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New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen

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NZDJPY trade ideas

NZDJPY will continue to fall after false breakout NZDJPY is correcting after the support breakout. The purpose of such correction is to provoke bullish liquidity before the fall. There is a magnet on the market - liquidity in the zone 85.08 - 85.27. False breakout will return the market to the downward phase Scenario: growth to local resistance, retest of the zone 85.08 - 85.27, false breakout, consolidation below 85.08 and continuation of the fall. Target - support and order-block 84.2
Short
by AndeWave
9
NZD/JPY Breaks Wedge Structure – Bearish Setup Targets 82.42NZD/JPY has broken down from a rising wedge and failed to reclaim upper support, now acting as resistance. The structure is cleanly bearish on the 4H chart, with rejection near 85.60 and a confirmed lower high. Weak New Zealand data and rising safe-haven demand for JPY add weight to this technical setup. Price looks poised to extend toward 82.42 and possibly 80.99 if momentum builds. Bearish bias is valid unless price closes above 87.17. 🔍 Technical Analysis Chart Pattern: Rising wedge → broken → retest failed Bear Flag: Forming below wedge base, suggesting further downside Resistance Area: 85.60–87.17 Bearish Structure: Lower highs and bearish candle formations Price unable to reclaim former support trendline Support Targets: First TP: 84.00 – minor support, fib confluence Second TP: 82.42 – March swing low Final TP: 81.00 zone – next fib cluster 🌍 Macro Fundamentals 🇳🇿 New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Retail Sales missed: 0.0% vs 0.9% forecast → consumer sector is slowing Core Retail Sales weak: 0.7% vs 1.4% Dairy auction (GDT Index) down -0.9% → key export underperforming Implication: Risk of slower growth → RBNZ may shift toward neutral/dovish stance 🇯🇵 Japanese Yen (JPY) JPY supported by risk-off flows due to: U.S. credit downgrade Iran-US nuclear tension Declining global PMI forecasts Yen strengthens as traders seek safe havens despite BoJ’s dovish baseline 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: 85.50–85.60 (confirmation area) Targets: TP1: 84.00 TP2: 82.42 TP3: 81.00 Stop Loss: Above 87.17 (invalidates wedge breakdown) ⚠️ What to Watch China sentiment or surprise stimulus (may support NZD) Sharp equity rallies (could reduce JPY demand short-term) If NZD/JPY closes above 86.00, reduce position or stay out 🧭 Conclusion NZD/JPY has rolled over from a broken rising wedge, now forming a clean bearish continuation structure. Weak NZ data and macro risk flows into JPY favor downside extension. This setup offers clear levels, defined risk, and macro alignment — ideal for disciplined short entries.
Short
by ultreosforex
7
NZDJPY bearish continuation📌 Key Observations Previous Structure Shift (QM + Break of Structure): There was a clear Quasimodo (QM) formation at the top, followed by a break of structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent. The high created liquidity and was swept—then price broke below the QM low confirming order flow shift. Bearish Channel Breakout & Retest: Price broke below the rising wedge (bearish reversal pattern). Retested inside a minor bearish flag now acting as a continuation pattern (currently breaking it down again). Current Price Action: Price is reacting to a supply zone inside the red box, which also aligns with: A previous order block. A potential breaker structure. This zone also represents a BOS retest. 🧠 Trade Idea (Sell Bias Confirmed) ✅ Entry: Inside the red supply zone (already showing rejection). 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: 85.15 → minor demand zone + previous structure. TP2: 84.20 → mid-level POI. TP3: 83.14 → major demand/FVG zone. TP4: 82.58 → extreme demand and liquidity resting point. 📍 Stop Loss: Above the red zone, ~85.95 to 86.00 area. 🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): The RR to final target (TP4) looks excellent (~1:4 to 1:5+). 🧩 Volume/Engulfing Confirmation (Optional) You may wait for a bearish engulfing candle inside the red zone with bearish volume to confirm entry if you're applying your VSA + engulfing method.
Short
by Delast2
8
NZDJPY: The Price Started The Downward Movement As ExpectedNZDJPY: The Price Started The Downward Movement As Expected NZDJPY is moving as expected, dropping nearly 90 pips since our last analysis. The price recently broke below a bearish triangle pattern, and after a brief pullback, I expect it to continue downward. However, the Bank of Japan’s upcoming meeting with the U.S. could also play a key role in shaping the market. Let’s see how the charts unfold! You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
5
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Readiness for a declineFX:NZDJPY is under pressure from a global downtrend. Locally, a flat (range) and pre-breakdown consolidation relative to support are forming on the chart... After a false breakdown of support on May 16, the price failed to reverse and grow. Instead, the currency pair entered a consolidation phase, during which it continues to test support. Each subsequent retest of 85.25-85.30 only increases the chances of a breakout with the aim of continuing the decline. Another important nuance is the elimination (short squeeze) of local resistance at 85.95. Pressure on the price is also being exerted by the falling dollar index, which is strengthening the Japanese yen, which is generally reflected in the price of NZDJPY... Support levels: 85.300, 85.25, 84.195 Resistance levels: 85.7, 85.95 The continuation of the current consolidation and the compression of the price towards support only increases the chances of a breakdown of the 85.30 support level. A break and consolidation of the price below 85.25 could trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The medium term bias remains bearish. Short term RSI is moving higher. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 85.25. We look to Sell at 85.25 (stop at 85.55) Our profit targets will be 84.20 and 84.00 Resistance: 85.25 / 85.70 / 86.10 Support: 84.60 / 84.20 / 84.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY has just completed a clean breakout from its descending channel, and we are now setting up for a potential bullish continuation. The breakout above the channel resistance confirms a reversal of the prior downtrend, signaling fresh bullish momentum in play. Price is currently hovering around 85.90, and I’m targeting a move toward 91.90 in the coming weeks as market structure shifts in favor of buyers. Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength following the RBNZ's recent hawkish stance. Despite global rate cut expectations, the RBNZ has held firm, emphasizing inflation remains elevated and may require prolonged tight policy. This divergence from other central banks, particularly the BoJ, gives NZD an upper hand. On the flip side, the Japanese yen continues to show weakness due to the BoJ's ultra-loose monetary stance, and there's still no concrete signal of a shift toward tightening. Yield differentials remain wide, fueling carry trades in favor of NZD. Technically, the breakout is supported by strong bullish candles and increasing volume. The breakout level around 85.60 is now acting as fresh support, and as long as we hold above that zone, the bullish bias remains valid. The structure suggests momentum is building toward 88.50 as the next minor resistance, and a break above that could accelerate the rally to our full target at 91.90. From a risk-reward perspective, this setup remains favorable. I'm closely monitoring bullish continuation patterns on lower timeframes to scale in. NZDJPY appears primed for a potential upside surge, supported by both fundamentals and technicals, and I’m looking to ride this trend as long as the current momentum holds.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 86.38 1st Support: 84.37 1st Resistance: 87.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bearish drop?NZD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 86.13 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 87.09 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 84.73 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NZDJPY Will Solid breakout will Formed to short term NZDJPY Technical Outlook: NZDJPY is currently under pressure, aligning with the broader global bearish trend. On the local scale, the pair is moving within a flat range, showing signs of a pre-downtrend consolidation near a key support level. A false breakout has already occurred, suggesting that bearish momentum may be building. Price action indicates that a retest of the 85.400 support level is likely. A repeated test of this level typically increases the probability of a breakout to the downside, potentially initiating a continuation of the decline. Key Technical Notes: Resistance zone : 85.400 Major Support 84.200 Keep eye on the market how the price will react Keep support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks.
Short
by MrMartin_11
NZD/JPYThe NZD/JPY had a weak weekly close, the week before last, after sweeping weekly buy side liquidity thus forming a weekly Doji The Doji conveyed a more bearish impulse by printing a new weekly lower low and closing below the previous week's settlement. After this run of BSL, on H4, price action experienced strong displacement lower, breaking structure and producing a market structure shift. I have been waiting for the swing low to form so that I can place entries at the 0.62, 0.705 and the 0.79 retracement levels. The 0.62 being just above the MSS, the 0.705 being just below the Bearish Breaker and the 0.79 level being within a bearish fair value gap whilst targeting the previous swing low or SSL level.
Short
by Bloomers117
NZDJPY: A Bigger Bearish wave could start SoonNZDJPY: A Bigger Bearish wave could start Soon NZDJPY broke out from a bearish Wedge Pattern during Friday thus rising the chances to decline more. The Rising wedge pattern is formed during a bullish trend. As long as the pattern was broken out the chances for a bearish trend is growing. NZDJPY may face a strong support near to the structure areas where it can also change direction. Targets: 🎯 84.50 🎯 83.50 🎯 82.50 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
NZDJPY Structure false to down sideNZDJPY Technical Analysis: The NZDJPY is currently testing a key resistance zone within the context of a broader global downtrend. Despite recent bullish attempts, the pair does not yet appear ready to sustain upward momentum, suggesting a potential local reversal pattern may be forming. Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break convincingly above the 88.500 level, indicating this area may act as a strong supply zone. Support Levels to Watch: First key support: 85.000 Second Key support: 84.000 Outlook: If the price fails to hold above 88.500 and confirms the reversal pattern, a decline toward 85.000 and potentially 84.000 could follow in line with the prevailing downtrend. Thanks for supporting and also share your opinion in comments Thanks for understand.
Short
by MrMartin_11
NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist (Day Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (86.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (84.800) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 88.000 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist (Day Trade Plan) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
NZDJPY → Countertrend correction and false breakoutFX:NZDJPY is testing resistance within a global downtrend. The currency pair is not yet ready to continue its growth and is forming a local reversal pattern. Within the global downtrend, the currency pair is forming a countertrend correction and testing resistance at 87.400. The liquidity pool formed above this level is not yet ready to let the price move further. Without the possibility of continuing growth, the price returns to the range and forms a false breakout of resistance. However, since we are in the range and the price has returned inside it, if the bears hold the line (the upper limit of the trading range) at 87.400, this could trigger a further decline, thereby continuing the global downtrend. Resistance levels: 87.400 Support levels: 86.5, 85.26 Consolidation of the price below 87.400 will confirm that the price is not yet ready to continue the trend. The falling dollar index is provoking a rise in the Japanese yen, which may also put pressure on the currency pair. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
NZDJPY - Off We Go... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈NZDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇳🇿🇯🇵 If you remember, I already posted a bullish outlook for NZDJPY on Friday. This morning, I spotted one more intraday bullish confirmation. I see a breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.9 level soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1