NZDCHF trade ideas
NZDCHF m15 BuyHello everyone.
There's a perfect buy opportunity on NZDCHF right now.
You can even set your RRR to 1:4, but those who prefer a shorter target can close at RRR 1:2.
I expect the pair to reach the 0.49225 level during the day.
Wishing everyone profitable trades!
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NZDCHF Bearish Continuation and Trendline BreakNZDCHF is in an overall bearish trend with the 1 hour price action recently breaking the bullish trendline. Bearish trendline on the 3 minute time frame has been tested multiple times and has held every time. On the 3 minute time frame price is also trading under the 200 ema which can indicate bearish momentum. Market Execution sell with SL at previous high (1 hour timeframe)
NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup? NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup?
NZDCHF is on the verge of confirming a bullish Inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
If the price moves above the neckline at 0.4870, the chances of an upward continuation increase, potentially solidifying a new bullish trend.
However, a major risk remains: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) continues to intervene in the Forex market, strengthening the CHF in ways that seem unpredictable.
Their unconventional monetary policy has often benefited Switzerland at the expense of other economies, and these interventions show little regard for market stability.
Should the SNB interfere, NZDCHF could experience a bearish wave, possibly when least expected. This adds a significant risk and uncertainty to this setup.
You may find more details in the chart!
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NZDCHF → The global bearish trend may continueFX:NZDCHF has been within a local upward wedge pattern for a long time. A breakout of support could trigger a continuation of the downtrend.
After breaking through the wedge support, the currency pair is one step away from the start of the realization. The focus is on consolidation at 0.4982 - 0.4919. A breakout of support could trigger a decline in the currency pair amid a weakening NZD and a rising dollar index, which overall creates a negative backdrop for the pair.
A retest of the previously broken boundary of the figure or resistance at 0.4953 is possible before the decline continues, but a consolidation of the price below 0.4918 will be a good signal for the start of the movement.
Resistance levels: 0.4953, 0.4981
Support levels: 0.4918, 0.4872
Trend pressure plays an important role, as does the fact that the price is coming out of a wedge consolidation. The breakout is directed towards the main trend, and price consolidation below the key support will only confirm this.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDHCF - rising wedge (BEARISH)🧠 Technical Overview
Pair: NZD/CHF
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: ~0.49290
General Structure:
Bearish trend overall (clear downtrend preceding the current formation).
Price pulled back into a rising wedge pattern (which is a bearish continuation setup).
Resistance zones around 0.5009 - 0.5068 marked (supply zone / previous structure).
Support target around 0.47135 (where the big drop might aim if the wedge breaks down).
🔥 Pattern Analysis
Rising Wedge:
Price moving upwards in a narrowing range – typical before a bearish breakdown.
You've drawn the expected path: a slight fake-out or retest near 0.5000 before dropping.
Breakout Plan:
First drop could aim at the 0.4850–0.4800 zone.
Bigger move targets around 0.47135.
🔍 Indicators
MACD:
Showing bearish divergence (price is climbing but MACD momentum is weakening).
MACD lines are close to crossing bearish.
RSI:
Hovering just below the overbought region (~60s).
Looks like it’s starting to turn down, confirming momentum is fading.
🧩 Summary
Bias: Bearish
Key triggers:
Breakdown from the wedge.
MACD bearish cross.
RSI losing 50-level would confirm momentum shift.
Risk:
A strong bullish breakout above 0.5068 would invalidate the short setup.
My quick tip: I’d watch how price reacts around 0.5000-0.5010. If it forms a double top or rejection candle (like a bearish engulfing), that would be a nice confirmation for the short.
NZDCHF SHORTS Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
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NZD-CHF Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF went up last week
And has almost recovered
The dramatic slaughter
Which happened earlier
But then the pair touched
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.5000 which is a strong
Round number and immediately
Made a pullback which means
That the bears are strong near
The level and so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday
Sell!
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NZD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.475 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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NZD_CHF MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅NZD_CHF is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above of 0.5000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 0.4892
SHORT🔥
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#NZDCHF: Will Price Continue The Bearish Trend? If we analyse the trading history of NZDCHF, the overall trend has been bearish. The CHF has consistently dominated the NZD, and this trend is expected to continue. The price has dropped significantly, and since the last two weeks, it has filled the gap area. In the future, we anticipate the price moving towards 0.40.
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Idea Shared Buy NZDCHF 4H 25042025 09.15 GMT +7Idea share
Buy NZDCHF 4H 25042025 09.15 GMT +7
Tools
2,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.02 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.03 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.05 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
5,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.03 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.04 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.07 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
10,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.08 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.09 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.12 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
30,000$
Buy @ 0.495 / 0.2 lot
Buy lim 1 @ 0.48 / 0.22 lot
Buy lim 2 @ 0.47 / 0.25 lot
SL @ 0.46
TP @ 0.524
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It will rise only if SNB decidesThe NZDCHF pair is showing strong signs of recovery as the New Zealand dollar gains support from positive economic data and expectations of interest rate hikes. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc is under corrective pressure after a prolonged rally. With a bullish reversal pattern forming on the technical chart and buying momentum gradually returning, NZDCHF has strong potential to continue its upward trend in the near future.
NZDCHF Reversal Builds as Trade Data Surprises Bulls Eye 0.5078NZDCHF has formed a clear inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart, with price currently hovering above the neckline at 0.4840. The technical breakout remains valid, with bullish targets at:
TP1: 0.4993
TP2: 0.5078
SL: Below 0.4740
🧠 Fundamental Update – NZ Trade Balance (Apr 21):
Latest Data:
Actual: +80M
Forecast: +510M
Previous: +510M
✅ Still positive, but below expectations
⚠️ Weaker-than-expected trade surplus may weigh on NZD short-term
Combined With Recent CPI Data (Apr 16):
Inflation rose to 2.5% YoY, higher than forecast but still within the RBNZ's target band
Most price pressures are seen as temporary (fuel, education)
RBNZ cut OCR to 3.5% in April and has left the door open to further cuts
Markets still fully price in a rate cut on May 28, with a projected floor of 2.75% by October
🌏 Global Context:
Trade tensions and slowing global growth (esp. from U.S. tariff risk) are driving demand for safe havens like CHF
ANZ economists have revised forecasts for additional RBNZ easing to 2.5%, citing weak global sentiment
🧭 Interpretation for NZDCHF:
Short-term:
✅ Positive technical structure
✅ Net trade surplus supports slight NZD demand
⚠️ Trade miss and dovish RBNZ tone keep bullish momentum cautious
Medium-term:
⚠️ Macro headwinds + expected RBNZ cut may limit upside
⚠️ Potential pullbacks if rate-cut sentiment strengthens into May
💡 Final Trade Strategy:
Bullish bias valid above 0.4840, but watch for volatility
Profit-taking recommended at 0.4993
Be cautious near 0.5078, especially before the May 28 RBNZ meeting
A close below 0.4740 would invalidate the bullish setup
NZDCHF: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDCHF
Entry Point - 0.4892
Stop Loss - 0.4962
Take Profit - 0.4769
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.477.
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NZDCHF Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.489.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.492.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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