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NZDJPY trade ideas

NZDJPY → Attempting to change the downtrendFX:NZDJPY is trying to get out of the downtrend by breaking the channel resistance. Against the background of local strengthening of the dollar, the currency pair has all chances. Technically, buyers are starting to gain momentum and support the market, it can be seen on the background of locally growing minmiums, which gradually leads to the breakout of the channel resistance. The trigger in our case is the resistance 85.240 - a key level that divides the market into 2 planes. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 85.240, an impulse to 86.13, then 86.88 may be formed in the short-term. Support levels: 84.500, 84.00 Resistance levels: 85.240, 86.13 Initial testing of the trigger may end in a small pullback due to liquidity formed above. The pullback may be directed towards the previously broken channel resistance. But the emphasis is on price consolidation above 85.240, as this will be a prerequisite that the bulls are holding the market in the moment and are ready to keep going up. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
NZD/JPY 1D // 18 March 2025 AnalysisWe can see the price approaching the downtrend on NZD/JPY on the daily timeframe. Looking to see how the price reacts to the marked area of resistance around the 86.500 area and the trendline. Potential swing sell situation with a target around the 83.826 area. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
Short
by thebrowntrader
NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (85.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (83.800) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 87.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future Trend Move: NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis⭐☀🌟 Fundamental analysis focuses on economic and political factors influencing NZD (New Zealand Dollar) and JPY (Japanese Yen). New Zealand (NZD): Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) sets the Official Cash Rate (OCR). As of early 2025, assume the OCR is around 4.5% (based on prior tightening cycles). Higher rates typically support NZD, but if inflation is cooling (e.g., below 3%), rate cuts could loom, pressuring NZD downward. Economic Data: Key drivers include dairy prices (a major export), GDP growth (projected ~2% in 2025), and employment (assume ~4% unemployment). Weak dairy prices or slowing growth could weaken NZD. Trade Balance: NZ relies heavily on exports to China. If China’s economy slows in 2025, NZD may face headwinds. Political Stability: New Zealand is stable, so no major political risk unless unexpected elections or policy shifts occur. Japan (JPY): Interest Rates: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has historically kept rates near zero (e.g., 0.1% in 2024). If 2025 sees a shift to 0.5% due to inflation pressures (e.g., above 2%), JPY could strengthen, but gradualism is likely. Economic Data: Japan’s GDP growth is slow (~1%), with deflation risks fading. Strong export data (e.g., machinery, autos) supports JPY. Safe-Haven Status: JPY gains in risk-off scenarios (e.g., geopolitical tensions or equity sell-offs). Yen Carry Trade: Low rates make JPY a funding currency. If global risk appetite rises, JPY weakens as traders borrow yen to buy higher-yielding assets like NZD. NZD/JPY Impact: Higher NZD yields vs. JPY favor bullishness, but JPY strength could emerge if global risk aversion spikes or BOJ tightens unexpectedly. ⭐☀🌟Macro Economics⭐☀🌟 Macro factors extend beyond fundamentals to broader economic cycles: Global Growth: Assume 2025 global GDP growth is ~3%. Strong growth favors NZD (commodity currency), while slowdowns boost JPY (safe haven). Inflation Trends: NZ inflation cooling (e.g., 2.5%) vs. Japan’s rising (e.g., 2%) could narrow the yield gap, pressuring NZD/JPY lower. Monetary Policy Divergence: RBNZ pausing or cutting vs. BOJ tightening could shift NZD/JPY bearish. Commodity Prices: NZD benefits from rising dairy, meat, and lumber prices. A commodity rally supports bullish NZD/JPY. Currency Intervention: Japan may intervene if JPY weakens past 150 vs. USD (NZD/JPY less directly affected but still relevant). ⭐☀🌟Global Market Analysis⭐☀🌟 Equity Markets: Bullish global stocks (e.g., S&P 500 up 5% YTD) favor NZD (risk-on) over JPY (risk-off). Bond Yields: Rising NZ 10-year yields (e.g., 4.8%) vs. Japan’s (e.g., 1%) support NZD/JPY upside. Forex Trends: If USD/JPY is climbing (e.g., 148), JPY weakness could lift NZD/JPY. Conversely, USD/NZD strength signals NZD weakness. Geopolitical Risks: Tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade war escalation) boost JPY, capping NZD/JPY gains. ⭐☀🌟COT Data (Commitment of Traders)⭐☀🌟 COT reports from the CFTC show speculative positioning: NZD Futures: If net long positions are rising (e.g., +10,000 contracts), bulls dominate. Net short (-5,000) signals bearish pressure. JPY Futures: Heavy net short positions (e.g., -50,000) indicate JPY weakness (carry trade unwind risk). Net long suggests safe-haven buying. NZD/JPY Inference: Bullish if NZD longs increase and JPY shorts persist; bearish if reversed. Note: Exact COT data requires real-time access (e.g., CFTC release March 7, 2025). Check the latest report for precision. ⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis⭐☀🌟 NZD Correlations: Positive with AUD (0.8 correlation) and commodity indices (e.g., CRB). AUD/NZD strength or commodity rallies lift NZD/JPY. JPY Correlations: Negative with equities (-0.7 vs. Nikkei). Equity declines strengthen JPY, pressuring NZD/JPY. Gold: Rising gold prices signal risk-off, favoring JPY over NZD. ⭐☀🌟Quantitative Analysis⭐☀🌟 Technical Levels: Support: 83.50 (50-day SMA), 82.00 (200-day SMA). Resistance: 85.00 (psychological), 86.50 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from prior high). RSI: At 55 (neutral), no overbought/oversold signal. Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band (e.g., 84.80) suggests potential pullback. Volatility: Implied volatility (e.g., 10% annualized) indicates moderate moves ahead. Probability: 60% chance of testing 85.50 if bullish, 55% chance of 83.00 if bearish (based on historical ranges). ⭐☀🌟Market Sentiment Analysis⭐☀🌟 Retail Sentiment: If 70% of retail traders are long NZD/JPY (contrarian signal), a reversal may loom. News Sentiment: Positive NZ economic releases vs. Japan’s cautious BOJ tone could tilt sentiment bullish. ⭐☀🌟Positioning (Next Trend Move)⭐☀🌟 Short-Term (1-4 weeks): Bullish Target: 85.50 (break above 85.00 resistance). Bearish Target: 83.50 (support test). Medium-Term (1-3 months): Bullish Target: 86.50 (if risk-on persists). Bearish Target: 82.00 (200-day SMA breach). Long-Term (6-12 months): Bullish Target: 88.00 (multi-year resistance). Bearish Target: 80.00 (if global recession hits). Trend Direction: Mildly bullish short-term unless risk-off spikes. ⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook⭐☀🌟 Current Price: 84.500. Bias: Mildly bullish short-term due to NZD yield advantage and risk-on sentiment, but JPY strength could cap gains if global risks rise. Key Drivers: RBNZ vs. BOJ policy, commodity prices, global risk appetite. Prediction: Bullish to 85.50 short-term (70% probability) if equities hold; bearish to 83.00 (60% probability) if JPY safe-haven flows dominate. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
NZDJPY DAILY CHARTNZDJPY On the chart shows a three candle Reversal it has broken the 0.618 and could move towards 87.770 on the fib. observation: RBNZ Rate came in as expected also the Yen looking to push up however four days ago JP MORGAN was looking to long on the Yen. However News over this week could change. However Big Money can push the market either way. Disclaimer: all trades entered are at individual's risk never risk more than your prepared to lose stop/loss to minimize loss and take profit when the time is right. all trades are at the individual trader own RTW.
by jt453
2
Bullish bounce?NZD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level. Pivot: 85.10 1st Support: 84.01 1st Resistance: 86.85 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Lingrid | NZDJPY Monthly-Level Shorting OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the TP level. For the past two weeks, FX:NZDJPY price has been in a bullish trend; however, it has hit the resistance zone and is currently moving sideways around this level. On the daily timeframe, a rejection candle has formed, but the price has yet to retest the February high where liquidity is resting above. I expect the price may aim to grab that liquidity before moving lower while forming a bearish divergence. If we see a rejection at the resistance around 87.500, there is a good possibility that the price will create a corrective leg. My goal is support zone around 85.800 Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Short
by Lingrid
7
NZDJPY at Key Support Level - Rebound Towards 87.300?OANDA:NZDJPY has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 87.300 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market dynamics. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
20
NZDJPY - Shifting Trends Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉NZDJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel marked in red. However, it is currently retesting the lower bound of the channel which lines up perfectly with the support zone marked in blue. 📈As per my trading style , as long as the support zone holds, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
2-hour NZD/JPY chartMarket Structure: The price was in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. It has now reached a strong resistance zone near 87.469, where sellers have stepped in. There is a break of structure, indicating a possible trend reversal or retracement. Trade Setup: A short (sell) trade has been placed around the resistance zone. Stop-loss is above 87.469 (gray area), protecting against a breakout. Take-profit is around 85.406 (blue area), targeting previous support. Technical Observations: A sharp rejection from the resistance zone suggests strong selling pressure. A bearish engulfing pattern or similar bearish candlestick formation could confirm the downside move. The 50 EMA is nearby, which could act as a dynamic support or resistance. Potential Scenario: If price fails to break above the resistance, the short trade could play out towards 85.406. If price breaks above the stop-loss zone, it could signal further bullish continuation.
Short
by aziezieam
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 86.85 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 87.63 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 85.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
by VantageMarkets
NZDJPY: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵 All Yen pairs look bearish after the early morning BoJ interest rate decision and press conference. NZDJPY formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on a 4H after a test of a key daily resistance. High momentum bearish candle indicates a strong bearish sentiment. I think that the price may drop at least to 86.2 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
WHY NZDJPY IS BULLISH??? DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 85.900, forming a descending channel pattern, signaling a potential breakout. This pattern often leads to bullish reversals, and once the price breaks above the resistance zone, we could see strong upside momentum toward the 90.000 target. A successful breakout with increased volume will confirm the bullish wave, leading to an anticipated gain of 300+ pips. From a technical perspective, the pair is testing key resistance levels within the descending channel, and a breakout will align with major trend continuation signals. If buyers maintain control, we could see the price rally towards 87.500 first, followed by a push toward 90.000 psychological resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candles, RSI divergence, and volume spikes to validate the breakout. On the fundamental side, market sentiment and risk appetite are favoring jpy pairs, with the New Zealand dollar benefiting from commodity price stability and global risk-on sentiment. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on monetary tightening keeps jpy under pressure, further supporting upside potential for nzdjpy. If risk sentiment remains positive, the pair could maintain its bullish outlook, making the 90.000 target highly achievable.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 87.25 1st Support: 85.57 1st Resistance: 88.39 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZDJPY FORECASTTraders! Welcome back to the series of our weekly forecasting videos and today we have NZDJPY on watch. This pair looks good as we have seen the price opened with the completion of three touches structure. So when I look at the higher timeframe especially the 4H itself I see every is good. I wait for the clear price signal that it is going to drop. So let's watch this with a close eye and see what will be happening, Wishing you a good trading day and GOD bless you!
Short
by Richard_Mkude