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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

Breaking: NZD Slips as RBNZ Cuts Rates by 50 bpsAt its October meeting, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points, lowering it from 5.25% to 4.75%, in line with expectations. The NZD/USD pair deepens its decline, falling below the crucial 100 AND 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A clear break could set the stage for a move toward the psychological 0.6000 level. Looking ahead, traders will focus on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, set for release later on Wednesday.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZD/USD - RBNZ poised to cut, but by how much?The New Zealand dollar is down for a sixth straight day and has fallen 3.6% during that time. NZD has stabilized on Tuesday and is trading at 0.6120 in the North American session, down 0.07% on the day. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday and is widely expected to a cut rates, but by how much? The markets have priced in an oversize rate cut of 50 basis points, but a modest cut of 25 bps cannot be ruled out. The RBNZ joined the rate-cutting club of major central banks in August after holding rates for over a year. The August cut which brought the cash rate down to 5.25%, marked the first rate cut in over four years. That move surprised the markets as the central bank had projected its first rate cut would not take place until mid-2025. Why would the RBNZ slash by 50 bps? Elevated interest rates have weighed on economic activity and GDP contracted by 0.2% in the second quarter. Inflation eased to 3.3% in the second quarter, closer to the RBNZ’s upper band of the 1-3% target range. The RBNZ’s latest projections have inflation falling to 2.3% in Q3. The inflation report won’t be released until next week and if the RBNZ chops rates by 50 bps and inflation is higher than the RBNZ estimate, it will put the central bank in an awkward position. Another factor which supports a 50-bps cut is that the Federal Reserve lowered rates by 50 bps in September, which allows the RBNZ to do the same without risking a sharp decline in the value of the New Zealand dollar. NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6137 and 0.6161 There is support at 0.6100 and 0.6076
by OANDA
Will NZD/USD Extend Losses? Traders Await RBNZ’s Interest RateThe NZD/USD pair continues its downward trend, turning lower for the sixth straight day as traders react to the less-than-optimistic Chinese economic outlook. As China remains New Zealand's largest trading partner, any signs of economic slowdown in China tend to have a significant impact on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Focus on RBNZ Interest Rate Decision Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is set to announce its interest rate decision following its scheduled policy meeting. If the RBNZ adopts a hawkish stance due to rising inflationary pressures, it is likely to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR). A rate hike would typically attract more capital inflows, providing support to the NZD. Conversely, if the central bank takes a more dovish approach by lowering the OCR in response to lower inflation, the NZD could weaken further. The RBNZ’s decision will play a crucial role in determining the short-term direction of NZD/USD. Higher rates generally boost a currency, while lower rates tend to weaken it as investors seek higher returns elsewhere. Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Remains In our previous forecast, which you can review here: NZD/USD Slips as Fed Powell Hints at Gradual Rate Cuts, we closed a bearish position from a supply area after successfully capturing downside movement. The current price action suggests another potential bearish impulse, particularly around the 0.60500 level. In a worst-case scenario for the NZD, the price could drop further to 0.58750, another key demand area based on historical support. However, we view this deeper decline as less likely at the moment, given that market sentiment may shift based on the RBNZ's upcoming decision. Waiting for a Bullish Setup Currently, we have no open position on NZD/USD, as we wait for the pair to reach a demand area before considering a potential bullish trade. The demand zone around 0.60500 is a critical level to watch for any signs of reversal, but we remain cautious and are monitoring upcoming economic events closely. Conclusion As the NZD/USD pair continues to slide, all eyes are on the RBNZ and its interest rate decision. Traders should remain vigilant, as a hawkish move could trigger a rebound in the New Zealand Dollar, while dovish policies may deepen the pair's decline. For now, we are on the sidelines, awaiting a clearer opportunity to enter the market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
NZD/USD Hits 1-Month Low, Bullish Outlook Despite Bearish TrendHello, The NZD/USD pair recently hit a fresh 1-month low at 0.61064. Despite this significant drop and its position below key pivot points, the majority remains optimistic about a potential bullish recovery. The 1-day pivot point has held up so far, acting as a support level. In conclusion, while the overall outlook remains bullish, the bearish trend is expected to persist until a stronger support level is established. TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
NZDUSD 2-hour cycle level longNZDUSD 2-hour cycle level long Reason for Going Long:Harmonic Trading System (bullish shark form) +SMC order principle (bullish order block) + Trading Volume distribution + price trading behavior (bullish engulfment) = Go long NZDUSD 2-hour level cycle,current price around 0.61425,enter the long position directly,stop loss level at 0.61000. The first target is around 0.62420,halving the warehouse and promoting protection. Look around 0.63666 for the second target position,then halve the position and push for protection. Follow the tail position and reduce the position for protection.
Long
by Jasmine-Flower
2
NZDUSD to continue in the selloff?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.6120 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6090. We look to Sell at 0.6160 (stop at 0.6184) Our profit targets will be 0.6100 and 0.6090 Resistance: 0.6150 / 0.6160 / 0.6175 Support: 0.6120 / 0.6100 / 0.6090 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
2
NZD Sinking as RBNZ Preps 50bps Cut The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to slash the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points this Wednesday, a move that's adding pressure on the New Zealand dollar. A Reuters survey of 28 economists reveals that 60% anticipate the central bank will deliver a half-point cut, while market pricing suggests near-certainty of such a decision. Major banks—ANZ, ASB, BNZ, Kiwibank, and Westpac—are all forecasting a similar outcome. The kiwi has fallen to $0.611, down 3.33% since last Monday, extending its decline into a key technical zone, marked by the 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages, as well as the 50% retracement level from the July rally. Meanwhile, escalating tensions in the Middle East are further driving investors into the safe-haven U.S. dollar.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone NZDUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
7
How Much More Longer BearishOn this pair, we find that on the weekly timeframe, the market is Bullish. Price even went all the way up towards our liquidity target but failed to close above it. We are currently witnessing another pullback. On the Daily, price is bullish. We have seen prices currently retrace into the daily zone. But there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not this our refined daily reversal zone has what it takes to invite the bulls of demand to hold prices at that level and drive it back up. Now my Analysis: As much as I would want the daily zone to hold, as this is the fastest way for us to find a LONG trading opportunity, jumping on the rally towards the confluence weekly/daily liquidity targets. But I have a bit of reservation on this. This is because of the force with which prices have come into the daily reversal zone. Prices have come into the zone with a strong push, and not the usual gentle slide in expected of a reversal zone. Dont get me wrong, I am not concluding that the zone will fail, but rather I am saying that instead of the initial 70% chance I had of the zone holding, I now have a 40% chance of it holding because of price action. In the event that the zone holds, we will expect to see the rally resume with prices gravitating towards our liquidity target above; and we will excitedly pull out out panzy pips trading system and jump on the trade. But what happens if the zone fails..? Where this is the case, we will look to see prices deep further towards the Weekly zone below. From where we will look to see some bullish reversal and again place our trade setup right beside price and stand ready to trade. In all of these, we do not and cannot completely rule out the possibility of catching some bearish trades where the daily zone is breached and price dips towards the Weekly zone. Share your thoughts guys and let us see your perspective on the market
Long
by PanzyPips
Potential bullish rise off overlap support?NZD/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level top our take profit. Entry: 0.6156 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 0.6122 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6207 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Editors' picks
Long
by VantageMarkets
4
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Short
by ShahedZare
1