NZD/USD..1h chart pattern..NZD/USD 1H chart appears to show a bullish breakout pattern, supported by:
An ascending trendline.
Price holding above the Ichimoku cloud.
A clear breakout projection drawn with an arrow to a higher level.
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🔍 Estimated Target Based on Chart Structure
Based on visual estimation and the pattern:
Current breakout level: ~0.6050
Projected target (based on prior swing and consolidation height): ~0.6150 – 0.6170
This suggests a target zone of 100–120 pips from the breakout area.
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🧮 How This Target Is Likely Derived
Looks like a bullish flag or ascending triangle setup. The vertical height of the pattern (approx. 100–120 pips) is added to the breakout point (~0.6050), giving:
Target ≈ 0.6050 + 0.0100 to 0.0120 = 0.6150 to 0.6170
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📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 0.6025–0.6040 (cloud + trendline confluence)
Breakout confirmation: Strong 1H candle close above 0.6050–0.6060
Target: 0.6150–0.6170
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NZDUSD trade ideas
Lingrid | NZDUSD Uptrend Trend Continuation Trade FX:NZDUSD is trending within a clean upward channel, recently bouncing off the trendline near 0.60164. After consolidating in a narrow range, the pair is showing signs of upward continuation toward the 0.60890 resistance zone. A retest of the trendline followed by a bullish reaction could confirm the breakout move.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.60160–0.60220
Buy trigger: breakout above 0.60400 with momentum
Target: 0.60890
Sell trigger: breakdown below 0.60100
💡 Risks
False breakout above 0.60400 may trap buyers
Close below trendline invalidates bullish structure
Range-bound price action may delay breakout follow-through
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
NZDUSD: Your Trading Plan For Today Explained 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD is currently consolidating on a strong intraday/daily support.
To buy the pair with a confirmation, I suggest to focus on a double
bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 0.6015
will provide a reliable bullish confirmation.
Goal will be 0.6035.
Alternatively, if the price sets a new lower low on a 4H,
this setup will become invalid.
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GBPUSD 4 Hour Chart GBP/USD has currently completed the minute degree 5th wave and is now entering a corrective 2nd wave. The 5th wave remains valid as long as the price stays below 1.36168. There is a high probability of a downward move towards the Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.618 and 0.786, corresponding to the price range of 1.26811 to 1.24270, where an ABC correction is expected to complete.
NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.605
Target Level: 0.602
Stop Loss: 0.606
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6050 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6075.
We look to Buy at 0.6020 (stop at 0.5995)
Our profit targets will be 0.6070 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6070 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6020 / 0.6000
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Bearish drop for Kiwi?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6051
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6078
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6007
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Falling towards overlap support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5989
1st Support: 0.5939
1st Resistance: 0.6080
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"Vault Breached! NZD/USD Bullish Loot (Live Heist)"🚨 "THE KIWI BANK HEIST" 🏦💰
NZD/USD Bullish Raid – Loot Fast Before the Cops Arrive!
🌟 Greetings, Money Bandits! 🌟 (Hola! Bonjour! Ciao! Konnichiwa!)
🔥 Thief Trading Intel:
The Vault is Open! 🏦➡️📈 – Price is bullish, but overbought.
Red Zone = Police Trap! 🚨 (Resistance/Reversal Risk)
Escape Plan: Take profits near 0.62400 (or bail early if traps trigger).
🔐 ENTRY: "BREAK IN NOW!"
"Buy the dip!" – Use 15M/30M swing lows for stealthy entries.
Set Alerts! ⏰ (Don’t miss the heist!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS: "THIEF’S SAFETY NET"
"Hide at 0.59500 (4H Swing Low)" – Adjust based on your loot size!
🎯 TARGET: "GRAB & VANISH!"
"0.62400 or escape earlier!" – Don’t get greedy; cops (bears) are lurking.
⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE:
"Only steal LONG!" – Use trailing SL to protect your bag.
"Rich? Charge in! Poor? Wait for swings!"
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP:
"Kiwi is bullish… but check the news!" 📰 (COT, Macro Data, Sentiment)
⚠️ ALERT: Avoid trading during high-impact news – cops (volatility) love chaos!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share = More Loot!)
🚀 "Support the crew! Hit 👍, and let’s rob this market blind!" 💸🤝
Next heist coming soon… Stay tuned, bandits! 🏴☠️🎭
NZD/USD Registers Fresh Yearly HighNZD/USD breaks out of the range bound price action from earlier this week to register a fresh yearly high (0.6080).
Still need a close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to open up 0.6170 (50% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.6230 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 0.6260 (38.2% Fibonacci extension).
At the same time, lack of momentum to close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) may push NZD/USD back toward the weekly low (0.5961), with a break/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the May low (0.5847) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Context:
The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited.
This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Targets & Levels:
Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977
First support target: 0.5885
Next major support: 0.5846
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977
Potential short entries targeting the support levels
A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside
This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
NZDUSD 4Hr. Wave 5 North Likely in progress towards .61251). Price needs to complete 5-wave sequence @ the 1.728 Fib @ .6122 2). The Bonds are dropping, so there's likely not much steam left...3). BANKS ARE BUYING! 4). Volume is decreasing... 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 72.8%. 6).US $ WEAKNESS AT THE MOMENT IS ALSO ADDING TO THE ANTICIPATED RISK ASSET UPWARD SCENARIO!
NZDUSD 1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield
As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May.
Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance.
2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5%
3. Interest Rate Differential
The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly:
4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1%
This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD
The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May.
The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand.
4. Carry Trade Advantage
The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential.
Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility.
The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads.
#NZDUSD
NZDUSD SELL OFF (Counter-Trend Setup)(Daily) - Price hit Key resistance level at (0.60308 - 0.59985) and consolidated at the level attempting to breakout but failing and forming double top in 4H.
(4H) - Price formed double top at the Key resistance level (0.60308 - 0.59985) which is reversal pattern, neckline of the DT at (0.60031).
(4H) - Bearish market structure at the level price forming new lower high and lower low at (0.60578 - 0.60535)
(4H) - Rising trendline connecting low of the price at (0.58522 - 0.59556).
Entry ;
-We have 2 entry models;
1.Aggressive Entry at the Double top after the close of the bearish Engulfing Candle SL above double top at 0.60808
2.Conservative Entry wait for the break of the rising trendline to signal trend change from an uptrend to downtrend then execute.
NZD/USD Aims Steady IncreaseNZD/USD Aims Steady Increase
NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.6080.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.6030 zone.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6030 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.5990 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.6020 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.6030 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6065 zone and is currently consolidating gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.6050 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6006 swing low to the 0.6064 high.
However, the bulls are active above the 0.6030 level. The NZD/USD chartsuggests that the RSI is stable near 50. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6065. The next major resistance is near the 0.6080 level.
A clear move above the 0.6080 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6120 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6200 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.6030 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6030. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6006 swing low to the 0.6064 high.
The first key support is near the 0.6005 level. The next major support is near the 0.5990 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.5990 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.5970 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5950.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Potential bearish drop?NZD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6011
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6051
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5950
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD 2.06.2025NZDUSD
We see a horizontal level from above, which usually breaks through upwards.
In addition, ALL liquidity has been reached from below, and the remaining liquidity is above, and we are moving towards it.
Best regards EXACAVO
_____________________
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NZDUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6040
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5991
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6069
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK