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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZDUSD Shows a Complex Scenario Ahead of FED Interest Rate DecisNZDUSD Shows a Complex Scenario Ahead of FED Interest Rate Decision Today, NZDUSD presents a very complex scenario with potential moves in both directions ahead of the FED Interest Rate Decision. The FED is expected to cut rates by 25 bps to 4.5%. However, the main focus will be on Chair Powell's speech. Technical Analysis: The price is moving in a clear bearish trend, and during the last week, it began to contract. Currently, it is showing a bearish triangle pattern, but it could also be a reversal pattern. Therefore, we are looking for confirmation. A move below 0.5752 may push the price down to 0.5700, after which we could see the bullish wave resuming. Given that NZDUSD is in oversold conditions, the downside may be limited. If the price moves above 0.5785, it may rise to 0.5830, and if it holds, it may further rise to 0.5880. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
by KlejdiCuni
5
NZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the HolidaysNZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the Holidays Forex trading is slowing down as the holidays approach, offering a pause after significant movements driven by various news events, including central bank decisions. Notably, NZD/USD reached its lowest level since October 2022 at the end of last week. The decline in NZD/USD has been influenced by two main factors: 1. The dollar gained momentum following the Federal Reserve's decision to lower the interest rate by 0.25% and its forward guidance for 2025. 2. According to Reuters: → New Zealand's economy contracted much more sharply than expected in the second and third quarters. → Market participants anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may lower interest rates by 0.5% in February. Technical analysis of the NZD/USD 4-hour chart depicts a bearish outlook: - The 0.58 level, which served as support in November, turned into resistance in December. - The price is currently hovering near the lower boundary of a descending channel that has been in place since October. - The RSI indicator signals that the market is approaching oversold conditions. While bears may attempt to extend the downtrend by pushing the price below last week’s low, this could create a divergence pattern on the RSI indicator, offering hope for a potential bullish reversal. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
SELL Signal – NZD/USD - Targeting 226 PipsEntry: 0.5764 TP: 0.5538 SL: 0.5889 Risk/Reward: 2.32 Reasoning: Monetary Divergence: The RBNZ has paused rate hikes, weakening NZD appeal, while USD strength is supported by higher U.S. Treasury yields and reduced Fed rate-cut expectations. Economic Weakness: New Zealand faces slowing growth, a weak housing market, and reduced demand from China. Bearish Momentum: NZD/USD recently broke two long-term support levels, suggesting further downside toward the 0.5538 demand zone. Strong USD: Global monetary easing (e.g., Switzerland, Canada, ECB) and policy concerns are bolstering the USD, further pressuring NZD.
Short
by ValchevFinance
1
Daily CLS , HTF FVG, Model 1Daily CLS , HTF FVG, Model 1 you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Long
by Dave-Hunter
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing. The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562. Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817 Support levels: 0.575, 0.562 I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 0.5704 (stop at 0.5736) Our profit targets will be 0.5623 and 0.5520 Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5850 / 0.5960 Support: 0.5630 / 0.5520 / 0.5320 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
"NZDUSD: Room for Further Decline?"NZDUSD: Approaching a Critical Support Zone Amid a Strong Bearish Outlook The NZDUSD pair is gravitating towards a significant support zone that it last tested over a year ago. This return to familiar territory comes under the shadow of a strengthening US dollar, which continues to exert downward pressure on the pair. The growing momentum behind the dollar and New Zealand's lackluster economic fundamentals are intensifying the likelihood of a major support level breakdown, potentially paving the way for deeper declines. Bearish Momentum in Full Swing The broader downtrend in NZDUSD remains firmly intact, driven by several key factors: Rising Dollar Strength: The US dollar has been bolstered by robust macroeconomic data, tighter monetary policy signals, and increased demand as a safe-haven asset in a volatile global environment. Weak New Zealand Fundamentals: New Zealand’s economic landscape offers little support for its currency, with lower growth forecasts and subdued sentiment adding to the downside pressure. Technical Weakness: The price action clearly reflects sellers' dominance, with the pair facing persistent resistance while struggling to hold onto key support levels. Testing Key Zones: Resistance vs. Support The pair is currently navigating a critical battle between resistance and support levels. A detailed breakdown is as follows: Resistance Levels: The 0.577 and 0.5817 levels are acting as formidable barriers for any bullish attempts. Each time the price approaches these zones, selling pressure intensifies, capping upward momentum. Support Levels: On the downside, 0.575 serves as an immediate level of interest, while the next significant floor lies at 0.562. This lower support remains untested in recent months and could act as the next price magnet should the pair breach the current descending channel. Descending Channel in Focus The NZDUSD is confined within a well-defined descending channel, which has dictated price movements for several sessions. Currently, the lower boundary of this channel is acting as temporary support, holding the pair above critical levels. However, the technical picture suggests that any decisive break below this channel could trigger a cascade of sell orders, as there is minimal structural support below until 0.562. Scenario Analysis: What Lies Ahead? Bearish Breakout: If the descending channel support fails and the price consolidates below this level, we may see a rapid acceleration of the downtrend. In this scenario, sellers would likely push the price toward the 0.562 mark, with minimal obstacles in their path. Temporary Correction: While bearish sentiment dominates, a temporary corrective bounce cannot be ruled out. Should buyers manage to defend the current support zone, the price could revisit the resistance levels at 0.577 and possibly 0.5817. However, such a move would likely be limited to short-term retracements rather than a trend reversal. Support Retest and Breakdown: The most probable outcome remains a retest of the support zone. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop and technical setup, any subsequent breakdown of this support could trigger fresh selling, opening the door for a deeper slide to 0.562. Conclusion: Downtrend Unlikely to Reverse Despite the possibility of minor corrections, the overall picture for NZDUSD remains overwhelmingly bearish. The combination of a strengthening US dollar, weak fundamentals for the New Zealand dollar, and a bearish technical setup creates a perfect storm for continued downside pressure. Traders should keep a close eye on the support zone near 0.575 and the descending channel boundary. A decisive break below these levels would confirm the next phase of the downtrend, targeting 0.562 in the near term. On the other hand, a sustained bounce above current levels might offer a brief reprieve, though it is unlikely to signal a reversal of the prevailing bearish trend.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
NZD/USD LONGLong NZD/USD is supported by technical analysis based on key indicators that suggest a potential reversal or bounce in the price. On the 4-hour chart, the price is showing signs of consolidation after a long downtrend, with a favorable setup for a recovery. The Alligator moving averages are still bearish, but the price is starting to consolidate near the lower level, suggesting a possible weakening of the bearish pressure. The indicator below is showing a reversal from the oversold level (-50), with a positive bias, signaling a potential resumption of buying by the market. Support and Resistance: The support level at 0.5700 has held so far, while the target area is visible near 0.5740-0.5760, indicating a reasonable profit window. The stop loss has been placed below the recent low to manage risk. These elements suggest that the price may attempt a bounce in the short term. However, it is essential to carefully monitor the confirmation of the trend through a breakout of key levels and increasing volumes.
Long
by SwipeUp_TC