NZDCAD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.825.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.816 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDCAD trade ideas
NZDCAD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the NZDCAD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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NZDCAD – Range Play, Resistance RetestNZDCAD – Consolidation Within Neutral Range as Market Eyes Fed Developments
The NZDCAD currency pair is currently exhibiting strength within the confines of a well-defined neutral trading range. This stabilization is largely underpinned by the recent corrective pullback in the U.S. dollar, which has provided short-term support for the New Zealand dollar. However, questions remain about the sustainability of this momentum, especially with significant macroeconomic events looming on the horizon — most notably, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and the subsequent speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
At present, NZDCAD is trading within a localized range, and price action is gravitating toward the key liquidity zone around the 0.8317 level. This area has become a focal point for market participants, as it represents a notable level of interest where prior price reactions have occurred. The pullback in the U.S. dollar has temporarily shifted sentiment in favor of the NZD, but this may prove short-lived depending on upcoming policy signals from the Federal Reserve.
From a technical standpoint, the currency pair is constrained between strong resistance at 0.83175 and a cluster of support levels located at 0.82644, 0.8235, and 0.8225. The proximity of these levels reinforces the neutral bias and increases the likelihood of short-term whipsaws or potential false breakouts. Traders should exercise caution in positioning aggressively within this zone, particularly ahead of fundamental catalysts that could swiftly reshape market dynamics.
Market sentiment is increasingly focused on the tone and direction of Fed policy. Should the FOMC or Chair Powell deliver signals that point toward a more hawkish policy trajectory — whether through immediate action or forward guidance — the U.S. dollar could regain strength rapidly. This would likely exert downward pressure on NZDCAD, potentially driving the pair back toward the lower bounds of its trading range or beyond.
Conversely, any dovish surprises or indications of policy patience could extend the current reprieve for the NZD, enabling a continued challenge of the upper resistance area. However, given prevailing expectations for a firm stance by the Fed amid ongoing inflationary concerns, the market is pricing in a scenario where dollar strength could reassert itself — possibly leading to a reversal in NZDCAD’s recent strength.
In conclusion, while NZDCAD remains technically range-bound for now, the landscape is ripe for volatility. The confluence of resistance near 0.8317 and heightened anticipation around Fed-related news points to a critical juncture for this pair. Traders should monitor price action closely, remain aware of potential false breakouts, and align short-term strategies with the broader macro narrative that will emerge following the FOMC decision and Powell’s speech.
NZDCAD – 15M Technical & Fundamental AnalysisNZDCAD – 15M Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On the 15-minute chart, NZDCAD has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, showing bullish momentum until price reached and broke through the minor key resistance at 0.82800.
Following the breakout, price accumulated buy orders above this level, forming a liquidity trap. After the accumulation phase, the market moved downward into the liquidity zone to hunt for stop orders. Now, price is showing signs of recovery and is preparing for a potential breakout move.
Our area of interest lies at 0.82820 for a buy stop entry, joining the bullish momentum.
Our risk management is placed at 0.82640 (below the liquidity zone), and the target is a potential move toward 0.90650.
Fundamental Analysis:
Positive NZD News:
New Zealand’s Unemployment Rate came in stronger than expected at 5.1% (forecast: 5.3%), indicating a healthier labor market. This supports NZD strength and investor sentiment.
Weak CAD Outlook:
The Canadian Dollar remains pressured due to disappointing economic indicators, including sluggish growth and weakening oil prices—both of which tend to weigh heavily on the CAD.
Moreover, the Bank of Canada’s dovish stance has reduced expectations for any immediate tightening, further dampening the CAD's appeal.
Summary:
With bullish technical structure and positive fundamentals supporting the NZD, alongside a softening CAD outlook, NZDCAD is well-positioned for a continued upward move. Traders may monitor price action closely near 0.82820 for a potential breakout opportunity.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
NZDCAD Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Ranging)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
NZDCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 0.81608?OANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 0.81608 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
NZDCAD: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NZDCAD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDCAD: One More Bearish Forex Pair 🇳🇿🇨🇦
One more CAD pair that looks strongly bearish to me is NZDCAD.
Price action analysis speaks out loud on a daily.
The market was rallying nicely and started to slow down,
approaching a key horizontal resistance.
The price started to consolidate and dropped then violating
multiple horizontal supports and a rising trend line.
With a high probability, the market will drop even lower.
Next support - 0.81
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Thu 1st May 2025 NZD/CAD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/CAD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
#NZDCAD: Two Areas To Sell From! Swing SellThe NZDCAD has hit a critical level, and it might start going down from where we set our selling points. We also have two targets for when we should enter the market.
Good luck and trade safely!
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NZDCAD Bearish OptimismHello there,
It appears that NZDCAD will decline toward the target zones, which are below the current level of 0.81769. These zones are at 0.80743 and 0.80163.
That said, there’s also some bullish pressure on the daily chart, so we could see a pullback pushing the price up toward 0.82481.
These are potential moves that need attention and patience.
Happy trading,
K.
This is not trading advice.
NZDCAD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.55
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.827.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.824 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!