* $110.00 – Holding as a pivot zone; breaking this level with volume could confirm further upside.
* Bearish Put Walls:
* $108.00 – Put Support Zone → If the price falls below, downside risk increases.
* $105.00 & $100.00 – Major Put Walls, meaning strong downside hedging activity.
IV & Options Sentiment:
* Implied Volatility (IVR 21.2, IVX Avg 22.5) – Moderate volatility, indicating a balanced risk.
* Put Activity: PUTS at 36.8%, meaning downside hedging is still active.
* Call Activity: Moderate bullish positioning, suggesting controlled upside with resistance at $112 - $115.
📊 Trade Setups & My Suggestions
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $111.10 (Confirmation of strength)
* Target 1: $112.50
* Target 2: $115.00 (If gamma squeeze triggers)
* Stop Loss: Below $109.50
Bearish Scenario (Failure to Break Resistance):
* Entry: Below $110.00 (Breakdown confirmation)
* Target 1: $108.00
* Target 2: $105.00
* Stop Loss: Above $111.50
Final Thoughts
* XOM is at a critical breakout zone near $111.10.
* Bullish continuation is likely if we break $112, targeting $115.
* Failure to hold above $110 could lead to a pullback toward $108.
* Options data suggests heavy resistance at $112 & $115, but if breached, a gamma squeeze could fuel rapid upside momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before making any trading decisions.
EXXONMOBIL ($XOM) EARNINGS & OUTLOOKEXXONMOBIL ( NYSE:XOM ) EARNINGS & OUTLOOK
1/7
ExxonMobil is back in the spotlight after Q4 2024 earnings. ⚡️💰
From a $59.5B Pioneer merger to record Permian production, there’s plenty to unpack. Let’s dig in!
2/7 – Q4 & FULL-YEAR EARNINGS
• 2024 earnings: $33.7B, down from $36.0B in 2023
• Q4 2024: $7.6B net income (~$1.72/share), with $12.2B in operating cash flow
• Distributed $36B to shareholders in 2024—talk about rewarding loyalty! 💸💥
3/7 – EXPANSION & STRATEGY
• Targeting higher output in Permian Basin & Guyana, despite oil oversupply
• FWB:20B annual share-repurchase program planned for 2025
• Recent Pioneer merger boosts upstream portfolio—long-term production potential just got a big upgrade 🚀
4/7 – VALUATION VS PEERS
• P/E ratio ~13–14, below the industry range (15–18) ✅
• Dividend yield ~3.5%, beating the 3.0% sector average
• Stacks up against Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) & Shell ( NYSE:SHEL )—but ExxonMobil’s Guyana assets could be the real differentiator 🌍⛽️
5/7 – RISK FACTORS
1️⃣ Oil oversupply + OPEC+ cuts → Price uncertainty 📉
2️⃣ Global economic slowdown → Softens demand
3️⃣ Regulatory scrutiny → Heightened costs
4️⃣ Shifting to renewables → Could reduce big-oil momentum
6/7 Is ExxonMobil truly undervalued given its strong cash flow & dividend?
1️⃣ Yes – Undervalued gem
2️⃣ No – Oil oversupply risk is too high
3️⃣ Maybe – Need more clarity on renewables
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – SWOT SUMMARY
• Strengths: Advantaged assets (Permian/Guyana), robust cash flow 🏭
• Weaknesses: Reliance on oil price, smaller renewables exposure
• Opportunities: Pioneer merger, carbon capture, high-value chemical products
• Threats: Regulatory, oversupply, economic slowdown
XOM - preparation for great earnings!Hi guys we would be looking at XOM, just before their earnings! Let's take a look into the fundamentals
Robust Financial Performance
Exxon Mobil has demonstrated resilience with consistent earnings growth and strong cash flow generation, even amidst fluctuating energy prices. The company’s disciplined capital allocation strategy and cost-management initiatives have positioned it well to maximize shareholder returns.
Dividend Stability and Yield
XOM remains a top choice for income-focused investors, maintaining its status as a Dividend Aristocrat. The company’s strong dividend history reflects its commitment to rewarding shareholders, which further enhances investor confidence.
Favorable Market Conditions
Global energy demand remains on an upward trajectory, fueled by economic recovery and industrial activity. Exxon Mobil's diversified portfolio across oil, natural gas, and chemical sectors allows it to capitalize on these trends, while its focus on high-margin projects strengthens profitability.
Strategic Investments in Growth
Exxon Mobil’s ongoing investments in key growth areas, such as Guyana's offshore assets, low-carbon technologies, and LNG production, position it for long-term growth. These projects are expected to generate substantial returns and bolster the company’s competitive edge in the energy sector.
Positive Analyst Sentiment
Many analysts have revised their price targets for XOM upwards, citing its strong fundamentals, operational efficiency, and capacity to adapt to evolving energy trends. This bullish sentiment reflects the broader market's optimism regarding Exxon Mobil's prospects.
Energy Transition Opportunities
While maintaining its core oil and gas operations, Exxon Mobil has also been actively investing in carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies and other low-emission energy solutions. These initiatives align with global sustainability goals and offer new revenue streams for the company.
Technicals are written on the chart we are sitting on the upper support block which gives us an indication that we would move into the resistance level which is where our target is going to be situated
Entry: 110
Target: 123.50
XOM calls 115 area1/21 XOM tested the 115 area however when market open we consolidated in the 111-112 area. 110 has became support and we have inside candles on 4hr, daily weekly and monthly. I’m looking to catch a reversal back into the 120-122 area if we can hit out first point of 115.91. XOM does have earnings soon and we could continue to see increase volume and bullish moment push into the stock. With time on contract I would pick March honestly we can see XOM break out to upside.
Downward for Exxon Mobil. XOMPicture is highly suggestive of an Elliott downward impulse, with wave 5 remaining. Momentum is certainly building, indicators are about to turn.
The narrow price action in the most recent candles are highly suspect for a wave 4 in the undergoing impulse. Fibtime is not excluding the possibility of Wave 5 yet.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green or purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line.
Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis.
Professionally, we are big fans of any indicators from Jurik, De Mark and Ehlers, which we use in addendum in analysis prior to putting down positions.
We prefer a combination of at least four technical factors to favor a particular stance. A stance is never decided by this constellation, rather the constellation merely confirms the stance.
Trading is a true one man sport. No single confluence of indicators is truly good enough, and a professional trader's sense must be developed through a lot of hard work and over a significant period of time. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) - Technical Analysis and OutlookThe Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) chart on the 1D timeframe is showcasing a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the technical factors influencing the stock price and possible scenarios to watch for in the coming sessions:
Chart Overview
Trendline Support: The stock is bouncing off a strong ascending trendline that has been respected since late 2023. This upward sloping support has historically provided solid price rebounds, reinforcing its significance as a key technical level.
Recent Price Action: After a corrective phase, XOM has reversed from its recent low near $105, forming higher lows on the way up. The price has moved above $108.75, suggesting early signs of a bullish continuation.
Targets and Key Levels
Immediate Resistance | Target 1: $114.20 | The first target aligns with a previous horizontal resistance zone. This level also corresponds to a key pivot from the past corrective movement.
Higher Resistance | Target 2: $120.45 | The second target is near $121.45, representing the previous major high and a potential challenge for the bulls.
Support Levels: The first major support is at $106, coinciding with the ascending trendline.A break below this level could signal further downside, with the next support near $100.00.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
XOM Bullish Reversal : Targeting 109-110 Exxon Mobil (XOM) is holding steady around the $106-$107 support level, with strong trading activity in this range suggesting it could be building momentum for a move toward the $109-$110 resistance zone. The high volume at these levels shows solid interest, which could support an upward breakout if buyers step in. However, if it fails to break above $109-$110, there’s a risk it could drop back to test support. Overall, the current setup looks promising for a push higher, as long as the right conditions align.
Goal:109 2.67% short term
$XOM Long Entry - Sector Strength & AI SupportTradespoon model generated long signal for Exxon Mobil NYSE:XOM with 60% probability to stay above $107.13 today. Predicted range: $107.13–$109.44. Estimated change: +0.90%. NYSE:XOM
EXXON MOBIL Will it recover the devastating December?Exxon Mobil (XOM) gave us an excellent buy signal on our last idea (September 27 2024, see chart below) as it quickly hit our $120 Target:
Since the November 22 2024 (Lower) High though, it had an aggressive sell-of that stopped on the December 20 2024 Low. The price has stabilized for now but hasn't yet gained the necessary momentum to stage a rebound.
On the other hand, there are some very encouraging signals that justify going long as the Risk/ Reward Ratio has turned very favorable for buying. The price might not be exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up but the 1W RSI is on the 38.35 Support, which is the exact level where the it bottomed on January 19 2024, on the previous Higher Low.
At the same time, the 1D MACD has completed a Bullish Cross, which has always been a solid buy entry below the 0.0 level. As a result, even though the stock may deliver one last pull-back to test the bottom of the 14-month Channel Up, it is worth buying now as the upside is significantly higher. Our Target is the Resistance 2 level at $126.40.
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Exxon Long Play2/6/24: New Demand Zone reached. Feb '24 reached a new higher-high, which either gives sustained price above $102 and continues up (Plan A), or price falls further into demand testing $95 and adding positions along the way, reducing cost average. $95 would be the bulls last chance at breaking out of the $116-120 Supply Zone.
Exxon Mobil (XOM): Preparing for a Q1 2025 SetupHeading into Q1 2025, we believe NYSE:XOM could present a promising buying opportunity, and we are preparing a setup to align with our bias. Since April, we have been closely monitoring Exxon Mobil, and the technical picture continues to gain clarity as the stock respects both the range middle and range high. The wave ((b)) overshot wave A by a significant margin but still within acceptable limits for a flat correction.
Since the overshoot in early October, NYSE:XOM has seen a substantial decline—falling 17% over 75 days, a significant move for this stock. The primary driver behind this decline seems to be ongoing shareholder challenges. Over the last three years, Exxon Mobil has resisted calls for meaningful carbon emissions reductions, instead doubling down on traditional oil and gas operations. Legal action against shareholder activists pushing for emissions reduction targets has only added to the controversy, with proposed changes falling short of expectations.
The shareholder concerns highlight a critical point: some voting patterns defy logic when aligned with long-term goals. Questions remain about whether Exxon Mobil should, or can, prepare for a carbon-neutral future. The widely publicized shareholder vote in 2021, which many hoped would lead to substantial changes, seems to have produced minimal practical outcomes.
Despite these issues, we see potential for NYSE:XOM to resolve its challenges in the near future. From a technical standpoint, we observe a strong likelihood of a wave C drop into the $101–$92 range, which aligns with the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would be a key area to begin building a position.
XOM to 108My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Entry at $105
Target is $108 or channel top
Crucial Moment for XOMThere was a substantial up-trend since Oct. 2020. This trend ended at about $100. Price increased to $127 but has since fallen to $106. There was resistance at $105 in 2014 and this is a key level again. Price is currently $106 and $105 is support. This is a crucial moment the stock given there is not a well-defined up-trend now, and price is so close to support. Also, volume has been decreasing during the up-trend since 2020 which indicates the trend is losing pressure to maintain it. Going long now is o.k., but a stop should be used at $104 which is just below support. If price falls below $105, the stock can be shorted down to support at $95. See three highlighted areas. This is a 10% drop from $106. This is not investment advice.
