NZD/USD 1H Chart Setup – Demand Zone Bounce & Bullish Target1. Chart Overview
Pair: NZD/USD
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: 0.56961
Indicator Used: 9 EMA (📈)
2. Key Zones & Levels
🔵 Demand Zone
Area: Approx. 0.55933 – 0.56600
Role: Strong support area where buyers have shown interest
Bounce already observed from this zone
🟥 Re-Entry Zone
Slight pullback expected into this minor resistance-turned-support
Potential entry for bulls (🐂)
🎯 Target Point
Price: 0.58434
Gain: +3.59%
Strong resistance above
🛑 Stop Loss
Price: 0.55933
Just below the demand zone for protection
Keeps risk tight (🔒)
3. Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
📍 Entry Plan:
Wait for a pullback into the red zone
Confirm support holds
Look for long position setup
📈 Target:
Aim for 0.58434
High reward potential
📉 Stop Loss:
Below 0.55933 to minimize loss if setup fails
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio:
Attractive (approx. 2:1 or better)
Summary
Demand zone is strong (🛡️)
Market structure supports bullish move (🚀)
Setup favors a pullback buy strategy
NZDUSD trade ideas
Kiwi H4 | Potential pullback opportunityThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5783 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.5710 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.5852 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (NZD/USD)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📈 Pair: NZD/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
📐 Structure TF: 1-Hour (Directional Bias)
🎯 Entry TF: 2-Minute (Precision Entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.57120
Take Profit (TP): 0.57922 (+1.40%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.56880 (–0.42%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.34
This Thursday AM trade was positioned during London, focusing on the 2m entry capitalizing on a micro-displacement following a liquidity grab for a buy-side trade.
Potential bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 28.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.5759
1st Support: 0.5651
1st Resistance: 0.5831
CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 102.61
1st Support: 101.62
1st Resistance: 103.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 10 April 2025
- NZDUSD reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5820
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the key support level 0.5530 (which has been reversing the price from January) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from the support level 0.5530 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star Doji.
Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.5820.
NZDUSD – Short-Term Bullish Setup (1H Divergence)✅ Market Summary:
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Bias: Bullish (Short-Term)
Signal: Bullish Divergence – Lower lows on price, higher lows on RSI or MACD
Trend Context: Possibly in early stages of a reversal or retracement within a broader range
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Bullish Divergence: Confirmed on 1H (RSI or MACD)
Support Zone: Price reacting from an intraday support level or demand zone
Candle Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing, pin bar, or break of structure
📈 Trade Plan – LONG Setup
Entry:
After bullish confirmation candle closes
Or upon break of minor 1H resistance (structure shift)
Stop-Loss:
Below the recent swing low (beneath divergence level)
Take-Profit:
TP1: Previous 1H high or resistance
TP2: Fib 0.618 retracement of the last bearish leg (if applicable)
Risk-to-Reward: Aim for 1:1.5 or better
⚠️ Cautions & Notes:
This is a short-term play, not a higher time frame reversal (unless confirmed later)
Watch for NFP data, Fed commentary, or USD news that may spike volatility
NZDUSD bullish starting?
OANDA:NZDUSD from start of February sentiment is bullish.
In week before we are have strong events like RBA, TRUMP SPEAK, NONFARM.., we all are expect NZD and AUD domination but at end in zone we are see changes and strong fall.
After all of this now from here expecting new bullish starting.
SUP zone: 0.55200
RES zone: 0.57400, 0.58200
NZDUSD Long✅ NZD/USD Long Setup
Entry: 0.5520
Stop Loss (SL): 0.5375 (below historical multi-decade support and spike lows — gives room for volatility)
Take Profits (TPs):
TP1: 0.6000 (psychological + historical S/R level)
TP2: 0.6200 (structural supply level)
TP3: 0.6400 (historical resistance zone + cycle high area)
NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
NZDUSD Long Setup – FVG + Order Block + Macro Bullish BiasI'm looking to go long on NZDUSD based on a strong confluence of fundamentals, seasonal trends, and technical structure.
🔹 Macro bias: USD weakening as Fed leans dovish, while NZD is gaining momentum from rate cuts and improving LEI.
🔹 Seasonality: Historically, NZD shows strength in the first half of April, while USD tends to weaken mid-to-late April.
🔹 Technical setup:
Price left a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4H chart
Pullback into a bullish Order Block (OB)
Entry within imbalance
NZDUSD Faces Resistance After Recent Sell-OffFollowing the significant sell-off last week, the NZDUSD price has retraced to approximately 60% of the previous bearish move. The price appears to have encountered resistance at a zone marked by an upward trendline and the boundary of the channel. Additionally, there is a psychological level at 0.57000. Should the price reject this resistance, it may continue to decline and retest the middle of the consolidation range. On the other hand, if upcoming news releases favour the market, there could be potential for a move higher. The target for the market is a resistance zone near 0.55940
Lingrid | NZDUSD potential PULLBACK Trading OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It hit the take profit level. After last week's massive sell-off, FX:NZDUSD price has pulled back toward 60% of the bearish move. The price appears to have bounced off the resistance zone where we have upward trendline and channel border. Additionally, there is a psychological level at 0.57000 as well. I believe the price may move lower and retest the middle of the consolidation zone if the price rejects the resistance. However, the market might move higher if the upcoming news release favors the market. My target is resistance zone around 0.55940
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
NZDUSD ANALYSIS
### 🔄 **Basic Structure of Point 1-2-3 Setup**:
1. **Point 1 (P1):** The initial move or swing low/high (starting point).
2. **Point 2 (P2):** The opposite extreme – the highest high (uptrend) or lowest low (downtrend).
3. **Point 3 (P3):** A correction that doesn’t exceed P1, followed by a potential breakout beyond P2 to confirm a new trend.
---
### ✅ **Chart Analysis (NZD/USD, Heikin Ashi, 15 Min)**:
#### 📉 **First Major Bearish Move** (Left side of the chart):
- **P1:** Price peaks (Point 2 is marked near 0.571xx).
- **P2:** Swing low around 0.563xx (Point 2 in white).
- **P3:** Retracement (fails to break the initial high, confirming potential trend change).
- Then the price **breaks below P2**, confirming a **new downtrend**.
This bearish structure played out with a **short position**, visualized by the red trade box.
---
#### 📈 **Reversal to Bullish Trend** (Middle to right side):
- After a long downtrend, a shift occurs.
- New **Point 1**: A swing low forms (around 0.558xx).
- **Point 2**: Price pushes up to a local high (confirmed with white lines).
- **Point 3**: Retracement that stays above Point 1 (0.558xx zone).
Then:
- **TST (Test)** occurs: Price revisits P3 zone but holds.
- Break above **Point 2** confirms **bullish trend**.
- We see **multiple fractal P1-2-3 formations** up the rally:
- Smaller structures form within the bigger bullish move (each followed by breakouts).
---
### 📌 **Most Recent Trade Setup (Far Right)**:
- **P1:** Swing low (end of pullback).
- **P2:** Local peak after a bullish impulse.
- **P3:** Pullback that doesn’t break P1.
- **Breakout above P2 confirms long position**, shown by the current green box trade setup.
This trade is still active, with the price hovering slightly above entry.
---
### 🧠 Summary (Das Voigt Logic Applied):
- The chart follows textbook **Point 1-2-3 trend development**, first bearish, then a clean shift to bullish.
- Multiple entries are possible using **sub-structures** within the main trend.
- The key is **waiting for P3 to hold** and then **confirmation via breakout of P2**.
Would you like me to mark up the chart with the Point 1, 2, 3 labels and send it back for clarity?
Kiwi H1 | Falling to an overlap suppportThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5648 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 0.5605 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.5746 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WHY NZDUSD BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALSNZDUSD has just completed a clean technical retest at a key demand zone around the 0.5560–0.5600 region and is now showing signs of a strong bullish reversal. The recent structure formed a classic “V-shape” recovery, and price is holding firmly above the psychological level of 0.5700. The market has now reset its lower time frame structure and is preparing for a potential bullish continuation toward the 0.6100 target zone in the coming sessions.
Technically, the pair respected its support zone perfectly after a sharp corrective move from the March highs. The retest confirms previous support turned demand, with the 12H chart indicating a potential bullish breakout setup. With the rejection wicks and impulsive bullish engulfing candle seen in the latest session, the momentum has clearly shifted back in favor of the bulls. I'm eyeing a steady climb toward the 0.6000–0.6100 range, especially if we break above the 0.5800 resistance level decisively.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar is showing signs of exhaustion ahead of key inflation data. Market sentiment is slightly dovish on the Fed’s rate trajectory due to softening labor data and a cooling services sector, while New Zealand is holding a relatively steady economic outlook. Although RBNZ remains cautious, commodity demand and improving risk sentiment are currently supporting the Kiwi. Traders are pricing in reduced rate hike expectations from the Fed, which gives NZD a comparative edge in short to mid-term flows.
With positive technical confluence, shifting fundamentals, and improving global risk appetite, NZDUSD looks poised for a solid upside run. As long as the price stays above 0.5600, I remain bullish. A break above 0.5800 could act as the catalyst for acceleration toward 0.6100, providing a favorable risk-reward opportunity in the current market conditions.
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5613
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.5551
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5707
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.