NZDAUD trade ideas
Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend.
Targets:
TP1: 1.07605
TP2: 1.07922
Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
AUDNZD: Short Signal Explained
AUDNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDNZD
Entry - 1.0768
Sl - 1.0795
Tp - 1.0722
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.079.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.097 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDNZD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 AUDNZD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: April 30, 2025
📋 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
Plan ID: ANZ30APR25-SW
Type: Swing
Direction: Buy
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%)
Risk:Reward: 4.3:1
Status: Waiting
🧭 Guidance Note:
Primary Swing Plan based on fresh bullish BOS + H4 reversal structure confirmed. D1 sweep + OB reclaim. No tactical sell exists. Risk = 1%.
📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE
Bias: 📈 Bullish
Trade Type: Reversal → Continuation (Nested OB + BOS-Based Swing Entry)
🔰 CONFIDENCE LEVEL
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (86%)
Weight Breakdown:
• D1 Bullish BOS → 28%
• H4 Bullish OB Reclaim + iBOS → 22%
• H1 OB + Sweep Confirmed → 16%
• Macro Confluence (AUD Bullish, NZD Neutral) → 14%
• Volume Spike M30 + VSA Matching → 6%
📍 ENTRY ZONES
🟥 Primary Buy Zone: 1.0760 – 1.0740
→ H1 OB nested inside H4 OB
→ Sweep + Rejection Observed
→ 70.5% Fib OTE Alignment
🟧 Secondary Zone: 1.0730 – 1.0715
→ Deep mitigation FVG fill zone
→ SMTZ-style reactive layer
❗ STOP LOSS
SL: 1.0690
• Below H1 OB + liquidity sweep wick
• Adjusted with 1x H1 ATR (17 pips)
• No SL tightening needed unless during news
🎯 TAKE PROFITS
TP1: 1.0835 → Immediate swing reaction zone (internal H1 liquidity)
TP2: 1.0900 → Clean H4 external liquidity sweep
TP3: 1.0975 → D1 premium reversal zone
📏 RISK:REWARD
• TP1: 2.3:1
• TP2: 3.6:1
• TP3: 4.3:1
✅ Meets Swing Standard (Min 3.5:1)
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
• Risk: 1.00% of capital
• SL to BE +10 pips after TP1
• Scale Out:
→ 50% at TP1
→ 30% at TP2
→ 20% trailed toward TP3
• Immediate exit if NZD strengthens macroscopically or DXY spikes
⚠️ CONFIRMATION CRITERIA (Optional Manual Entry Enhancers)
✅ Entry can be set as pending limit OR wait for:
• M30/H1 bullish engulfing inside OB
• Volume spike M30
• No early entry — wait for clean candle formation if manual
⏳ VALIDITY
Plan Type: Swing
Expiration: 72 hours
Auto-expire if price doesn’t enter zone or violates structure within 3 days
❌ INVALIDATION
• D1 CHoCH against long bias
• SL wick violation and internal structure break
• Macro shift (AUD → Bearish, NZD → Bullish), sentiment score falls < +6
🌐 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
• AUD Macro: Mildly Bullish (RBA steady, commodities up)
• NZD Macro: Neutral (RBNZ data-dependent)
• Retail Sentiment: 71% short AUDNZD → Bullish Confirmation
• DXY: Weakening → Favors AUD
• Cross-Market: AUDUSD firm, NZDUSD weak
Sentiment Score: +7/10
📋 FINAL TRADE SUMMARY
We are executing a bullish swing continuation on AUDNZD.
Entry aligns with OB reclaim, volume confirmation, and macro sentiment.
Targets offer clean upside, risk is managed institutionally.
No tactical sell setup active.
Long trade
AUDNZD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Monday, 28th April 2025, 6:00 PM (Tokyo Session PM)
Pair: AUDNZD
Session: Tokyo PM
Entry TF: (5min)
Structure (30min)
🔹 Entry: 1.07603
🔹 Take Profit: 1.08119 (+0.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07487 (–0.11%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.45
Trade Reasoning
Price showed a bullish internal shift in structure with consecutive higher lows into the Tokyo PM session.
30min TF
AUDNZD Rejected – CPI & RBA Dovish Bias Pressures AussieKey Resistance Zone: 1.0780 – 1.0800
The pair tested this area twice and failed to break above, forming a clear double-top pattern. This is a bearish signal suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Price Action:
A strong bearish rejection candle followed the second resistance test, aligning with historical resistance and structure. The pair is now showing signs of reversal.
Support Levels to Watch:
🥅 Target 1: 1.0707 – Previous consolidation zone
🥅 Target 2: 1.0677 – Key swing low
📉 Stop Loss: Above 1.0800
Pattern: Rising wedge structure breaking down, signaling downside continuation.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
🇦🇺 Australia (AUD) – Weakness Potential
RBA’s Dovish Leaning:
RBA Assistant Governor Kent emphasized external FX market risks and cautious positioning on monetary tightening, which dampens rate hike expectations【source: RBA speech】.
Key Data Incoming:
April 30: Quarterly CPI data
Forecasts suggest core inflation might ease, reducing pressure on the RBA to act. If CPI undershoots, it could trigger AUD selling.
AUD also faces pressure from global growth fears and risk-off sentiment.
🇳🇿 New Zealand (NZD) – Relative Strength
While the RBNZ has already started easing, the NZD has shown resilience amid improving trade balance and stable economic performance.
NZ Business Confidence is also due, which could influence near-term NZD moves, but broader positioning supports the Kiwi.
🧠 Sentiment Overview
The risk-reward favors shorts here:
Clear technical rejection
Bearish macro backdrop for AUD
Relative NZD strength
CPI data will be the key catalyst, and positioning ahead of it looks justified given current chart structure.
📝 Conclusion:
AUDNZD looks primed for a downside correction after repeated rejections at a major resistance zone. With dovish RBA commentary and potential soft inflation data ahead, short setups are favored with targets at 1.0707 and 1.0677.
AUDNZD Hits Key Resistance at 1.0787 – A Bearish Move Ahead? AUDNZD Hits Key Resistance at 1.0787 – A Bearish Move Ahead?
AUDNZD recently tested a significant resistance zone at 1.0787, an area of historical importance.
The price has previously spent time around this level, reinforcing its relevance.
Given the ongoing bearish trend, AUDNZD could decline toward 1.0717 and 1.0680 in the coming days.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The #1 Forex To BuyLearning how to trade these markets can be a challenge.
I was watching an execersing video on youtube
around early morning.
And this influencer said jump rope is one of the best cardio exercises.
And so when i dont feel like
exercising jump rope is what i revert or default to.
Think of the MACD indicator like a jump rope.
Notice that i have made a few alterations to the indicator?
I changed the MACD line into a histogram.
Also i used the parabolic SAR on 3 time frames.
-1 hour
-4 hour
-Daily
Going through this process is something you
have to see me demonstrating live.
As its not easy to explain the process over a text.
Open your simulation trading account and enter a buy order
if you want to see what happens next..
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management
and profit taking strategies.Also feel free
to use a simulation trading account.
Before you trade with real money.
AUD/NZD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.070 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDNZD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Looking at the chart of AUDNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
AUDNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD has finally broken out of a well-formed falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained downtrend, price consolidated within the wedge, indicating decreasing bearish momentum. The recent breakout confirms buyer strength and opens the door for a fresh upside swing. The current price sits around 1.072, and based on technical structure and projected pattern targets, we could be heading towards the 1.105 zone.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian Dollar is gaining support due to rising commodity demand and hawkish tones from the RBA, hinting at a possibility of sustained higher interest rates. On the other hand, the New Zealand Dollar has been under pressure due to softer-than-expected CPI data and growing speculation that the RBNZ might be done with its tightening cycle. This divergence in central bank stance adds fuel to the AUDNZD bullish narrative. Today’s macro releases show stable Australian employment data and a dip in New Zealand’s retail figures, which further supports the bullish view.
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, especially with a clean invalidation below 1.062. If the momentum sustains, price may accelerate quickly toward the 1.105 target. Market participants should also keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) correlations and global risk sentiment, which could amplify volatility across AUD and NZD pairs.
As a professional trader, I’ll be monitoring price action closely near lower timeframes for confirmation entries and managing the trade with dynamic stop-loss adjustments. This breakout is technically clean, fundamentally supported, and strategically aligned with the current macro backdrop – making it a high-probability swing setup worth sharing.
The #1 Trading Mistake In ForexI made a huge mistake on the last two forex pairs
but this time i have finally optimised my trading strategy.
The problem with trading is that the
lessons are opposite.
This means the indicators dont tell you
when to buy or sell.
The indicators are just filters.
This means you have to develop a trading strategy
using a computer system.
Using the Rocket Booster Strategy
You are able to tell the trend analysis on this pattern
->The price is below the 50 EMA
->The price is below the 200 EMA
->The price is in a down trend
This means that this forex pair is most likely going to
go down.
If you want to see what happens
take a sell trade on your simulation trading account.
Rocket boost this content to learn more
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management
and profit taking strategies,Also feel free
to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Trade idea from chart gpt Entry: Sell around 1.06850–1.06880
Stop Loss: Above the most recent swing high (~1.07050)
Take Profit: Initial TP around 1.06600, with extended TP near 1.06350
---
Reasons for Entry:
1. Bearish Trend Continuation: The overall movement shows a series of lower highs and lower lows—typical bearish price action.
2. Resistance Zone: 1.06850–1.06900 has acted as resistance recently.
3. Lack of Bullish Momentum: After the retracement, bulls are not showing strength to break above resistance.
4. Risk-Reward Setup: Around 1:2 R:R ratio makes it a relatively favorable setup.
---
If you're more conservative, you could wait for a break and close below 1.06700 on a strong bearish candle as a confirmation.
Want me to draw zones or trendlines on it for visual clarity?
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE BUT FOR RESEARCH PURPOSES ONLY
AUDNZD: Bearish Trend Continuation 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD violated a significant support cluster on a daily.
Because the pair is trading in a long-term bearish trend,
such a violation signifies a highly probable bearish continuation.
Next support - 1.06
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDNZD giving signs to start a bullish trendbullish divergence and price breaking trendline, these are some confluences that give a hint for a reversal trend, but one and most important factor to consider for a bullish trend is that if price breaks the marked LH, and for that I have also placed buy stop order on the chart with marked SL and TP