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NZD/CHF

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NZDCHF trade ideas

Bearish drop?NZD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.51145 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 0.51381 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.50703 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level. Pivot: 0.51585 1st Support: 0.50252 1st Resistance: 0.52570 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/CHF is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.50853 1st Support: 0.50538 1st Resistance: 0.51322 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
NZD/CHF: Bearish Bias Driven by New Zealand’s Recession The short-term outlook for NZD/CHF is leaning bearish, and here’s why. A mix of macroeconomic trends and policy decisions from both New Zealand and Switzerland suggests the NZD will continue to weaken against the CHF. Let’s dive into the details: Why I’m Bearish on NZD/CHF: 1. Central Bank Divergence: • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has been aggressively cutting rates, lowering the cash rate by 125 basis points this cycle to 4.25%. With New Zealand in a recession, there’s an expectation for another 100 basis points in cuts by mid-2025. • Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has also eased slightly, with a 50 basis point cut, but their more stable economy suggests they’re less likely to push rates much lower. 2. Economic Growth Stories: • New Zealand: Things aren’t looking great—Q3 brought an official recession, and all signs point to slower growth ahead. This will likely keep the RBNZ in an easing cycle. • Switzerland: On the other hand, Switzerland’s GDP is projected to grow by 1.3% in 2024 and 1.5% in 2025, with strength coming from improved domestic demand, rising employment, and stable financing conditions. 3. Inflation Gap: • New Zealand: Inflation concerns have taken a back seat to growth, giving the RBNZ room to cut rates further and keep the Kiwi dollar under pressure. • Switzerland: Inflation is incredibly low at 0.7%, giving the SNB flexibility, but their stronger economic position means they don’t need to take drastic action. 4. Global Trade Uncertainty: • Global trade tensions, including potential U.S. tariffs, add another layer of uncertainty. New Zealand’s export-driven economy is more vulnerable, whereas Switzerland, with its diversified economy, can weather these challenges better. 5. Market Sentiment and Technicals: • The NZD/CHF exchange rate has been trending lower, reflecting growing bearish sentiment. The Kiwi dollar continues to lose ground as the CHF benefits from its status as a safe haven. Short-Term Bias: Bearish When you put it all together—New Zealand’s recession, the RBNZ’s aggressive rate cuts, and Switzerland’s relatively stable outlook—the case for a bearish NZD/CHF bias becomes clear. Unless we see a major shift in global trade dynamics or unexpected announcements from either central bank, the downtrend is likely to persist. What I’m Watching: • How quickly the RBNZ moves forward with additional cuts. • Any surprises from the SNB that could alter Switzerland’s stable narrative. • Global trade developments, like potential U.S. tariffs, which could have ripple effects on both economies. Conclusion: With New Zealand’s economic challenges and Switzerland’s solid footing, the bearish bias for NZD/CHF seems well-supported for now. Keep an eye on central bank decisions and trade headlines—they could hold the key to any shifts in this narrative.
Short
by GreenhillFin
Bullish bounce?NZD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that line sup with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.50866 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.50405 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.51381 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.50984 1st Support: 0.50581 1st Resistance: 0.51263 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets